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Kiper: NFL Rookie Rankings
This is the first year I've done a regular ranking of the rookies, and I'm finding that in some ways it can be even tougher than pegging the best prospects. With prospects, you try to separate what you're seeing with what a player is capable of. If I see an undersized defensive end who isn't holding up well against the run but has special quickness and pass-rushing skills, there's a good chance he's an outside linebacker at the next level. I'm projecting. His grade isn't just about performance; it's about what he can be.
It's a different story with NFL rookies. Most rookies are being used to maximize their skills. I consider the players around them and how much help they're getting, but these rankings are about pure performance, not just potential.
Again, the usual parameters:
• The rankings reflect play over the whole season, not just the previous Sunday.
• Positional value matters, but overall performance and impact on the team matter more.
• I'm asking: Would this player be a starter on most teams? (I think that hurts QBs some).
• Total snap count matters. Great plays matter, but staying on the field is important.
With the rules in place, here we go. This week, I decided to go 35 deep:
1. Sheldon Richardson, DT, New York Jets
He's been a solid, steady performer week after week for the Jets. It's interesting to note that Richardson is the top rookie defensive lineman in the NFL right now and former Jets first-rounder
Muhammad Wilkerson is right there among the top overall defensive linemen in the NFL at this point. Richardson is particularly dominant against the run, with great vision and a sense of where the ball is headed. Rex Ryan has to be thrilled with the line, and second-year man
Damon Harrison has also been outstanding.
2. Kiko Alonso, ILB, Buffalo
Production, athleticism, instincts and passion for the game are what get your attention. The former Oregon Duck is leading the Bills defense with 70 tackles while also recording a sack and coming away with four interceptions. He's all over the field right now, and you can tie Alonso's presence to an overall improvement for the defense, given his versatility and that he never comes off the field. He struggled against the Bengals two weeks ago but has looked good since.
3. Kenny Vaccaro, S, New Orleans
He's played nothing close to mistake-free football, but he doesn't come off the field for a defense that is giving up 102 fewer yards per game than it did last year. Vaccaro's best area has been in coverage, and he simply needs to be more consistent both in his routes and his tackling. But he's made a difference. He's also made some big plays, including the game-saver against Atlanta.
4. Star Lotulelei, DT, Carolina
His combination of power and quickness makes life miserable for opposing guards and centers. The way he disrupts a blocking scheme allows MLB
Luke Kuechly to flow to the football and lead the Panthers defense in tackles. What you end up with is a player who is already one of the best run-game disruptors in the NFL, both through his ability to create stops and because he occupies blocks so well.
5. Alec Ogletree, LB, St. Louis
His speed and athleticism fit today's pass-happy NFL perfectly. The former Georgia Bulldog has been a key entity on defense for the Rams, making his presence felt in a variety of ways. Ogletree is second on the team with 51 tackles, just four behind MLB
James Laurinaitis. He's also broken up four passes and come away with an interception that he returned for a touchdown. He overruns plays and can miss reads, but he'll get better.
6. Geno Smith, QB, New York Jets
He's battled through some rough games and shown tremendous resiliency, leading the Jets to four wins in the early going, which is more wins than 18 teams in the NFL. I thought going into the 2013 campaign that the Jets would win only four or five games the entire season. Smith bounced back from a poor performance against the Steelers to lead the Jets to an upset victory over Tom Brady and the Pats on Sunday. What impressed me with Smith was his ability to convert critical third-down opportunities while again showing that he can beat a defense with his arm and his legs. Is he a starter on most teams? Probably not. But I liked the pick, and I like what he's made of his situation.
7. Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego
Maybe he's a little high based on aggregate performance, but this shows some respect for the trend line. After a slow start (not uncommon for a rookie wide receiver), he's now tied for the team lead in targets among wide receivers with 37 and has 23 of his 26 receptions over the past four games. Allen is a first-round talent that lasted until the third because he couldn't get healthy during the draft process. The Chargers are reaping the benefits.
8. Tyrann Mathieu, S, Arizona
When we would have meetings in preparation for the draft, Jon Gruden would argue that Mathieu was worth a first-round pick because of his natural football instincts and ability as a playmaker. Gruden was right. Mathieu looks like a steal, has played more than 400 snaps, can play slot and safety, can come on blitzes and, so far, can do pretty much everything well. He's a football player.
9. Eric Reid, S, San Francisco
He's only fifth on the team in tackles, but he's been a big-play performer as a rookie starter in the 49ers deep patrol. Reid has broken up five passes, picked off three passes -- he had two last year at LSU -- and recovered a fumble. If he can limit missed tackles, he's a contender for defensive rookie of the year.
10. Jordan Reed, TE, Washington
Flying up the board. He moves into the top 10 after a spectacular performance Sunday against the Bears. He's second on the team with 26 receptions, two of which have gone for TDs. The supertalented pass-catching tight end has become a key go-to guy for RG III. He dropped to the third round after some so-so combine numbers -- particularly an average 40 time for a guy pegged as an athletic tight end -- but he's showing he can play.
11. Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati
He hasn't been able to break off a big run and has seen his average yards per carry drop in recent weeks, but his role in the offense is more defined and his versatility is obvious. With Bernard, you have to talk about the role in the passing game. He's already hauled in 25 receptions and is on pace for about 1,100 total yards, and it's still early.
12. Desmond Trufant, CB, Atlanta
He got off to just an OK start but has improved over the past four weeks and is playing like the best corner the Falcons have -- and
Asante Samuel is a part of that secondary. Trufant's great strength is that he doesn't have a distinct weakness. He covers well, limits yards after the catch and maintains his versatility.
13. Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay
I'm giving a bump based on recent performance and trajectory, and because he missed time after a cheap shot. Lacy has been good when he's played but missed basically three full games after taking that shot to the head against Washington. A full 301 of his 352 rushing yards for the season have come over the past three games. More importantly, he looks capable of truly diversifying the Packers offense, which says a lot.
14. Travis Frederick, C, Dallas
He got abused early in a matchup with
Dontari Poe of the Chiefs, but he's bounced back and has combined with veteran free-agent signee
Brian Waters to solidify the interior of the Cowboys offensive line, which had been a major weak link in previous seasons. I didn't love the value of the draft slot, but Frederick is making the pick look good so far.
15. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Houston
I'm giving Hopkins the benefit of the doubt because the QB play has suffered in recent weeks and his totals have as well. I had him ranked higher early, with 18 of his 28 receptions coming during the first three games of the season. Good hands and explosiveness after the catch will keep him valuable.