Essential The Official ESPN Insider Thread (ESPN+)

Skooby

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4. Which injury has/will have the biggest impact this season?


Haney: This is a different take on the question, but I think Jeff Driskel going down could be something that winds up benefiting Florida. Tyler Murphy has an ease to him that Driskel never could seem to attain, as much as his coaching staff believed he would. It's in only limited action that we have seen Murphy play, but he might be what the Gators offense needed (to go along with an outstanding defense). Florida isn't cooked in the SEC East without Driskel.

Weidl: I'm interested to see how severe Oregon RB De'Anthony Thomas' ankle injury is. Reports are that it's a high-ankle sprain, which can be a nagging injury and could hamper his quickness and elusiveness -- his primary strengths. The Ducks are about to enter the heart of their schedule, with Washington, UCLA and Stanford looming, and will need Thomas' versatility and big-play ability to get through unblemished.

Joyner: Coming into the season, there were reasons to believe that Nelson Agholor could ostensibly replace Robert Woods. However, there is no receiver in college football capable of replacing Marqise Lee. If his knee injury keeps him out a while -- and it should be noted that he's downplayed the severity so far -- it will hamstring an offense that only recently found some of its scoring footing.

Carter: Jeff Driskel's season-ending injury will have the biggest impact in college football this season. His injury changes the dynamic within the Gators squad tremendously -- but possibly for the better. This team still has Urban Meyer's thumbprint on it. Specifically, Florida is built to run the spread offense from a structural, schematic and recruiting standpoint. It possesses more speed than most teams at the skill positions and has the offensive line to block well in space. In my opinion, the Gators are not designed to downhill run, and even with Driskel didn't have the traditional QB to efficiently read coverage and deliver the football. Now, however, Florida has gone back to spread-concept runs and simple plays that take advantage of speed matchups that favor their superior athletes.

5. Which team should be on upset alert heading into Week 6?


Haney: Ohio State fans barked at me last week for saying I thought Wisconsin had a chance, so I'm sure they won't appreciate me saying I think the Buckeyes should be very careful this week against Northwestern. It's the Wildcats' Super Bowl, with OSU -- and "College GameDay" -- coming to town. They had a week to get healthy, and Pat Fitzgerald told me in July that his team has the talent to compete with anyone in the league. This would certainly be a chance to prove it. I think OSU will have to sweat.

Weidl: Stanford, Ohio State and Arizona State all face tough challenges but I'm going to go off the radar with Miami hosting Georgia Tech. Canes QB Stephen Morris is battling an ankle injury and hasn't been able to finish the past two contests. Miami has exceeded expectations on defense but will have to play with great discipline this week against the Yellow Jackets' triple-option attack. It should also be noted that Georgia Tech will have had two extra days of preparation after playing Thursday night last week.

Joyner: No. 17 Baylor had better not take unranked West Virginia lightly. Dana Holgorsen has a long history of building top-notch passing offenses and it looks like he's found that mojo again with Clint Trickett under center. These teams had a 70-63 shootout last year won by the Mountaineers, and it would not be a surprise to see another high-scoring, back-and-forth tilt this Saturday.

Carter: Clemson should be on high alert this weekend as it squares off versus Syracuse. This is the Orange's first year playing in the ACC, and they are looking to make their mark against every conference opponent on the slate. However, it's not because of Syracuse that there's such a concern heading into Week 6; history has shown on more than one occasion that Clemson has been known to derail itself, often shooting down its conference or national title hopes by losing to a less-than-worthy opponent.
 

Skooby

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Are Heat among top dynasties?

The Miami Heat are looking to make history in 2013-14, aiming to become just the sixth team in NBA history to win three consecutive championships. The five teams that have accomplished that feat so far are:
● 1952-54 Minneapolis Lakers
● 1959-66 Boston Celtics
● 1990-92 Chicago Bulls
● 1996-98 Chicago Bulls
● 2000-02 Los Angeles Lakers
In order to assess where the Heat might fall among this group, the dynasties above were ranked using a system based on both regular-season and playoff performance.
First, each team's point differential, including both regular-season and playoff games, was adjusted for strength of schedule. Second, the standard deviation of the SRS (Simple Rating System) values from above was computed for each season. Third, a five-year moving average of the standard deviations from above was computed. (This is done to smooth out short-term fluctuations in the data.) And finally, each team's SRS was divided by the moving average from above, yielding the number of standard deviations the team's SRS was above or below average (labeled "Z" in the tables below).
Based on this system, here is a ranking of the five dynasties outlined above followed by an analysis of how the Heat stack up.

1. 1996-98 Chicago Bulls
Season Reg. season Playoffs SRS Z
1995-96 72-10 15-3 12.1 2.39
1996-97 69-13 15-4 10.5 2.14
1997-98 62-20 15-6 7.8 1.61
Overall 203-43 45-13 10.1 2.05

Led by Hall of Famers Michael Jordan and Scottie Pippen, the Bulls had the most dominant three-season stretch in NBA history.

