The official early voting mail in ballot data thread

bnew

Veteran
Joined
Nov 1, 2015
Messages
59,218
Reputation
8,782
Daps
163,949

1/1
Florida Turnout (October 21)
@FloridaGOP +18,899 over @FlaDems
- GOP: 679,644 (40.5%)
- DEM: 660,745 (39.3%)
- OTH: 338,751 (20.2%)
Statewide turnout is R+1.1
Dems outperforming GOP in 57/67 counties.
See county-level data here: FreshTake.Vote




To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
Gac_A-VXUAEOk9b.png
 

™BlackPearl The Empress™

Long Live the Empire
Supporter
Joined
Sep 30, 2013
Messages
46,962
Reputation
20,029
Daps
188,140
While Trump is sitting up having fantasies about Arnold Palmers junk he might want to realize that his followers are going to have to have a huge same day vote to catch up to the early vote numbers that Harris is stacking up.
Absentee ballets won Biden the election in 2019/2020. I think it will do the same for Harris. Trump has never won the popular vote.
 

Belize King

I got concepts of a plan.
Joined
Mar 11, 2022
Messages
3,312
Reputation
1,224
Daps
11,156
My wife pressed me this morning like "Did you vote yet?:ld:"

I told her that this is Illinois. It don't matter if I did or didn't or whoever I would've voted for. I also told her I'm not sold on Kamala yet, just so she can get an attitude and I can watch college football in peace
diabolical-seinfeld.gif
 

the cac mamba

Veteran
Bushed
Joined
May 21, 2012
Messages
102,485
Reputation
13,694
Daps
299,380
Reppin
NULL
While Trump is sitting up having fantasies about Arnold Palmers junk he might want to realize that his followers are going to have to have a huge same day vote to catch up to the early vote numbers that Harris is stacking up.
would be a real shame if they got some bad weather :mjpls:
 

rabbid

Superstar
Joined
Mar 11, 2022
Messages
6,847
Reputation
1,623
Daps
23,767
We getting her in. Alot of old people like to show up in person though so it's not over.
 

Clayton Endicott

Superstar
Joined
Jul 11, 2015
Messages
13,067
Reputation
4,073
Daps
49,315
Reppin
A lodge of the Saints John of Jerusalem
Absentee ballets won Biden the election in 2019/2020. I think it will do the same for Harris. Trump has never won the popular vote.
This is exactly why he moved heaven and earth to try and squash mail in ballots and installed Dejoy as postmaster general. He said himself that he feared republicans would never win the white house again if those were allowed.
 

bnew

Veteran
Joined
Nov 1, 2015
Messages
59,218
Reputation
8,782
Daps
163,949

12/22
@VoteHubUS
Georgia 🍑
Early voting update
In-person: 1,594,723 ballots
Mail: 99,623 ballots
Statewide turnout: 23.5%

Gender breakdown: 55.3% Female, 44.5% Male
Race breakdown: 59.3% White, 27.4% Black, 13.3% Other

White turnout: 27.0%
Black turnout: 21.5%

Turnout for each county shown below. https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-turnout



GaftOHgWkAA-7rV.jpg


13/22
@DelonFerdinand
Really comes down to if white woman are more for Harris or Trump and everything we’ve seen is they are for Harris this cycle. So this to me seems very promising



14/22
@H1M_16
Women are pissed



15/22
@DebunkM9790
Trump is toast.



GafyFzdXEAABa92.jpg


16/22
@happy_cali
Question: you have (2) different references to race % breakdown. What’s the difference between the two (59.3/27.4 v 27.0/21.5)



17/22
@ANTO1324
Interesting



18/22
@Ceo_Branding
This would seem to favor Harris. But the analytics suggest Trump would win if election was today.

But things like this provide glitches in the matrix. A few key thoughts:

[Quoted tweet]
If the election were held today, Donald Trump would win!

Polls like Emerson show Trump gaining momentum, indicating a clear pattern of acceleration over the last 60 days.

However, the election isn’t today, and the Harris campaign seems to be rolling out strategic countermeasures.

Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are dialed in more on their closing message toward big-tent optimism, hosting events with Liz Cheney and focusing on a broader, more favorable view of America. While yes, the Cheney collab may seem odd, there is a group of Republicans that voted for George W Bush and Harris efforts may get them to abstain on their presidential vote or support her.

The question remains: is there enough time to sway voters, or will the clock run out?

There are signs that Harris’s approach might be working. A new Associated Press-NORC poll shows Harris at 51% favorability compared to Trump’s 40% favorability and 58% unfavorable with 46% of voters preferring Harris on middle-class taxes.

Voters remain divided on key issues like the economy, with Trump still holding a slight edge on tariffs and immigration.

However, the Harris campaign’s focus on core issues like taxes and housing may be starting to resonate, as her favorability ratings rise and some of Trump’s traditional advantages fade.

The real question is whether this late momentum can be sustained in key swing states, or if Trump’s consistent base and ability to shift around the narrative outlast Harris’s late surge.

Time will tell if her coalition-building and optimistic messaging can sway enough undecided voters.

Will Harris strategy work or will time run out?

Or do you believe this race is already over?


GafqBfFW0AA_37P.jpg

GafqBfDXUAAgDFU.jpg


19/22
@StevenValdezII1
Maga has Georgia! They don’t want no more illegal immigrants



20/22
@lolwutbrosef
Black women carrying the state of GA since 2020



GafucE5XEAAuYYP.jpg


21/22
@croatiandaddi
Women are going to deliver this election for Harris 🩵



22/22
@CaptainUltraPr1
Vote for Harris! 💙
No more MAGA filth!




To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
 

bnew

Veteran
Joined
Nov 1, 2015
Messages
59,218
Reputation
8,782
Daps
163,949


1/2
~14,000 more Clark county mail ballots processed per @JohnRSamuelsen

NEVADA statewide ->

Total mail ballots returned: 154,943 (D+12)
Total early ballots cast: 104,729 (R+24)

🔴 Republican 101,178 votes (39%)
🔵 Democratic 95,290 votes (37%)
⚪️ Other 63,204 votes (24%)



2/2
Democrats gained about 1700 in this batch




To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196



1/1
Newest Total - Mail Ballots - Clark County, NV
10/21/2024

Dem 50,385 (45.4%) +20,307
Rep 30,078 (27.1%)
Other 30,514 (27.5%)

Total 110,977

More mail ballots were in the mail file last night than reported by the SOS. Dems have a bigger firewall than we thought from yesterday.




To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
 

bnew

Veteran
Joined
Nov 1, 2015
Messages
59,218
Reputation
8,782
Daps
163,949


1/2
I've been saying for several days now that the early vote looks strong for Dems in MI. A huge driver for that is turnout among modeled Dem women. At this point in '20 GOP women were turning out at a higher rate than Dem women (3.6 pts), right now Dem women have a 5.7 pt advantage



2/2
2010, 2014, you know... the elections where a majority of Americans voted for Republicans.




To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
GafjeXqXcAAGQNr.jpg
 
Top