They're 3-30 and not tanking. What they lack is that guy whose talent vaults them up towards mid-tier to go with Cade the way Banchero was able to join with Wagner and have Orlando look solid in a year. That guy isn't in next year's draft.
Ron Holland sucks. You want a guy who is shooting 13% from 3 currently to join the Pistons? He's Ausar if Ausar was only marginally better than what he is now.
Topic and Bradshaw might be Detroit's best bets and they're raw (Topic a little less raw)
You're too focused on this one draft. The pick is top-18 protected this year, top-13 protected next year, top-11 protected 2026, and top-9 protected in 2027. The Pistons have to suck for another half a decade in order to keep every pick.
Don't lose sight of the initial comparison: The Houston Rockets, whose top pick has played 12 games at 15 mpg. They overpaid FVV and Dillon Brooks, which was enough to push them out of the bottom 10 anyway. Teams don't go from bottom to mid in a flash, but they can go from bottom-5 picks to 10-14 range pretty quickly...and Detroit's got 4 years before the pick swap dissolves.
The Pistons will have a bunch of cap space and a desperate GM this offseason. That's not a recipe to get good in a single offseason, but can move them from worst to 9th worst by 2027? Yeah...I could picture that.
So you're at Cade/Ausar/Bojan/Ivey/Duren/Top-5 pick in 2024/Top-12 pick in 2025/Top-10 pick in 2026 before they STILL have to be a bottom-9 team to keep their first. Plus, they'd have to whiff on every free agent and turn no impact trades in that span of time.
On the Ron Holland tip, no, he doesn't suck. He's not a good fit for Detroit, but I didn't say he was. I just said he's got a high ceiling. Consider that he's 18 and already marginally better than a 20-year-old top-10 rookie in Ausar Thompson. Holland's upside is
nice, but he's a lot better for Washington, who should be eventually dumping Kuz/Poole/Jones, eventually.
I haven't watched Topic at all to judge. Bradshaw is good and would allow them to move Duren for a talented vet. Though, I think Sarr is the pick if they go big. Sarr is my favorite draft prospect by a wide margin (though I don't start doing draft class deep dives until closer to March).