The official early voting mail in ballot data thread

Elim Garak

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I hope they get caught cause I know it’s a felony to fk with the mail, but what I don’t want is this spreading and perhaps swinging a county or two and eventually the entire election
It's possible, but I think they would have probably done it by now if someone in a swing state was going to do it.
 

bnew

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1/2
@cjtackett
6,888,049 have Early Voted in Texas through 9 days (both in person and by mail).
Early voting has 3 more days to go.
In 2020, 57.22% of Registered Voters cast a ballot early
In 2024, 36.98% have cast a ballot early

Lots more details below
/search?q=#txlege



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2/2
@cjtackett
You can read my full write-up on the 3/4 mark of Early Voting and how 2024 compares to 2020.
Short story is we are broadly behind when you look at total registered voters, but some areas are more behind than others.
2024 Early Vote is 3/4 Done




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1/2
@cjtackett
Texas is 6 days into early voting. An update. We are 52.5% of the way to the 2020 EV vote total, but slightly behind the overall 2020 EV turnout of registered voters, due to 1.6 million new voters. (Reposting a non-washed out version of the video)



https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1850738341580345344/pu/vid/avc1/720x1280/-DgiMtyNrI1_rcOF.mp4

2/2
@cjtackett
And in case you want to read rather than watching me talk in the video above, or you’d like more charts, here is what I wrote on the first six days of Texas 2024 Early Voting.

Why The Tiers & Turnout Matter




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1/1
@HarrisVotes
Day 9 of /search?q=#EarlyVoting: As of October 29, 2024, /search?q=#HarrisCounty has recorded 876.1K+ total In-Person Early Votes for the November 5 General & Special Elections. 🗳️✅ /search?q=#harrisvotes /search?q=#harriscountyclerksoffice



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1/1
@ksatnews
The number of ballots cast in Bexar County during the 2024 general election is now 418,868.
Busiest, slowest polling locations in Bexar County during early voting




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1/3
@BFriedmanDC
After eight days of early voting in deep blue Dallas, Texas, the number of early voters is up dramatically. It's running well ahead of 2020 and 2016.

Dallas County early votes after eight days
2024: 407,382
2020: 388,509
2016: 331,467



2/3
@BFriedmanDC
Early voting in Dallas ends on Friday



3/3
@BFriedmanDC
Possibly. Don't know.




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1/1
@ShiftModal
After 4 days of early vote, roughly 20% turnout. For Travis to match it's early vote turnout from 2020, ~45k votes per day is what's needed. That's about what we've seen so far, but some slowdown is likely over the weekend, although mail ballots will continue to come in.



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IIVI

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Why would dude be that worried about Pennsylvania? Most likely knows he's losing that state and it sounds like a blowout.
 
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bnew

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1/11
@VoteHubUS
Pennsylvania 🚂
Mail and absentee voting update
Total: 1,625,706 (+75,578 since Oct 30)

🔵 Democratic 56.5% | 917,896 votes (+36,117)
🔴 Republican 32.6% | 530,086 votes (+28,350)
⚪️ Other 10.9% | 177,724 votes (+11,111)



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2/11
@SpencerHakimian
95% of D = 870K
5% of R = 25K
50% of Other = 90K

Kamala 985K
Donald 640K



3/11
@gusnlea
Interesting that the firewall actually grew by almost 10k, after staying put right around 380k for several days. Now it's almost 388k



4/11
@TremlFran
I'm a registered Other Independent and I voted Democrat in Pennsylvania btw. Don't assume all Independents voted for the rapist candidate



5/11
@Mr_T____1776
Philadelphia has delayed reporting.

The blue firewall is much bigger in reality.



6/11
@ConservBlue2020
Not looking good for the guy who tried to overturn the 2020 election.



7/11
@mamba082481
Firewall will be nearly 500,000



8/11
@FrankLdR3
The incredibly shrinking firewall.



9/11
@mamba082481
Election Day will be complete any diff as MAGA voting early.



10/11
@Tim_Walz_Tales
Just like I said, the satellite locations closed Tuesday and this is the first reporting day with out them. Ds gained again and will continue accelerating from here. Next Monday will be the biggest jump after weekend mail is processed.



11/11
@IAmVerySilky
We're so sorry your firewall is gone.




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Black Magisterialness

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1/11
@VoteHubUS
Pennsylvania 🚂
Mail and absentee voting update
Total: 1,625,706 (+75,578 since Oct 30)

🔵 Democratic 56.5% | 917,896 votes (+36,117)
🔴 Republican 32.6% | 530,086 votes (+28,350)
⚪️ Other 10.9% | 177,724 votes (+11,111)



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2/11
@SpencerHakimian
95% of D = 870K
5% of R = 25K
50% of Other = 90K

Kamala 985K
Donald 640K



3/11
@gusnlea
Interesting that the firewall actually grew by almost 10k, after staying put right around 380k for several days. Now it's almost 388k



4/11
@TremlFran
I'm a registered Other Independent and I voted Democrat in Pennsylvania btw. Don't assume all Independents voted for the rapist candidate



5/11
@Mr_T____1776
Philadelphia has delayed reporting.

The blue firewall is much bigger in reality.



6/11
@ConservBlue2020
Not looking good for the guy who tried to overturn the 2020 election.



7/11
@mamba082481
Firewall will be nearly 500,000



8/11
@FrankLdR3
The incredibly shrinking firewall.



9/11
@mamba082481
Election Day will be complete any diff as MAGA voting early.



10/11
@Tim_Walz_Tales
Just like I said, the satellite locations closed Tuesday and this is the first reporting day with out them. Ds gained again and will continue accelerating from here. Next Monday will be the biggest jump after weekend mail is processed.



11/11
@IAmVerySilky
We're so sorry your firewall is gone.




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We know there's gonna be a Red surge on Election day as the retierees actually have the time to go and vote at their polling place. However, if this is any indication of turnout and how its going....this could be huge for Dems.
 
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IIVI

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We know there's gonna be a Red surge on Election day as the retierees actually have the time to go and vote at their polling place. However, if this is any indication of turnout and how its going....this could be huge for Dems.
You got to consider, for some states like North Carolina last election: most of their votes were Early Votes.

Overall Turnout​

This section provides North Carolina voter turnout data for the 2020 general election, for all voting methods. View the data disaggregated by county, political party, or age group. For additional voter turnout trends, see the Voter Turnout Stats Report (PDF) for the 2020 general election.

Voting MethodNumber of Voters Who Voted
Early Voting3,629,461
Absentee By-Mail1,001,717
In Person on Election Day896,815
Provisional16,025

I also think this time around a lot more registered Republicans will vote for Kamala.
 

FaTaL

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We know there's gonna be a Red surge on Election day as the retierees actually have the time to go and vote at their polling place. However, if this is any indication of turnout and how its going....this could be huge for Dems.
i was defiantly worried about the energy of dems, hopefully its like this in every battle state
 

IIVI

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Men actually being inactive like in these states like this is not a good sign for Trump imo.
 
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