2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread

[Loose]

Yea republicans scared about PA, this tells me that

 

[Dillah810]

TikTok - Make Your Day

 

[Outlaw]

Should Kamala send Obama or Walz on Rogan?

 

[taker597]

Reaching Obama territory of crowd sizes

Edit: fake. Been bamboozled

 

[Reality Check]

Campaign ok'd the Puerto Rico line.

 

[wire28]

Reaching Obama territory of crowd sizes

I never doubted @Outlaw and @Pressure

My auntie in Fayetteville bless her gonna see madam president

 

[((ReFleXioN)) EteRNaL]

Reaching Obama territory of crowd sizes

People saying this is from a Helene benefit in Charlotte

 

[Pressure]

Reaching Obama territory of crowd sizes

That’s from the concert for Carolina concert this weekend.

Eric church, Billy strings etc

 

[StatUS]

Reaching Obama territory of crowd sizes

Stage looks like it's set for Wrestlemania.

 

[Frump]

 

[taker597]

Concern trolling as a campaign tactic... Oof

 

[taker597]

People saying this is from a Helene benefit in Charlotte

God damn... Reached my bamboozled quota for the day

 

[taker597]

I never seen so many polls....

 

[Conan]

Good. Doesn't affect the Bezos bottom line but would be nice to have Harris check him when she becomes president.

She's too much of a middle-of-the-road capitalist to do that

this is pretty funny, 11% of the kids supporting gary johnson in 2016

Wonder if Republicans hate-blame Perot for "swinging the election to Clinton"

this is really interesting on polling:

It is, but pollsters do not choose weights on a whim. They use data to make educated guesses on the appropriate weight that best fits data and trends, then apply those weights in their forecasts.

The issue with that is the paucity of data. Only 1 election every 4 years, and you can't go back more than 30 years, the country has changed so much. So there is just so much noise in the data.

See those prediction lines for Kamala and Trump? Just slap fat bell curves around each line. The overlap of those 2 bells represents how it's futile to precisely call a winner ahead of time.

I think it's simply better to hedge against the worst outcome. Simply put: bet on Trump

 

[wire28]

Kamala in Ann Arbor today? damn I should have swung by for a minute

God damn... Reached my bamboozled quota for the day

It’s okay big dog your hearts in the right place