2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread

[hashmander]

how do you see the rest of the thread?

 

[Outlaw]

I knew one of you would quote me. No i didn't forget and I stand by everything I said.

Trump will also slightly win the popular vote as well for the first time. You can pay an extra $100 for that when I'm proven right about that also


I'm assuming your random bump was due to news of Kamala "supposedly" pushing ahead of Trump. You can't be dense enough to believe that Iowa poll. Iowa is super conservative. More conservative than Ohio so why would she lead in Iowa and not Ohio. Logically explain that.

Trump even said in a clip on Rogan how expect to see them push her numbers up days before election which is happening now.

Republicans lead in North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia with early voting numbers. Trump will win all three. He will slightly win Georgia after him and the Governor made up. Will make a late push in Virginia but Kamala will still win that State


In 2020, before election day Democrats led Republicans in early voting by 1 million plus votes in Pennsylvania . Then on election day Biden only won by 80,000 votes because of Republicans infamously always having high election day turnout.

Now it's 4 years later where Trump is more popular and it's lower Democratic turnout. Only certain states like Georgia have higher black turnout. Georgia is an outlier. Other states like Pennsylvania have seen a big drop. Going back to my 2020 example, Democrats lead by much less this time and we have yet to see the major Election Day vote. When this happens you will see Trump win Pennsylvania by 1 to 3 points.


He will sweep the battleground states. Cardi B's appearance in Wisconsin will hurt Kamala there and he will win that state as well. If I'm not mistaken MC Lyte and Glorilla performed there as well. White women in Wisconsin probably saw all that on the local news and got even more convinced to vote for Trump. He has high turnout in the rural counties there and there will be lower turnout of other groups.

Michigan he will also win because he was endorsed by the Mayor of Dearborn and that will have him surprisingly get more Arab/Muslim votes.

Similarly to alot of Hispanics supporting Trump over the migrant crisis I bet many of the Arab population of Dearborn will say that they may not agree with his pro Israel policies but they also don't like the migrant crisis that has occurred under Biden and Kamala

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cn...olitics/muslim-leaders-michigan-trump-endorse

The Election isn't going to be very close at all. Trump will get around 312 electoral votes and race will be called early.

MSNBC even got exposed by someone who showed their mock up election night coverage

x.com

Other outliers

Trump promising no taxes on tips, social security, no income tax etc...probably the typical politician BS and unlikely to happen. But things like this will be in people's heads when they vote.

Like with his pro crypto/Bitcoin statements

When I'm proven right about all this and after you pay me I will reveal my other predictions of what will happen in his presidency

Senior women breaking for Kamala is curtains for Trump.

 

[Sghost597]

 

[Sghost597]

how do you see the rest of the thread?

You click the tweet. Then, scroll through the comments

 

[hashmander]

CUT IT OFF! CUT IT OFF! "live stream will resume shortly"

 

[hashmander]

You click the tweet. Then, scroll through the comments

oh you need a twitter account for that now.

edit: i went to threadreader

Thread by @CNviolations on Thread Reader App

@CNviolations: Poppy being violated by Community Notes 🧵 New updated thread. 1. How it all began 2. The confusion and obsession 3. The double down 4. Community Notes tries again Quick break from the thread. If...…

threadreaderapp.com

 

[CEO of Morgan Industries]

You click the tweet. Then, scroll through the comments

Not if you don't have a Twitter account and aren't logged in.

 

[ill_will82]

 

[Frump]

Oh it’s over there talking about voter suppression over a poll that’s not even that bad for him

 

[CEO of Morgan Industries]

Incoherent polling. She wouldn't be up two in WI and NC, but tied in MI.

Living through three straight elections of a slow rolling realignment has been strange.

 

[Sghost597]

 

[Roger king]

What are the (3) cycles it was undercounted?

The first one was 2016 where polls showed trump trailing several points in swing states, he won every blue wall state, in 2020 polls overestimate biden margin of victory . A polling error of one or two percentage points in trump path like in the previous two election cycles would be the third election and a strong trump win

 

[ill_will82]

Incoherent polling. She wouldn't be up two in WI and NC, but tied in MI.

Living through three straight elections of a slow rolling realignment has been strange.

I believe she wins MI if Detroit/Wayne County comes out in droves for Kamala.

 

[Sghost597]

 

[BiggWebb79]