14. Miami Heat
Rank Score
Players 16 50
Management 5 72.5
Money 25 25
Market 4 82.5
Draft 27 22.5
Overall: 52.1
After striking out on Gordon Hayward, the Heat brought back the bulk of the roster that went 30-11 after last season's All-Star break. That came at a high price, with James Johnson (four years, $60 million) and Dion Waiters (four years, $47 million plus bonuses) getting huge raises off last season's bargain rates.
Add in raises for Tyler Johnson and Josh Richardson and Miami will be flirting with the luxury tax in 2018-19. While the Heat believe they can offload contracts to be players in free agency if necessary, that will be easier said than done -- particularly with Miami already out two first-round picks from the Goran Dragic trade.
Since the strong finish to 2016-17 might be difficult to maintain over a full season, the Heat might be looking at a future squarely in the middle of the NBA standings. Amazingly, this is their worst ranking in FPR history.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 12)
15. Oklahoma City Thunder
Rank Score
Players 14 52.5
Management 6 67.5
Money 12 55
Market 22 35
Draft 27 22.5
Overall: 51.3
The future of Oklahoma City is full of uncertainty.
Russell Westbrook earned MVP honors and All-Star Paul George arrived via trade, but each is eligible to leave in 2018, dropping Oklahoma City to No. 14 in players and No. 15 overall despite a strong offseason by GM Sam Presti and OKC's sixth-ranked management team.
Barring a last-minute designated player veteran extension by Westbrook, Oklahoma City will enter next summer with two All-Stars on the market, Westbrook and George. Bring back both players next season and the Thunder likely jump to the top five in players and overall into the top 10.
Until there is a resolution Oklahoma City is a playoff team now but faced with uncertainty in the next two seasons.
The No. 14 rank in players goes hand in hand with where Oklahoma City ranks in money, No. 12. Had Westbrook committed during this summer with an extension, the Thunder would have ranked in the 20's in money but saw their player and overall grade significantly improve.
The uncertainty of the future is compounded with the Thunder's draft assets diminished from previous trades. The Thunder rank No. 27 in the draft based on dealing their 2018 to Minnesota (protected top 14) and 2020 to Orlando (top 21 protected).
-- Bobby Marks
(Previous rank: 11)
16. Milwaukee Bucks
Rank Score
Players 8 62.5
Management 23 35
Money 20 37.5
Market 29 17.5
Draft 17 42.5
Overall: 50.4
Somewhat surprisingly, the Bucks make only a modest jump after a successful 2016-17 season that saw the return to the playoffs with the third-youngest rotation of any playoff team.
Led by budding superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee does rank a solid eighth in the player category. The Bucks' overall score is dragged down by a couple of factors. With apologies to fans of beer, bratwurst and cheese, Milwaukee scores low in the market category -- which may not matter much given the Bucks are battling the luxury tax already.
More troubling is the uncertainty in Milwaukee's management structure. Bucks ownership couldn't agree on a replacement for GM John Hammond before settling on unproven, in-house candidate Jon Horst. And persistent whispers suggest the organization isn't sure coach Jason Kidd is the right man for the job.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 22)
17. Los Angeles Lakers[/paste:font]
Rank Score
Players 21 37.5
Management 17 45
Money 2 92.5
Market 1 90
Draft 23 37.5
Overall: 47.7
The scoring system for the Future Power Rankings may not accurately capture the reasons for optimism in L.A. after last season's management shakeup positioned the Lakers to be the biggest players in free agency next summer.
Because most teams struggle to build through free agency -- as the Lakers themselves have in recent seasons -- money and market usually play a relatively small role in the final score. However, the Lakers' combination of the top-rated market and the potential to clear more cap space than any other team has them poised to potentially sign a pair of max free agents. James and George? Westbrook? Lakers fans can dream big.
A windfall in free agency might not make the Lakers' young core into instant contenders, but it gives them far more upside by the end of the three-year window than many teams ahead of them.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 25)
18. Detroit Pistons
Rank Score
Players 16 50
Management 19 42.5
Money 18 40
Market 21 40
Draft 13 50
Overall: 47.1
The Pistons appear to have the most middle-of-the-road future of any NBA team, scoring no higher than 50 or lower than 40 in any of the five categories that make up the Future Power Rankings.
We've got more questions about Detroit's roster after a disappointing lottery campaign in which Reggie Jackson was hampered by injury and Andre Drummond took a step backward. And the Pistons don't have much financial flexibility. If they re-sign offseason addition Avery Bradley next summer, they'll surely move into the luxury tax.