Chicago's win totals in 1995-96 and 1996-97 are the two highest in league history, and the Bulls are one of just three teams to win at least 75 percent of their games for three consecutive seasons (the others being the 1984-86 Celtics and 1985-88 Lakers).
Overall, Chicago's three-year regular-season win percentage of .825 is the best in NBA history, and its three-year playoff win percentage of .776 ties the 1991-93 Bulls and 2000-02 Lakers for the best ever.
2. 1960-62 Boston Celtics
Season Reg. season Playoffs SRS Z
1959-60 59-16 8-5 7.5 1.97
1960-61 57-22 8-2 5.7 1.44
1961-62 60-20 8-6 7.9 1.96
Overall 176-58 24-13 7.0 1.79

The Celtics won eight straight titles from 1959 through 1966, but I've chosen to rank them here based on their best three-year run in that stretch.
An argument could be made that eight straight championships trumps everything else, and there is a certain logic to that. On the other hand, in some ways the Bulls' run of six titles in eight seasons is more impressive:
● The NBA had just eight or nine teams during the Celtics' run, but the league had 27 or 29 teams during the Bulls' run.
● The Celtics had to win 17 playoff series in their eight championship seasons, while the Bulls had to win 24 playoff series in two fewer title runs.
● The Celtics were taken to the limit in eight playoff series, almost half of their total series played, while the Bulls were taken to the limit just twice.
Regardless, winning eight consecutive titles is a remarkable feat, something that is extremely unlikely to happen again.

3. 1991-93 Chicago Bulls
Season Reg. season Playoffs SRS Z
1990-91 61-21 15-2 9.3 1.91
1991-92 67-15 15-7 9.9 2.05
1992-93 57-25 15-4 6.7 1.40
Overall 185-61 45-13 8.6 1.79
Although Chicago's two dynasties occurred within an eight-year period, just two players from the later run also played in the early run: Jordan and Pippen.
It's worth noting that four of the top six single-season performances among the teams on this list came from the Bulls:
1. 1995-96 Bulls (z = 2.39)
2. 1996-97 Bulls (z = 2.14)
3. 1991-92 Bulls (z = 2.05)
4. 1959-60 Celtics (z = 1.97)
5. 1961-62 Celtics (z = 1.96)
6. 1990-91 Bulls (z = 1.91)

4. 2000-02 Los Angeles Lakers
Season Reg. season Playoffs SRS Z
1999-00 67-15 15-8 7.9 1.77
2000-01 56-26 15-1 5.8 1.35
2001-02 58-24 15-4 7.4 1.75
Overall 181-65 45-13 7.0 1.62

Like the Bulls teams above, this Lakers dynasty was coached by Phil Jackson. But unlike those Bulls teams, the Lakers were never able to pair a dominant regular season with a dominant playoff performance.
In 1999-00, the Lakers sailed through the regular season, winning 11 more games than any other team. But they struggled a bit in the playoffs, as they were extended to the limit in two of their four series and outscored their opponents by just 2.4 points per game.
The next season was a complete reversal, as the Lakers struggled (for them) during the regular season. However, they proceeded to go on the greatest playoff run in NBA history, losing just one game and outscoring their opponents by an average of 12.8 points per game.

5. 1952-54 Minneapolis Lakers
Season Reg. season Playoffs SRS Z
1951-52 40-26 9-4 5.0 1.29
1952-53 48-22 9-3 5.5 1.74
1953-54 46-26 9-4 3.4 1.14
Overall 134-74 27-11 4.7 1.39

The NBA's first dynasty, the Minneapolis Lakers won five titles in a six-year span from 1949 through 1954.
The 1952-53 team helps illustrate why standardization is necessary. The Lakers' SRS of 5.5 is below average among the teams in this group, but their z-score of 1.74 moves them to the middle of the pack, just below the 1999-00 Lakers who had an SRS of 7.9.
So where do the Heat stand heading into this season?

Season Reg. season Playoffs SRS Z
2011-12 46-20 16-7 6.6 1.46
2012-13 66-16 16-7 7.2 1.59
Overall 112-36 32-14 6.9 1.53

Based on its performance the last two seasons, Miami would be slotted between the two Lakers dynasties (Nos. 4 and 5, respectively). In order to pass the 2000-02 Lakers, the Heat would need to win the championship this season and post a Z-score of 1.82 or higher, a difficult but not impossible task. However, Miami stands almost no chance of breaking into the top three on this list.
 

PHamm

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so did jeff fisher hate vince young the whole time because of Texas' victory over USC in the 2006 Rose Bowl ? :ohhh:
 

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If BCS standings came out today...

We're still more than a week from the first official BCS standings of the season, but curiosity got the better of me a few days earlier than normal, so I went ahead and crunched the numbers.

