Looking/sounding like Uncle Phil playing cartoon Shredder playing Dan Schneider
2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Thread
- Thread starter FAH1223
- Start date
Looking/sounding like Uncle Phil playing cartoon Shredder playing Dan Schneider
Poetical Poltergeist
Precise and cold hearted
Nate Silver on his rationale behind his current election forecast. A good read (imo):
www.natesilver.net
There’s no “normal” in this election
Why Harris is leading in our polling averages — but not in our forecast. And why it’s hard to know where we’re headed next.
www.natesilver.net
TL;DR:
Also, to a lesser degree, if the ANC story has legs it could remind independents/undecideds why Trump is irritating AF.
- The model tries to smooth over a temporary convention bounce, but since hers was smaller than expected, it might be penalizing or it might portend to a temporary wane in momentum
- She needs better numbers in PA due to it's electoral college pull
- Kennedy dropping out of the race wasn't expected to have a meaningful impact, but the immediate, wholehearted endorsement is having a bigger impact than the model predicted.
Also, to a lesser degree, if the ANC story has legs it could remind independents/undecideds why Trump is irritating AF.
Youngkin is finished 
88m3
Fast Money & Foreign Objects
Dude really is evil and demonic
Nate Silver on his rationale behind his current election forecast. A good read (imo):
There’s no “normal” in this election
Why Harris is leading in our polling averages — but not in our forecast. And why it’s hard to know where we’re headed next.
TL;DR:
Personally, I'm more optimistic after hearing the huge difference in campaign budgets. IMO Trump is successful because he just repeats ideas until ppl believe them and that's basically what political commercials do, so the dems have a chance to drill the message home.
- The model tries to smooth over a temporary convention bounce, but since hers was smaller than expected, it might be penalizing or it might portend to a temporary wane in momentum
- She needs better numbers in PA due to it's electoral college pull
- Kennedy dropping out of the race wasn't expected to have a meaningful impact, but the immediate, wholehearted endorsement is having a bigger impact than the model predicted.
Also, to a lesser degree, if the ANC story has legs it could remind independents/undecideds why Trump is irritating AF.
We still listening to flabby Nate? Aka blind fury?
After how many election cycle were Republicans would sabotage bills to help win the election. It's about damn time Dems turn the tables on that BS.
If we want to talk about election interference... This is gross.
qnsfinest
Superstar
I really wish curb your enthusiasm hadn’t ended. Larry David has so much material just from this presidential race with JD and RFK, especially since that’s Cheryl’s husband in real life.
Youngkin is finished
That n-gga is done for once he's up for re-election.
He can't pull the CRT scare tatic this time around and he already pissed most of NoVA off by trying to get the new Wizards and Capitols arena at Potomac Yard.
He's not up for re-election. Virginia has a 4-year, single-term governorship (though the same person can be governor non-consecutively).
He's definitely losing, but he helps Trump because it makes Trump more palatable for split ticket voters.
This will come down to white women.
Secure Da Bag
Veteran
Like the GOP would give a fukk.
Outlaw
New Hope For the HaveNotz
GOP wouldn’t but swing voters who vote for both parties likes the promiseLike the GOP would give a fukk.
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