While the move into a downtown arena as part of Detroit's rebirth could make the Pistons more attractive to free agents, there's uncertainty about who exactly might be pitching them. Another lottery campaign would put Stan Van Gundy's dual role as head coach and president of basketball operations in jeopardy.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 15)
19. Charlotte Hornets
Rank Score
Players 19 47.5
Management 14 47.5
Money 18 40
Market 22 35
Draft 15 45
Overall: 45.6
How does a Charlotte team that missed the playoffs last year jump one spot from the previous future ranking?
The answer is a combination of coach Steve Clifford and player stability for the foreseeable future. Entering his fifth season, Clifford has proved to be one of the most underrated coaches in the NBA. The combination of Clifford, GM Rich Cho and ownership led by Michael Jordan has the Hornets No. 14 in management and on solid footing.
Past the high marks for management, Charlotte's future is stuck in that in-between phase.
The Hornets rank No. 19 based on the starting five, which includes All-Star Kemba Walker, under contract for the next two seasons. While the Hornets are good enough to compete for a playoff spot, the current roster is stuck in the middle of the pack in the Eastern Conference for the future.
One category to keep an eye on is money, as the Hornets appear to be close to the tax for the next two seasons with $117 million in committed salary. And with Walker eligible for the designated player veteran extension if he were to earn All-NBA this season, cap space in 2019 could be a problem again.
-- Bobby Marks
(Previous rank: 20)
20. Dallas Mavericks
Rank Score
Players 24 30
Management 6 67.5
Money 6 70
Market 10 55
Draft 8 65
Overall: 44.6
The Mavericks were rewarded in the ranking for taking a smart and conservative approach this summer with their roster.
Dallas features many of the same faces that saw the Mavericks miss the playoffs last season. Even with the addition of rookie Dennis Smith Jr., Dallas is likely to miss the playoffs for the first time in consecutive seasons since 1999-2000.
While the rest of the NBA spent this summer, Dallas has cap flexibility now and likely in following summers. The Mavericks with $12.6 million in room can be in the asset acquisition business close to the draft when teams are looking to shed salaries.
With cap room, the addition of Smith, a likely lottery pick and the strong foundation of coach Rick Carlisle and owner Mark Cuban, Dallas should have some bright days ahead even at the expense of missing the playoffs.
-- Bobby Marks
(Previous rank: 26)
Rank Score
Players 16 50
Management 5 72.5
Money 25 25
Market 4 82.5
Draft 27 22.5
Overall: 52.1
After striking out on Gordon Hayward, the Heat brought back the bulk of the roster that went 30-11 after last season's All-Star break. That came at a high price, with James Johnson (four years, $60 million) and Dion Waiters (four years, $47 million plus bonuses) getting huge raises off last season's bargain rates.
Add in raises for Tyler Johnson and Josh Richardson and Miami will be flirting with the luxury tax in 2018-19. While the Heat believe they can offload contracts to be players in free agency if necessary, that will be easier said than done -- particularly with Miami already out two first-round picks from the Goran Dragic trade.
Since the strong finish to 2016-17 might be difficult to maintain over a full season, the Heat might be looking at a future squarely in the middle of the NBA standings. Amazingly, this is their worst ranking in FPR history.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 12)
15. Oklahoma City Thunder
Rank Score
Players 14 52.5
Management 6 67.5
Money 12 55
Market 22 35
Draft 27 22.5
Overall: 51.3
The future of Oklahoma City is full of uncertainty.
Russell Westbrook earned MVP honors and All-Star Paul George arrived via trade, but each is eligible to leave in 2018, dropping Oklahoma City to No. 14 in players and No. 15 overall despite a strong offseason by GM Sam Presti and OKC's sixth-ranked management team.
Barring a last-minute designated player veteran extension by Westbrook, Oklahoma City will enter next summer with two All-Stars on the market, Westbrook and George. Bring back both players next season and the Thunder likely jump to the top five in players and overall into the top 10.
Until there is a resolution Oklahoma City is a playoff team now but faced with uncertainty in the next two seasons.
The No. 14 rank in players goes hand in hand with where Oklahoma City ranks in money, No. 12. Had Westbrook committed during this summer with an extension, the Thunder would have ranked in the 20's in money but saw their player and overall grade significantly improve.
The uncertainty of the future is compounded with the Thunder's draft assets diminished from previous trades. The Thunder rank No. 27 in the draft based on dealing their 2018 to Minnesota (protected top 14) and 2020 to Orlando (top 21 protected).