Because the first Harris poll doesn't come out until Sunday, one-third of the BCS formula is unavailable. Therefore, I decided to make the coaches' poll carry two-thirds of the weight for this exercise. As much as we like to think it would make a huge difference if polls didn't come out until midway through the season, recent years have shown us that the Harris poll's initial release always looks very similar to the other polls. For that reason, the impact of this necessary tweak to the formula should be negligible.

Also, the Wolfe computer never publishes until the time of the first official BCS standings, so we also have access to just five of the six computers. There are a few ways this could be handled, but I decided to drop the best and worst computer rankings for each team (true to the BCS way) and take the average of the other three (usually, it's the average of the other four). Aside from those differences, the general formula is the same: two-thirds from poll voters, one-third from computers.

Sometimes, the computer rankings can be all over the map in the first few weeks of October, causing early BCS numbers to be very misleading. But that doesn't appear to be the case right now. These mock BCS standings are fairly representative of the true pecking order among these teams, give or take a spot in some cases.

Here's my best projection of how the top 10 of the BCS standings would look if they were released today, and my analysis of what could cause these teams to rise or fall in the coming weeks.



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1. Alabama Crimson Tide
It's no surprise that the Crimson Tide are in this position. They have 57 of 62 first-place votes in the coaches' poll and are tied for the second-best computer average. Regardless of the number of other undefeated teams, it's almost inconceivable that Alabama could win out and not reach the BCS title game. The real question is whether Bama could survive a loss and still get there, as it has the past two years. Right now, the odds seem heavily against a one-loss team making it. But it's early, and Bama has done it before.




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2. Stanford Cardinal
Considering their No. 5 poll ranking, the Cardinal in this spot might be a slight surprise to some. But Stanford is ranked No. 1 by two computers and has the best computer average of any team. That's enough to get it into the top two overall in the BCS, and, with remaining games against UCLA, Oregon and four other teams that currently have winning records, Stanford has a good chance to stay at the top of the computer rankings if it finishes unbeaten.



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3. Oregon Ducks
Oregon might be the only highly ranked team with deceivingly weak computer numbers. The Ducks are ranked seventh in that part of the formula, but they play three of their next four games against top-20 opposition, so that will sort itself out if they keep winning. And since Oregon is ranked in the top two on almost every ballot, the Ducks are in solid position to control their own destiny in the national title chase.



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4. Clemson Tigers
The Tigers are getting a lot of mileage out of their season-opening win over Georgia, as it is largely responsible for their No. 4 position in the coaches' poll and the computers. And, with Florida State and South Carolina still left on the schedule, Clemson has some room to climb. The question is whether the Tigers could reach the top two without an upset loss by Alabama or losses by Stanford and Oregon. As of now, that seems doubtful.



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5. Ohio State Buckeyes
The Buckeyes just keep on winning, but the voters are more impressed with them than the computers are; the latter rank them eighth. The bad news for Ohio State is that two of its three toughest games are in the rearview mirror, so the remaining schedule has little opportunity to influence the computers in a positive way. How the Oct. 20 Harris poll ranks the Buckeyes compared with the Florida State-Clemson winner could be important to OSU's title chances. Buckeyes fans should be rooting for Michigan until the two teams meet.



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6. Florida State Seminoles
The Seminoles are tied for second with Alabama in the computer element, but the voters seem to be withholding judgment until after the showdown with Clemson. If FSU wins that game, will it leap into Clemson's spot? Remember that in-state rivalry games with Miami and Florida also remain, so Florida State should finish well above average in the schedule strength department.



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7. Georgia Bulldogs
The Bulldogs are the only team with two top-10 wins this season, which is why the voters and computers have them as the highest-ranked one-loss team. At this point, it's just a matter of survival for UGA, and not simply because of the mounting injuries. Winning out (through the SEC title game) would give the Bulldogs the SEC title, which is a tall enough order. Getting the help they need from undefeated teams being upset in other conferences is an entirely different matter.



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8. Oklahoma Sooners
It's not often that the Sooners fly under the radar, but they have done so in the early portion of this season. It took a 5-0 start with a road win over Notre Dame just to get OU into the top 10 of the coaches' poll, but the computers rate them much better than that -- about fifth, on average. The Sooners have three top-25 opponents left on the schedule, including Baylor, and they have to hope that would earn them more respect in the polls. Obviously, they'll need some help from across the country, as well.



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9. LSU Tigers
LSU and Georgia are in similar situations, except that the Tigers have more challenging games left on their schedule. They are barely considered a top-10 computer team at this point, but, if they can beat Florida this weekend and add victories over Alabama and Texas A&M in November, the Tigers figure to be in position to win the SEC and perhaps get back into the BCS mix.



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10. UCLA Bruins
The Bruins might be sitting in a top-10 spot, but hardly anyone has mentioned them as national championship contenders. And there's a reason for that. They have back-to-back weeks on the road against the No. 2 and No. 3 teams on this list. Wins in those games probably would vault UCLA to the top of the computers. Whether that would move the Bruins ahead of most undefeated teams from other leagues in the polls is the intriguing question.





