Outlaw
New Hope For the HaveNotz
Give Grandpa credit for playing 4-D chess
2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread
- Thread starter FAH1223
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Bleed The Freak
Superstar
All that matters is the result. It was a fart in the wind
People shocked that Iowa swinging more for Dems after the overturning of Roe v. Wade... this shouldn't be a surprise after the Midterms, but I guess it is.
CEO of Morgan Industries
Superstar
I am not against seeing this from every angle, but the most likely explanation considering the massive GotV advantage and the makeup of the electorate so far is simply that there are just more Democratic voters this year.
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I’m trying to sort through the rebuttals to the poll and it doesn’t seem like Democrats registration has jumped that much in IA.
He's mad
CEO of Morgan Industries
Superstar
What about NPAs?
Honestly, it might not look the same in every state. Might be driven by new Dems and NPAs in NV and PA, but Obama 2012 voters coming back to the party in IA and WI, etc.
Also people are excited to respond when they are excited to vote.
If republicans are less likely to respond to polls then they are less likely to actually vote.
We know MAGA can’t wait to tell any and everyone who they are voting for.
If republicans are less likely to respond to polls then they are less likely to actually vote.
We know MAGA can’t wait to tell any and everyone who they are voting for.
Piff Huxtable
Delaney 2020,2024,2028...
the smart people on Twitter said everything below Trump +7 would be good for Kamala but nobody was expecting Harris +3 
Im guessing they think because of the abortion ban that a decent amount of moderate Republican white women are voting Kamala
Foxmulder
Superstar
These pollsters are in shambles. No matter who wins they know they are done being taken seriously.
Now they have polls about who is responding to polls.
Now they have polls about who is responding to polls.
You forgot to mention nobody said what you claimed they said. But yes. As everyone expected, save for our most veteran pearl clutchers and concern trolls, Biden’s gaffe (if you want to call it that since some of your bros were complaining about the dems being too soft) didnt mean anything.
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He's mad
If you’re a Republican candidate who’s pleading with Iowa farmers to vote for you two days before the election things probably aren’t going well
I knew one of you would quote me. No i didn't forget and I stand by everything I said.
Trump will also slightly win the popular vote as well for the first time. You can pay an extra $100 for that when I'm proven right about that also
I'm assuming your random bump was due to news of Kamala "supposedly" pushing ahead of Trump. You can't be dense enough to believe that Iowa poll. Iowa is super conservative. More conservative than Ohio so why would she lead in Iowa and not Ohio. Logically explain that.
Trump even said in a clip on Rogan how expect to see them push her numbers up days before election which is happening now.
Republicans lead in North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia with early voting numbers. Trump will win all three. He will slightly win Georgia after him and the Governor made up. Will make a late push in Virginia but Kamala will still win that State
In 2020, before election day Democrats led Republicans in early voting by 1 million plus votes in Pennsylvania . Then on election day Biden only won by 80,000 votes because of Republicans infamously always having high election day turnout.
Now it's 4 years later where Trump is more popular and it's lower Democratic turnout. Only certain states like Georgia have higher black turnout. Georgia is an outlier. Other states like Pennsylvania have seen a big drop. Going back to my 2020 example, Democrats lead by much less this time and we have yet to see the major Election Day vote. When this happens you will see Trump win Pennsylvania by 1 to 3 points.
He will sweep the battleground states. Cardi B's appearance in Wisconsin will hurt Kamala there and he will win that state as well. If I'm not mistaken MC Lyte and Glorilla performed there as well. White women in Wisconsin probably saw all that on the local news and got even more convinced to vote for Trump. He has high turnout in the rural counties there and there will be lower turnout of other groups.
Michigan he will also win because he was endorsed by the Mayor of Dearborn and that will have him surprisingly get more Arab/Muslim votes.
Similarly to alot of Hispanics supporting Trump over the migrant crisis I bet many of the Arab population of Dearborn will say that they may not agree with his pro Israel policies but they also don't like the migrant crisis that has occurred under Biden and Kamala
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cn...olitics/muslim-leaders-michigan-trump-endorse
The Election isn't going to be very close at all. Trump will get around 312 electoral votes and race will be called early.
MSNBC even got exposed by someone who showed their mock up election night coverage
x.com
Other outliers
Trump promising no taxes on tips, social security, no income tax etc...probably the typical politician BS and unlikely to happen. But things like this will be in people's heads when they vote.
Like with his pro crypto/Bitcoin statements
When I'm proven right about all this and after you pay me I will reveal my other predictions of what will happen in his presidency
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