I willBuy the dip
Unemployment is still considerably low. The amount of people claiming unemployment benefits is relatively low. Core PCE is creeping up again. CPI year over year is 3%. Average hourly earnings is still in the green. Credit is still flowing and accessible.They aren't going to. The fed impact on rates has been implemented enough. This pullback and the job report is evident of as much. We need consumers to be able to borrow in order for the economy to stabilize, and for spending to continue...employers are not lowering prices...they're cutting jobs instead. That is making things worse and can actually cause stagflation.
Getting super fukkedWhat about our crypto???
401k is getting fukked
Well, the fed is literally indicating that is not the case, themselves, in all recent statements. And the bolded is quite false. Banks continue to have tighter lending standards, multifamily and CRE is virtually dead, I don't know a single bank who is taking investment re deals right now, and pricing is incredibly restrictive because of how high rates are.Unemployment is still considerably low. The amount of people claiming unemployment benefits is relatively low. Core PCE is creeping up again. CPI year over year is 3%. Average hourly earnings is still in the green. Credit is still flowing and accessible.
There is no reason for the Fed to intervene at this moment because the economy is still stable. CPI is not anywhere near 2%, which the Fed said is their mandated benchmark for inflation. I can’t see the Fed doing anything without more data that supports lowering interest rates.
Who called it? I called it.
It moves different. Not even in the same category. Normies haven’t grasped it yet.What about our crypto???
Prices don't go down. Inflation is a measure of how fast prices go up. What you're talking about is deflation which is bad for any economy. Inflation is in check now close to the 2.5% the government sees as a healthy amount year over year.Well, the fed is literally indicating that is not the case, themselves, in all recent statements. And the bolded is quite false. Banks continue to have tighter lending standards, multifamily and CRE is virtually dead, I don't know a single bank who is taking investment re deals right now, and pricing is incredibly restrictive because of how high rates are.
I wouldn't say the economy is UNSTABLE but inflation is not going down because prices have stayed up, because the cost of goods have stayed up... because the cost of borrowing / renting / leasing has stayed up. There is no relief. A rate cut is the answer.
Regarding jobs, I don't think there is an unemployment problem but hiring is slow. And, first time unemployment starts (my #1 indicator of joblessness issues) is not improving
Most recent report
This is happening. September should see a rate cut and this sell off is leading it to seem more like 50 bps rather than 25.
Breh, the Fed doesn’t give two shyts about CRE. These people over levered themselves when money was cheap to borrow and got in over their heads.Well, the fed is literally indicating that is not the case, themselves, in all recent statements. And the bolded is quite false. Banks continue to have tighter lending standards, multifamily and CRE is virtually dead, I don't know a single bank who is taking investment re deals right now, and pricing is incredibly restrictive because of how high rates are.
I wouldn't say the economy is UNSTABLE but inflation is not going down because prices have stayed up, because the cost of goods have stayed up... because the cost of borrowing / renting / leasing has stayed up. There is no relief. A rate cut is the answer.
Regarding jobs, I don't think there is an unemployment problem but hiring is slow. And, first time unemployment starts (my #1 indicator of joblessness issues) is not improving
Most recent report
This is happening. September should see a rate cut and this sell off is leading it to seem more like 50 bps rather than 25.
Getting super fukked