Normally, a top 10 would suffice, but, when a team from an AQ conference is expected to go unbeaten and doesn't appear in the top 10, a little more information is required. Louisville is ranked eighth in the coaches' poll, but we've known since the summer that the other third of the BCS formula would pose the bigger challenge for the Cardinals.

As expected, the computers don't think too highly of the Cards' opposition and, because of it, don't even rank them in the top 20, on average. Altogether, that puts Louisville at No. 11 in these standings, and, without a ranked team anywhere on the schedule, the outlook for national-title contention is quite bleak.
 

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Recruits keeping an eye on Oregon-Wash.

"College GameDay" will be on hand when the No. 16 Washington Huskies host the No. 2 Oregon Ducks this weekend, but the eyes of college football fans won't be the only ones trained on Seattle. The tussle between the Ducks and Huskies is never limited to the football field, as Steve Sarkisian's and Mark Helfrich's programs often battle over the same recruits up and down the West Coast. While there will be dozens of recruits paying special attention to the game, there are 10 whom the respective coaches hope to influence with a big win.

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ATH Bishard "Budda" Baker
5-foot-9, 174 pounds
Bellevue (Wash.)
ESPN 300 rank: 141

Baker is the top prospect in the Northwest region and a dynamic player on both sides of the ball. He has long been Washington's No. 1 target in the 2014 class, but Oregon has come on strong for the nation's No. 8 athlete. Baker has the ability to play safety or receiver at the next level, and Oregon has expressed a desire to utilize him on offense. Several programs remain in the hunt for Baker, including Notre Dame, Texas A&M and UCLA, but it looks as though this could come down to a fight between the Ducks and Huskies. Baker will be in attendance on an unofficial visit.

CB Adoree' Jackson
5-foot-10, 182 pounds
Gardena (Calif.) Serra
ESPN 300 rank: 6

It's tough to watch Jackson at the high school level and not think of former Los Angeles prep star and current Duck De'Anthony Thomas. While Thomas was a defensive standout, Oregon found a place on offense for him, and opponents still haven't found a way to stop him. Like Thomas, Jackson would prefer to play on offense, and it appears the Ducks could be in good position. But Washington will always take a swing at the top Southern California prospects, so a win this weekend could give the Huskies plenty of ammunition as they continue to chase Jackson.

RB Joe Mixon
6-foot-1, 209 pounds
Oakley (Calif.) Freedom
ESPN 300 rank: 100



Pos RkStarsGradeHometown
9
83Oakley, CA
It appears that Oregon might not be a realistic option for Mixon anymore, but Washington is still pushing hard for the nation's No. 9 tailback. Mixon took an official visit to see the Huskies late last month, and the exploits of Bishop Sankey have certainly made an impact.

ATH John Smith
6-foot-1, 206 pounds
Long Beach (Calif.) Poly
ESPN 300 rank: 41

Smith is in a similar position to Jackson in that he will take an official visit to Oregon later this month, and the Ducks appear to be making good progress with the nation's No. 3 athlete. But, like Jackson, Smith will continue to receive a push from the Washington coaches, who are likely to keep chasing the two-way standout.

ATH Michiah Quick
6-foot, 170 pounds
Fresno (Calif.) Central East
ESPN 300 rank: 43

Like Smith and Jackson, Quick appears to be looking harder at Oregon than Washington and will take an official visit to see the Ducks later this month. But, again, Quick is one that could give the Huskies a more serious look if they were to win this game and make serious national noise.

OT Kaleb McGary
6-foot-8, 284 pounds
Fife (Wash.)

McGary's offer sheet is Pac-12 heavy, with Washington and Oregon right at the top of the list. The big two-way lineman would be a welcome addition for any conference program, but if Washington is going to put up a fence around its home state, McGary is a good place to start. McGary is another recruit who will be in attendance on an unofficial visit.

S John Plattenburg
5-foot-10, 179 pounds
Houston Lamar

Plattenburg has a number of options to choose from, but several Pac-12 programs are high on his list, with Oregon, UCLA and Washington right at the top. Despite the distance -- though Plattenburg did spend two years at a Southern California high school -- this could come down to the two Pacific Northwest programs battling it out for the future cornerback. Plattenburg took an official visit to Oregon in early September and was on the Washington campus for a camp during the summer.

TE Henry Mondeaux
6-foot-5, 255 pounds
Portland (Ore.) Jesuit


Pos RkStarsGradeHometown
NRPortland, OR
The tight end position might have jumped up a few notches in terms of important recruiting positions for Oregon with the departure of Colt Lyerla, and Mondeaux looks to be one of the top targets. The three-star tight end holds offers from Oregon and Washington, but having already taken an official visit to see the Ducks, it looks like they are in the driver's seat.