-- Bobby Marks
(Previous rank: 11)
16. Milwaukee Bucks
Rank Score
Players 8 62.5
Management 23 35
Money 20 37.5
Market 29 17.5
Draft 17 42.5
Overall: 50.4
Somewhat surprisingly, the Bucks make only a modest jump after a successful 2016-17 season that saw the return to the playoffs with the third-youngest rotation of any playoff team.
Led by budding superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee does rank a solid eighth in the player category. The Bucks' overall score is dragged down by a couple of factors. With apologies to fans of beer, bratwurst and cheese, Milwaukee scores low in the market category -- which may not matter much given the Bucks are battling the luxury tax already.
More troubling is the uncertainty in Milwaukee's management structure. Bucks ownership couldn't agree on a replacement for GM John Hammond before settling on unproven, in-house candidate Jon Horst. And persistent whispers suggest the organization isn't sure coach Jason Kidd is the right man for the job.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 22)
Rank Score
Players 21 37.5
Management 17 45
Money 2 92.5
Market 1 90
Draft 23 37.5
Overall: 47.7
The scoring system for the Future Power Rankings may not accurately capture the reasons for optimism in L.A. after last season's management shakeup positioned the Lakers to be the biggest players in free agency next summer.
Because most teams struggle to build through free agency -- as the Lakers themselves have in recent seasons -- money and market usually play a relatively small role in the final score. However, the Lakers' combination of the top-rated market and the potential to clear more cap space than any other team has them poised to potentially sign a pair of max free agents. James and George? Westbrook? Lakers fans can dream big.
A windfall in free agency might not make the Lakers' young core into instant contenders, but it gives them far more upside by the end of the three-year window than many teams ahead of them.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 25)
18. Detroit Pistons
Rank Score
Players 16 50
Management 19 42.5
Money 18 40
Market 21 40
Draft 13 50
Overall: 47.1
The Pistons appear to have the most middle-of-the-road future of any NBA team, scoring no higher than 50 or lower than 40 in any of the five categories that make up the Future Power Rankings.
We've got more questions about Detroit's roster after a disappointing lottery campaign in which Reggie Jackson was hampered by injury and Andre Drummond took a step backward. And the Pistons don't have much financial flexibility. If they re-sign offseason addition Avery Bradley next summer, they'll surely move into the luxury tax.
While the move into a downtown arena as part of Detroit's rebirth could make the Pistons more attractive to free agents, there's uncertainty about who exactly might be pitching them. Another lottery campaign would put Stan Van Gundy's dual role as head coach and president of basketball operations in jeopardy.
-- Kevin Pelton
(Previous rank: 15)
19. Charlotte Hornets
Rank Score
Players 19 47.5
Management 14 47.5
Money 18 40
Market 22 35
Draft 15 45
Overall: 45.6
How does a Charlotte team that missed the playoffs last year jump one spot from the previous future ranking?
The answer is a combination of coach Steve Clifford and player stability for the foreseeable future. Entering his fifth season, Clifford has proved to be one of the most underrated coaches in the NBA. The combination of Clifford, GM Rich Cho and ownership led by Michael Jordan has the Hornets No. 14 in management and on solid footing.
Past the high marks for management, Charlotte's future is stuck in that in-between phase.
The Hornets rank No. 19 based on the starting five, which includes All-Star Kemba Walker, under contract for the next two seasons. While the Hornets are good enough to compete for a playoff spot, the current roster is stuck in the middle of the pack in the Eastern Conference for the future.
One category to keep an eye on is money, as the Hornets appear to be close to the tax for the next two seasons with $117 million in committed salary. And with Walker eligible for the designated player veteran extension if he were to earn All-NBA this season, cap space in 2019 could be a problem again.
-- Bobby Marks
(Previous rank: 20)
20. Dallas Mavericks
Rank Score
Players 24 30
Management 6 67.5
Money 6 70
Market 10 55
Draft 8 65
Overall: 44.6
The Mavericks were rewarded in the ranking for taking a smart and conservative approach this summer with their roster.
Dallas features many of the same faces that saw the Mavericks miss the playoffs last season. Even with the addition of rookie Dennis Smith Jr., Dallas is likely to miss the playoffs for the first time in consecutive seasons since 1999-2000.
While the rest of the NBA spent this summer, Dallas has cap flexibility now and likely in following summers. The Mavericks with $12.6 million in room can be in the asset acquisition business close to the draft when teams are looking to shed salaries.
With cap room, the addition of Smith, a likely lottery pick and the strong foundation of coach Rick Carlisle and owner Mark Cuban, Dallas should have some bright days ahead even at the expense of missing the playoffs.
-- Bobby Marks
(Previous rank: 26)