Roster Reload: Grizzlies must retain Gasol and acquire some shooting
2014-15 record: 55-27
Pythagorean record: 50-32
Offensive Rating: 103.1 (13th)
Defensive Rating: 99.9 (4th)
Under Contract for 2015-16
Player Salary RPM WARP
Mike Conley $9,388,426 1.8 7.8
Zach Randolph $9,638,555 4.8 7.2
Tony Allen $5,168,539 4.1 2.7
Vince Carter $4,088,019 -2.0 0.7
Courtney Lee $5,675,000 -1.0 0.5
Jarnell Stokes $845,059 -1.6 0.4
Jordan Adams $1,404,600 -2.4 0.3
Draft picks
Own first-round pick (25th)
Projected cap space
Maximum: $26.6 million
Minimum: $0
Likely: $0
What's returning
Point guard
Mike Conley is entering the final season of a five-year, $40 extension that
was panned when he signed it but has proven to be one of the league's best bargains. While the depth of the Western Conference has kept Conley out of the All-Star Game, his untimely playoff injury helped reinforce his value to the Grizzlies.
Memphis signed
Zach Randolph to a two-year extension before last season, which had been the last on his contract, and he's set to make a reasonable $20 million over that span. Randolph, who turns 34 in July, has shown few signs of slowing down on the court.
Starting wings
Tony Allen and
Courtney Lee are also both under contract, as is veteran backup
Vince Carter. As the Grizzlies have attempted to upgrade their shooting, Allen has proven difficult to keep out of the starting lineup because of his elite one-on-one defense. Lee is the team's best all-around wing player, a capable defender who shot 40.2 percent from 3-point range. Memphis will hope for a bounceback from Carter, who struggled with injuries, though such maladies might be inevitable for Carter at age 38.
The Grizzlies' 2014 draft picks,
Jordan Adams and
Jarnell Stokes, saw little action as rookies. Both showed promise in limited opportunities and may be ready to compete for more minutes in year two.
Free agents
All eyes will be on center
Marc Gasol, one of the top unrestricted free agents on the market. Gasol has established deep roots in Memphis, having attended high school in the area while his brother Pau played for the Grizzlies before playing all seven of his NBA seasons with the organization. As a result, it's hard to see Gasol choosing to head elsewhere.
Gasol's backup,
Kosta Koufos, is also an unrestricted free agent and more likely to find a new home. Koufos has been productive in limited minutes behind and alongside Gasol. He figures to get a raise from the $3 million he made this season and could even end up a starter in the right situation.
Forward
Jeff Green, acquired from the
Boston Celtics midseason, has a decision between making $9.2 million in the final year of his contract or hitting free agency. A big postseason might have improved Green's chances of cashing in on a long-term deal, but he struggled after joining the Grizzlies. That might make waiting until the cap goes up in the summer of 2016 more prudent.
Biggest need: Shooting
Copy and paste this section from last year's Memphis offseason preview ... and the year before ... and the year before. The Grizzlies' Grit-and-Grind style causes problems for opponents, but ultimately they've found it difficult to score enough to beat elite opposition like the
San Antonio Spurs in the 2013 Western Conference finals and the
Golden State Warriors this season.
Despite efforts to add shooters, Memphis still finished 29th in both makes and attempts from 3-point range and 22nd in percentage. In particular, the bench's shooting was an issue. Carter shot just 29.7 percent from beyond the arc, backup point guard
Beno Udrih 25.6 percent and combo guard
Nick Calathes 24.1 percent.
Biggest question: How do the Grizzlies reach the next level?
A 15-2 start and an 11-1 stretch after the Green trade suggested that Memphis could compete with anyone. And, given that the Grizzlies led their series with the Warriors 2-1, perhaps that is true. However, Golden State dominated the series overall, and Memphis' point differential during the regular season (plus-3.2) ranked sixth in the Western Conference, far behind teams like the Warriors (plus-10.1), L.A. Clippers (plus-6.6) and San Antonio Spurs (plus-3.2). With the Grizzlies' big men in their 30s, it's tough to see how they close that gap. Memphis can hang around in the hopes of a breakthrough like the
Dallas Mavericks enjoyed en route to the 2011 championship, but the Grizzlies are going to need a lucky break like the Mavericks got adding
Tyson Chandler on the cheap.
Ideal offseason
Gasol quickly and quietly re-ups for five more years in the mid-South. Green opts in, and the Grizzlies deal him and Vince Carter to the
Los Angeles Clippers in exchange for
Jamal Crawford and
Spencer Hawes, giving them more shooting off the bench. Adams becomes a rotation player, giving Memphis a deep perimeter group, albeit not one with much size.