OT Quinn Bailey
6-foot-5, 265 pounds
Gilbert (Ariz.) Higley

Both Oregon and Washington have made concerted efforts to establish their presence in Arizona in recent years, and there are several offensive linemen on the board for the Ducks and Huskies. Bailey is a top target for both programs looking to add several big bodies in this class.

OT Layth Friekh
6-foot-6, 251 pounds
Peoria (Ariz.) Centennial

Another Arizona lineman sought after by Washington, Friekh has had an official visit scheduled since the end of the summer for the game this weekend. Arizona will put together a big push to keep the lineman at home, but the Huskies have an opportunity to make a big impression on Friekh, as they hope to add a second Arizona offensive lineman to this class alongside Natrell Curtis (Phoenix/Mountain Pointe), who committed this week.
 

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Can someone please post the "Five Teams That Need David Price" article? @ me when it's posted please. I'd appreciate it.

Here is the link: http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/9825935/best-trade-fits-david-price-mlb

@khoff31

Where David Price is right

One of the least-guarded secrets in professional sports is that the Tampa Bay Rays' ace, David Price, is very likely to start the 2014 season wearing a different uniform than the one he wore this season.

Price isn't eligible for free agency until after the 2015 season, but he made $10.1 million in 2013 and he's in line to get big raises via arbitration in each of the next two seasons. While he's expensive, those two years of team control make him a valuable trade target for a team in win-now mode. Though the Rays haven't soured on him, they are a team with obvious revenue problems, despite putting a competitive team on the field every season. The Rays' model for success requires hard-hearted, calculated decision-making, and that's what will put Price on a plane to another city.

But which one? Here's a look at the contenders that could use Price the most, as well as a look at some teams where he isn't a fit.



Where Price makes sense


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Texas Rangers
Trade proposal:
2B Rougned Odor, 3B Joey Gallo, RHP Connor Sadzeck

Texas is in win-now mode, and while the free-agent market for most positions is weak, outfielders like Shin-Soo Choo and Jacoby Ellsbury are far more interesting targets for the Rangers than any of the top pitchers available in free agency.

Should the Rangers acquire Price, their payroll flexibility would allow them to wait a year (or even two) before giving him an extension, though they could act more quickly if they wanted to.

Odor is one of the best middle infield prospects in the game, but the Rangers already have a logjam in the middle of their infield, making it hard for Odor to break through if he sticks around. Gallo is one of the best pure power hitters in the minors (40 homers in Class A at the age of 19), while Sadzeck is a big dude with a lot of raw talent, but he still has command issues and a lot of work ahead of him.





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Philadelphia Phillies
Trade proposal:
LHP Jesse Biddle, SS Roman Quinn, C Tommy Joseph, RHP Ethan Martin

The Phillies believe that they're close enough to compete in 2014 after a lousy 2013, and with a new television deal coming soon, Philadelphia has good motivation to put out a solid team for as long as possible.

The decline of Roy Halladay has weakened the rotation -- the team's biggest strength during its mini-dynasty -- and with no Zack Greinke type of options available in free agency this year, Price is the best reasonably attainable improvement the Phils can make. Tropicana Field is a more comfortable home for Biddle -- he doesn't succeed by blowing away batters, and can sometimes get in trouble with command -- and while Joseph fits a need for the Phillies, a stopgap catcher can be found in free agency.





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Los Angeles Dodgers
Trade proposal:
OF Joc Pederson, RHP Zach Lee, LHP Onelki Garcia

The Dodgers are a big-spending team without great offseason spending targets other than Robinson Cano. The team already has Clayton Kershaw and Greinke at the top of the rotation, and has never been embarrassed by riches, so adding Price would be the quickest way to frighten the rest of the NL West even more.

Pederson is a terrific prospect, but the Dodgers already have Yasiel Puig, Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier and Carl Crawford signed for forever, so if you're bound to trade Pederson anyway, why not cash in on his potential in some way by trading for Price? With Price as the Dodgers' No. 3 starter, it's unlikely they'd miss Garcia or Lee.





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Arizona Diamondbacks
Trade proposal:
SS Chris Owings, 3B Matt Davidson, C Stryker Trahan

In a way, narrowly missing the playoffs is worse than being terrible. The Twins and White Sox aren't spending the offseason thinking about the "should haves" that might have gotten them into the playoffs. By contrast, Arizona was in a strong position until the Dodgers ran away with the division and have been rumored to be interested in Price.

Bringing in Price is the quickest way to match whatever the Dodgers are planning (and obviously would also keep the Dodgers from getting Price themselves) without spending $200 million. The problem that the Diamondbacks face is that they aren't an ideal trade match for the Rays. Their best trade chip, RHPArchie Bradley, is almost certainly off limits, while Davidson doesn't fill a position of need for Tampa Bay because of Evan Longoria.





