The political analyst is jon Ralston is the exception he is a very credible reporter that has called the races in the state for several years, when polls where showing cortez masto not winning her reelection he called the race for her based on the voting pattern, i trust the man and so do credible political analysts. The thing is she needs to win MI PA and WI to win the election, at best right now she is slightly up in MI and tied in WI and trailing in PA