I believe it. I always felt they were fearful of Saban 2.0. Plus, the optics of firing the first black coach in history, without giving him a fair shake. I think negotiations with Herman were shakey, and they are figuring, just give Strong a 4th year if they beat TCU. If he fails next year and they fire him, he got 4 years, no one will bytch. If he succeeds, UT is riding high.
Negotiations wouldn't get in the way of hiring Herman, politics just might, and this is in regards to UT Houston. It would behoove McRaven and company to stay on good terms with the City of Houston, hiring away their coach may or may not affect that. But they can't hire Herman and then he ends up leaving for another job anyway.
Strong is gone no matter what happens Saturday brehs.