Where Price doesn't make sense


AL East

The cliché about not trading terrific players to a direct competitor is something backed up by game theory. The Rays know that David Price is likely to be valuable to his new team, and it's better not to give those wins to a team in the same division. All four of the other AL East teams would be interested in having Price on their roster (who wouldn't?), but the Rays aren't likely to give in to any of them.





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Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates have made noise about adding payroll, but they'll likely add complementary pieces, a la Russell Martin and A.J. Burnett, rather than trade their top prospects. Pittsburgh has not yet shown a willingness to move significant parts of its minor league talent base. This could very well change in a few years when Pittsburgh's talent is at its peak, but it'll be different prospects for a different player, not Price.





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Chicago Cubs

There has been a lot of talk about the Cubs making a big move this offseason, but in my opinion, it's a year or two too early, and in the end, I think Theo Epstein and friends balk at the price, pun intended.

The Cubs still are putting the pieces of the organization together, figuring out who's in the future core and who isn't, and it's just too soon for the team to start making a big push for players of Price's ilk. That push will happen, but not at a time in which the team's next goal is to hit .500.



Los Angeles Angels or San Francisco Giants

Both teams have very good reasons to want Price. The Angels need Price to bolster a rotation that drops off steeply after Jered Weaver and C.J. Wilson, and the Giants would like someone to stabilize a rotation that has gone south very quickly in the past year. The problem for both teams is the price.

Neither has the top-tier farm system that can land a player of Price's caliber in the middle of a hot bidding war. Both teams are going to have to use cash to bolster their starting pitching concerns this winter.
 

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College football's top 10 QBs
Ranking the best at midseason based on college production, pro skills
 

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College football's top 10 QBs

As we reach the halfway point of the season, the 2013 quarterback class continues to add to its lofty credentials.

Games in which QBs throw for 400 yards and contests in which signal-callers pass for 300 yards while rushing for 100 yards are becoming commonplace. Plus, the wins continue to pile up, as the combined record of our latest top 10 QBs (below) features just three total losses.

In addition to some reshuffling at the top following last month's ranking, a high-profile newcomer joins the list near the bottom. Overall, the SEC, Pac-12 and ACC continue to dominate the rankings. And regardless of which conferences are most represented, the 2013 QB class is getting stronger and deeper, much to the delight of NFL quarterback-hungry franchises and fan bases.

To recap, I rank the top 10 quarterbacks in the country based on two factors:

1. Productivity at the collegiate level.
2. Pro skills.

For each category, I rate the passers on a 1 to 10 scale.

The latter factor is important not just for each QB's chance to make it in the NFL, but also because quarterbacks who are capable of stretching and challenging a defense with pro-caliber throwing ability provide value to their teams' offenses that QBs with limited passing ability simply cannot.

As we head into the second half of the season, here are the top 10 quarterbacks in college football:



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1. Teddy Bridgewater, Louisville Cardinals
College production: 9.5
NFL skills: 10
Previous rank: 1




There was a day when going 21-of-31 for 310 passing yards and two touchdowns was a great night of work. Unfortunately, sky-high expectations and his peers made Bridgewater's numbers last week versus Rutgers look pedestrian. But not so fast says ESPN analyst Jesse Palmer, who called the Cardinals-Scarlet Knights game.

"Teddy Bridgewater bores you with completions," said Palmer. "He is remarkably accurate, and this isn't a dink-and-dunk offense -- they push the football downfield. His football IQ is off the charts, so when you combine his physical skills alongside his mental makeup, he is the most NFL-ready QB available in next year's draft."

The Cardinals will need losses from teams ahead of them in the polls, and Bridgewater will need to play flawlessly in his Friday matchup with Central Florida (11th-best scoring defense) to change negative perceptions of both the AAC and Louisville's schedule. For NFL evaluators, the reality is that Bridgewater looks more and more like the franchise quarterback they covet.



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2. Marcus Mariota, Oregon Ducks
College production: 10
NFL skills: 9.5
Previous rank: 3



NFL Hall of Famer Warren Moon watched the lead Duck in person Saturday and was amazed at Mariota's "speed, accuracy, calmness and poise." Former All-American David Pollack stood even closer to the action in Husky Stadium and walked away in similar astonishment. "The best performance of a QB this season," said Pollack of Mariota. "You are not supposed to play at that high a level and not make mistakes. Poise personified."

Mariota has the highest adjusted QBR rating in the nation and stands just behind Johnny Football in terms of flair. The Ducks' upcoming schedule and subsequent exposure will give Mariota every opportunity to win the Heisman, while his arm, poise, speed and playmaking ability push him to the top of NFL draft boards.



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3. Tajh Boyd, Clemson Tigers
College production: 9.5
NFL skills: 9
Previous rank: 2



Boyd did all he could on Saturday to wake up his sleepy teammates versus Boston College, as the Tigers' ugly 24-14 win marred a good performance from Clemson's season leader (30-of-44 for 334 yards). The win sets up the marquee quarterback showdown this weekend between Boyd and Florida State phenom Jameis Winston, with both ACC and potential BCS title stakes on the line.

