Breaking: Stock market crash incoming (Update :sadcam)

[Wiseborn]

As someone in the know, cuts are coming Sept, Oct, December and 1st quarter next year and then will stabilizer at a new normal.

If nothing changes.

Dow industrials jump 300-plus points after half-percentage-point Fed rate cut

From Marketwatch

 

[Ed MOTHERFUCKING G]

Breh, the Fed doesn’t give two shyts about CRE. These people over levered themselves when money was cheap to borrow and got in over their heads.

People who bought residential homes when you could get interest rates at 2-3% aren’t selling, causing supply to shrink currently. Even if the fed lowers interest rates, it won’t be lower than .25 first round, and that won’t help homebuyers much.

Banks are still taking investment deals with 20-25% down and if you have collateral. They aren’t just lending Willy nilly like before. There is no credit crunch for responsible borrowers.



Put your account where your mouth is. If the fed doesn’t lower interest rates in September, accept a ban for 90 days. If they do, I’ll take the 90 day ban.

50 bps

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-lowers-interest-rates-by-half-point-in-first-cut-since-2020-090036093.html

You're welcome to ban yourself

 

[Swirv]

50 bps

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-lowers-interest-rates-by-half-point-in-first-cut-since-2020-090036093.html

You're welcome to ban yourself

You never accepted the ban bet

Well one I'm not a prophet and don't bet over some finbro shyt like this, I might be right, you might be right.

You are correct regarding CRE, I was mentioning that just as an indicator of financial health, and yes I'm sure the fed doesn't care about that directly. but the impact of high rates to main street is my true point and that is very sound.
I'm going by what the fed officials and Powell are saying.


He would not have even whispered several cuts if it wasn't discussed.

That said, we'll see. I'm confident in 25, and I believe 50 is quite possible.

 

[Ed MOTHERFUCKING G]

You never accepted the ban bet

I was still right

like I said, you can ban yourself if you want, idc either way, but I was right

 

[Swirv]

I was still right

like I said, you can ban yourself if you want, idc either way, but I was right

You were right. The data gave them basis. I’m not banning shyt though since you didn’t want to make the bet official

 

[Ed MOTHERFUCKING G]

You were right. The data gave them basis. I’m not banning shyt though since you didn’t want to make the bet official

all good

 

[Swirv]

all good

You think inflation will resume?

 

[IIVI]

Next decade plus of Democratic Leadership

Folks need to skill up, job market going to be back.

Called this one too:

If this drives down the price of Crowdstrike more, that might be a possible play. I heard they're about to get sued though.

Thing is Crowdstrike basically has the whole lane though.

 

[DaPresident]

Eff It!




































Eff a dinner…
Hov gon be working for me now

 

[B86]

You think inflation will resume?

I'm lost on the definition of inflation at this point. When does "inflation" technically become new baseline? Like how long is it considered inflation before it just is what it is as the new normal? What statistic has to catch up with what on the graphs/charts?

 

[Ed MOTHERFUCKING G]

You think inflation will resume?

i think it will flatten but more importantly, with lower rates and greater access to capital, people will be able to keep up with incremental inflation. Higher cost of borrower significantly hampered that.

 

[cyndaquil]

I'm lost on the definition of inflation at this point. When does "inflation" technically become new baseline? Like how long is it considered inflation before it just is what it is as the new normal? What statistic has to catch up with what on the graphs/charts?

Inflation is always like you said "just is what it is" it's a measure if the value of money today vs some date in the future or past.
A strong growing economy always has inflation. Fed tries to keep it between 2-3% which they believe is healthy growth.

 

[Swirv]

I'm lost on the definition of inflation at this point. When does "inflation" technically become new baseline? Like how long is it considered inflation before it just is what it is as the new normal? What statistic has to catch up with what on the graphs/charts?

I should’ve been more specific

i think it will flatten but more importantly, with lower rates and greater access to capital, people will be able to keep up with incremental inflation. Higher cost of borrower significantly hampered that.

I hope you’re right, but the world is so unstable now, another unforeseen war too close to western interests will screw us.

Not to mention if Trump gets in office threatening to increase tariffs on all imports.

 

[JLova]

Recession should occur within the next 12 months.

 

[horizon]

This accurate?