The official early voting mail in ballot data thread

DrexlersFade

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My wife pressed me this morning like "Did you vote yet?:ld:"

I told her that this is Illinois. It don't matter if I did or didn't or whoever I would've voted for. I also told her I'm not sold on Kamala yet, just so she can get an attitude and I can watch college football in peace
That's how you do it bothering nikkas on a Saturday about some damn voting just want you to be bothered lol
 

bnew

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1/10
@ghispainful
18 days before Election Day, Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) already has 85,000+ Democratic voters!!!!!

Dem return rate: 57.4%(!!!!)
GOP return rate: 47.8%

This is one of the fastest Democratic-trending counties in PA!

It’s the reason why Fetterman won by 5%!



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2/10
@BatSignal_78
Manifesting! 🤞🙏🏻✊🏾



3/10
@ThreeWishGirls
Reminder, there are registered Republicans like myself voting Harris-Walz. VOTE!!!! 💙🇺🇸



4/10
@tradershane24
Awesome



5/10
@BmoreProgressiv
The return rate differential I'm seeing all over the country is showing Dems have enthusiasm on their side



6/10
@alessandroBenC
How does that compare to 2020 and 2022?



7/10
@EricL18170
So he likely lost PA? Cautious optimism (make sure to vote!)



8/10
@crittergolf
Your numbers don’t match. If Trump is only 10% behind then Pa will be an easy win for republicans



9/10
@Dotspola2
it doesnty matter, dems are probablky gonna lose the election anyway.



10/10
@JHoggings32582
Trump will easily win Pennsylvania




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bnew

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1/11
@_fat_ugly_rat_
Georgia early voting is up to 24% of 2020's turnout and so far still no major changes from the first day's turnout have happened. Gwinnett, Cobb, DeKalb, and Southern rural GA are lagging behind while Fulton, the coast, and Northern GA are ahead.



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2/11
@Yousefstan41168
One request can you multiply the percents by 2020 margin of president then aggregate them for a total dem vs gop vote?



3/11
@HardLeft2024
Cobb is running ahead of the statewide avg tho



4/11
@CrazyAbe2010
Metro Atlanta and Southern GA need to pick up. Hopefully the weekend will be an opportunity to GOTV.



5/11
@gevakraoz
the gender gap is more than 10%



6/11
@LVote2020
Lots of people working the 9:00 am to 5:00 pm, M-F work schedule in the Atlanta suburbs & it's tough taking off time to vote.

Let's wait and see what happens this weekend, the first weekend of early voting - suburban voters typically vote in big numbers so they'll get it done.



7/11
@balldaqapp
Rural south was hit by Helene. Right?



8/11
@Mattlyons2121
Can someone explain purple vs. green? I’d imagine one is positive one’s negative?



9/11
@RandVegan
when you say up 24% you mean in absolute numbers? has it been normalized for the days remaining or percentage of days remaining?



10/11
@ZFlawles1s
this is so weird to analyze because literally none of it makes sense



11/11
@masteryodaiv
what are these divisions?




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bnew

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1/2
Something absolutely unbelievable is happening in Pennsylvania.

Lackawanna County (Scranton):

Dem Return Rate: 62.5%
GOP Return Rate: 49.6%



2/2
Democrats are vastly outvoting republicans, and the % of dems that return their ballots greatly exceeds that of republicans returning ballots :smile:




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bnew

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1/10
@cbouzy
We are starting to get in-person votes for Florida, and while it's still very early, Republicans will need to do much better than they are currently doing. @EvanPower is going to have a rough morning.



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2/10
@PhineasTme
It's Possible Everywhere, America! 🇺🇸

The /search?q=#BLUEWAVE Will Be From:

- 81 Million 2020 Blue Voters,

- 100 Million Eligible Non Voters,

- 8 Million New Voters (Turning 18 before Election Day),

- 3 Million New Citizen Voters, and

- ??? Million Previously Red Voters.

/search?q=#VOTE!



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3/10
@nickjamesthe1
It'll come down to the NPA voters.



4/10
@ajboyer
The narrative for three months has been that a ton of Republicans are not voting for Trump especially people above 65

And all the early votes that are being returned are high percentages for Republicans over 65…



5/10
@onpointpolitics
Wtf are you talking about. That’s way too narrow of a lead.



6/10
@FrankLdR3
The current on line betting for Florida. The trend is all Trump! New York will go Trump before Harris Florida.



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7/10
@itsYourGrace
Dude the early voting literally started today!!



8/10
@FrankLdR3
Unprecedented Red wave in a presidential election for Florida! These were Democrat counties.



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9/10
@Pickuptruckdude
Homie early voting literally started a few hours ago and you already judging?



10/10
@The_Legal_Diva
Florida is Trump country. Don't worry about us. /search?q=#MAGA
🇺🇲👊🇺🇲




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bnew

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1/11
@schlagteslinks
I would like to thank David Plouffe for acknowledging the existence of a group of voters that is extremely crucial but has been totally ignored by all the sick punditry this cycle:

Low propensity and irregular Democrats.

And by extension, low propensity anti-Trump-only voters.

[Quoted tweet]
"Trump is more reliant on first-time voters and irregular voters, and in the early voting data so far, there’s no suggestion they are turning out a bunch of irregular voters. In fact, in every battleground, we’ve got more irregular voters than he does" puck.news/harris-advisor-dav…


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2/11
@schlagteslinks
It's true that Trump gets a lot of people to show up to vote for him, who might not otherwise show up.

But he also gets a lot of people who wouldn't otherwise vote out to vote *against* him.

You would not know these people existed if you listened to the Failing New York Times.



3/11
@schlagteslinks
In 2020, Trump received 11.3 million more votes than he did in 2016.

But Biden received 15.5 million more votes than Hillary Clinton did in 2016.



4/11
@JaK321XY
the real silent majority



5/11
@Cascadia420
Trump basing his 24 campaign on victory from non/new voters, always gave me lots of flashbacks to Bernie 2020



6/11
@JJM352588
This is why the hoopla about the early vote by con et was silly. So far, they are just shifting high propensity voters who normally on Election Day to voting early.



7/11
@HacknerTyler
Nobody wants to talk about how much democrats fukking hate Trump (maybe because it’s obvious)



8/11
@rylandsculllen
Also the voting so far is dominated by female voters, trump is relying on a big surge of male voters, so far it’s not happening, we will see though.



9/11
@Democracy_Liker
i can tell you with good authority that anyone who believes the black voter splits has not spoken to a normal black person over 40 years old this cycle



10/11
@NSparkySW
Would this be an instance where a good ground could especially be effective for reaching those low propensity voters?



11/11
@EmpressThaliaa
All hail emperor plouffe tbh




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OneDeep

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Here me out

I don’t trust this because how many of these are going to come up missing possibly :patrice:

People really want to get him out the paint :wow:
 
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