Nothing like a little pressure with the Seminoles and their dominant secondary coming to town. But the country's eighth-most efficient quarterback is at his best under pressure, and expect Boyd to execute key third-down and four-quarter plays on Saturday night.



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4. Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M Aggies
College production: 10
NFL skills: 8
Previous rank: 5



The Johnny Football legend continues to grow with every outing and every situation Manziel gets himself out of. Watching the game tape colors one observation, while watching the Manziel experience in person is quite another. Here are my two main takeaways from watching him in person:

1. Manziel elevates everyone around him offensively because of the immense trust he shows in them and the belief they have in him. He will throw into coverage and windows others wouldn't dare.

2. The word "instincts" doesn't begin to describe Manziel's feel for the space around him. He is like The Matrix in that he knows the time/space continuum at a level very few can. The conventional "QB clock" doesn't tick the same way for Manziel, which leaves scouts, coordinators, opponents and fans alike shaking their heads in disbelief. Just ask Nick Saban and Hugh Freeze.



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5. AJ McCarron, Alabama Crimson Tide
College production: 10
NFL skills: 8
Previous rank: 4



The winningest quarterback (by percentage) in Alabama and SEC history (31-2) continues to hum along in the shadows of the four stars listed above. As Alabama's inexperienced line and tight ends continue to improve, so will McCarron's numbers, evidenced by a career-high 359 passing yards against Kentucky on Saturday night.

McCarron's size, IQ, game-management ability and anticipation skills are NFL-ready, but his downfield accuracy and velocity are still areas in question. NFL scouts need to see his catch-and-run passes stretch beyond the short and intermediate zones. LSU and the SEC East champion will be the only opponents able to challenge this aspect of McCarron's game, and by that point the Tide should be hitting their stride.



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6. Brett Hundley, UCLA Bruins
College production: 9
NFL skills: 9
Previous rank: 6



UCLA finds itself in the Top 10 of the polls for the first time in eight years, and redshirt sophomore Hundley has a lot to do with it. The Bruins' offense (ranked fifth nationally) is scoring more than 45 points a game, but just as importantly it is staying on the field, converting 56 percent of its third downs (fifth in the nation).

The Bruins have showed a resolve on and off the field which will be tested in the next two weeks against Stanford and Oregon, two huge games that will define the team's title aspirations as well as give us an idea of Hundley's pro potential. Todd McShay and other evaluators are thrilled with Hundley's upside, and ESPN analyst Ed Cunningham states that Hundley has plenty of room for growth.

"While physically impressive, Hundley needs more consistent accuracy, especially under pressure," Cunningham said. "The ball also needs to come out more quickly."
 

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7. Braxton Miller, Ohio State Buckeyes
College production: 10
NFL skills: 7
Previous rank: 9



No matter the style points, no matter the yards, no matter the overgrown turf at Northwestern, for Urban Meyer and Braxton Miller the end game at Ohio State is to find a way to win. And that is exactly what Miller has done in his last 16 outings.



Miller's next-level upside is still in debate, but one of the more encouraging signs is the improvement in his completion percentage: 54 percent as a freshman, 58 percent last season and 65 percent in 2013. The Big Ten is not at the level of the SEC or Pac-12, and unfortunately for Miller, like Bridgewater, he may not face a ranked opponent the rest of the way and will need help to rise in the Heisman race and in these rankings even if he runs off 23 consecutive wins.



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8. Aaron Murray, Georgia Bulldogs
College production: 9
NFL skills: 7.5
Previous rank: 7



The adage that Murray can't win the big game has been put to rest, but unfortunately for Murray, his fourth quarter on Saturday against Missouri reminded many of his early-career struggles. Two interceptions and a sack spelled doom on a day that saw Murray surrounded by offensive backups due to the Bulldogs' many injuries.

Murray will have to continue to carry much of the load, but if the Bulldogs can weather the next three weeks (a trip to Vanderbilt, a bye and a game against Florida in Jacksonville), the schedule significantly lightens down the stretch.

"I think he is going through the toughest challenge of his career at UGA," said ESPN analyst Brian Griese of Murray. "It's very difficult to go from scoring 40 a game and making plays to having to scrape and claw to score 24. The margin for error is razor thin for him and it can get frustrating.

"That said, he is the type of worker that can do it. He isn't a high draft pick in my opinion, and everyone needs to slow down with the Drew Brees comparisons; not every QB 6-feet and under can be compared to Brees! They don't make many of him. But Murray is a guy I would take a flyer on in the later rounds."



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9. Jameis Winston, Florida State Seminoles
College production: 8.5
NFL skills: 8
Previous rank: NR



It has been just five games, but what more could Winston do to force his way onto this list? The star freshman has a QBR higher than 90 for the season, 17 TDs to just two interceptions and possesses an ease to playing the game and position that is eerily similar to a redshirt freshman from College Station a season ago.

Former FSU defensive coordinator and current Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops told me over the weekend that he thought Winston would be a good one after watching him work the scout team as a redshirt a season ago. "I tried to rattle him and talk a little, but he always seemed unfazed," Stoops said.

The same can be said for Winston's work against the starters this season, and much like Manziel won the country over with his handiwork in Tuscaloosa last year, Winston could have his Manziel moment in Death Valley on Saturday.



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10. Derek Carr, Fresno State Bulldogs
College production: 8
NFL skills: 8
Previous rank: 8



Carr has received high praise from scouts and others around the game, including former Fresno State QB Trent Dilfer. "Carr has tremendous suddenness with his arm and eyes, and even though his current system doesn't push the ball downfield very often, when asked to he has been very effective," said Dilfer.

Carr's numbers are beyond impressive: The senior likely will surpass 10,000 passing yards in the coming weeks while adding to his 82 career TD total.

Beyond the individual numbers, Carr and the Bulldogs are the highest-ranked BCS buster, sitting 17th in the AP poll and awaiting the first BCS standings on Sunday. However, the senior signal-caller understands that there's no margin for error, and that the team needs to make a perfect run through the remainder of its Mountain West schedule to keep its BCS hopes alive -- and to boost his NFL stock.
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7. Braxton Miller, Ohio State Buckeyes
College production: 10
NFL skills: 7
Previous rank: 9



No matter the style points, no matter the yards, no matter the overgrown turf at Northwestern, for Urban Meyer and Braxton Miller the end game at Ohio State is to find a way to win. And that is exactly what Miller has done in his last 16 outings.



Miller's next-level upside is still in debate, but one of the more encouraging signs is the improvement in his completion percentage: 54 percent as a freshman, 58 percent last season and 65 percent in 2013. The Big Ten is not at the level of the SEC or Pac-12, and unfortunately for Miller, like Bridgewater, he may not face a ranked opponent the rest of the way and will need help to rise in the Heisman race and in these rankings even if he runs off 23 consecutive wins.



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8. Aaron Murray, Georgia Bulldogs
College production: 9
NFL skills: 7.5
Previous rank: 7



The adage that Murray can't win the big game has been put to rest, but unfortunately for Murray, his fourth quarter on Saturday against Missouri reminded many of his early-career struggles. Two interceptions and a sack spelled doom on a day that saw Murray surrounded by offensive backups due to the Bulldogs' many injuries.

Murray will have to continue to carry much of the load, but if the Bulldogs can weather the next three weeks (a trip to Vanderbilt, a bye and a game against Florida in Jacksonville), the schedule significantly lightens down the stretch.

"I think he is going through the toughest challenge of his career at UGA," said ESPN analyst Brian Griese of Murray. "It's very difficult to go from scoring 40 a game and making plays to having to scrape and claw to score 24. The margin for error is razor thin for him and it can get frustrating.

"That said, he is the type of worker that can do it. He isn't a high draft pick in my opinion, and everyone needs to slow down with the Drew Brees comparisons; not every QB 6-feet and under can be compared to Brees! They don't make many of him. But Murray is a guy I would take a flyer on in the later rounds."



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9. Jameis Winston, Florida State Seminoles
College production: 8.5
NFL skills: 8
Previous rank: NR



It has been just five games, but what more could Winston do to force his way onto this list? The star freshman has a QBR higher than 90 for the season, 17 TDs to just two interceptions and possesses an ease to playing the game and position that is eerily similar to a redshirt freshman from College Station a season ago.

Former FSU defensive coordinator and current Kentucky head coach Mark Stoops told me over the weekend that he thought Winston would be a good one after watching him work the scout team as a redshirt a season ago. "I tried to rattle him and talk a little, but he always seemed unfazed," Stoops said.

The same can be said for Winston's work against the starters this season, and much like Manziel won the country over with his handiwork in Tuscaloosa last year, Winston could have his Manziel moment in Death Valley on Saturday.



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10. Derek Carr, Fresno State Bulldogs
College production: 8
NFL skills: 8
Previous rank: 8



Carr has received high praise from scouts and others around the game, including former Fresno State QB Trent Dilfer. "Carr has tremendous suddenness with his arm and eyes, and even though his current system doesn't push the ball downfield very often, when asked to he has been very effective," said Dilfer.

Carr's numbers are beyond impressive: The senior likely will surpass 10,000 passing yards in the coming weeks while adding to his 82 career TD total.

Beyond the individual numbers, Carr and the Bulldogs are the highest-ranked BCS buster, sitting 17th in the AP poll and awaiting the first BCS standings on Sunday. However, the senior signal-caller understands that there's no margin for error, and that the team needs to make a perfect run through the remainder of its Mountain West schedule to keep its BCS hopes alive -- and to boost his NFL stock.
 
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