Daily fantasy basketball: Spend on PGs
Each day, we'll provide you with the players to target in your daily leagues, from the high-priced studs to the solid midrange values to the cheaper, riskier players with upside.
In general, you want to use safer options in your cash games and rely on some riskier, high-upside options in your bigger tournaments. If you can average at least five points per $1,000 of salary, you'll typically end up with at least some cash in your pocket.
Sunday's unique schedule has both FanDuel and DraftKings offering split slates, with some smaller tournaments and cash competitions beginning at 1 p.m. Given the fractured nature of the slate and the fact the major tournaments and bigger 50-50 pools on both platforms are set to begin at 6 p.m. today, we're focusing exclusively on that main, evening slate.
Just as a fun note about last night's epic in Oklahoma City:
Stephen Curry trails the
Minnesota Timberwolves by just nine made 3-pointers on the season and has played four fewer games.
Note: We're sending out these Insider tips early in the day, and a lot can change after these are posted. Be sure to follow this Twitter list of NBA reporters, bloggers and announcers for late-breaking injury updates and lineup changes.
Point guard
High-priced studs
Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers (DraftKings: $9,600, FanDuel: $9,400) @ IND: The Pacers have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points on DraftKings' scoring key to opposing point guards. Lillard, meanwhile, has averaged 33.8 points, 5.4 assists and 1.8 steals over his past five outings, which hovers around 50 fantasy points per game on both scoring models. With this game in Indy claiming the second-highest implied total of the night and the best combined pace on the bill, I'm building around and paying up for Lillard in both cash and tournaments. For those sweating the back-to-back angle, it's nice to know Lillard averages more points and shots attempted on zero days rest than one, two or three days off.
Kyle Lowry, Toronto Raptors (DraftKings: $8,600, FanDuel: $9,000) @ DET: This might have been Lowry's weekend if not for that Curry character, as his epic showing versus the Cavs put the conference on notice that there are two legit contenders in the East. We don't expect Lowry to go 15-for-20 from the field again, or possibly ever, but we do like him as a staple in cash games -- as he hits value at a nearly incomparable rate among the high-dollar players. Despite a sizable gap in pricing -- particularly on DraftKings -- it's noteworthy that just a few points in median and ceiling projections separate Lowry and Lillard.
Solid values
Goran Dragic, Miami Heat (DraftKings: $6,400, FanDuel: $6,300) @ NY:Dwyane Wade essentially disappears on zero days rest, shooting just 37 percent from the field with ugly ancillary numbers. Dragic, however, enjoys his highest scoring average and most efficient 3-point production in such scenarios this season. The Knicks patchwork depth chart at point guard and Dragic's strong play since the All-Star break – he's averaging 39.1 fantasy points on DraftKings over the past five games – position him as one of the strongest mid-tier point guards today. As Martenzie Johnson pointed out in
today's tipoff, Minnesota's
Ricky Rubio also struggles on zero days rest, so Dragic really stands out in this pricing tier.
Cheap with upside
Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic (DraftKings: $4,800, FanDuel: $5,200) vs. PHI: Recency bias might be on our side here, as Payton played poorly in Philly earlier this week but has posted his second- and 10th-highest fantasy scores on DraftKings this season in two meetings with the Sixers earlier this season, averaging 20.5 points and 7.5 assists in those two strong showings. The price is reasonable, while the ownership should be low. If Toronto's
DeMar DeRozan were to sit tonight, combo guard
Cory Joseph also becomes a really strong value play.
Shooting guard
Solid values
C.J. McCollum, Portland Trail Blazers (DraftKings: $7,500, FanDuel: $7,500) @ IND: Back in early December, McCollum produced a 20-point, five-assist, five-rebound outing versus the Pacers, a group that ranks 20th on the season in fantasy points allowed to shooting guards on DraftKings. Given these inviting metrics, I'm building around McCollum when paying up at shooting guard. DeRozan (DraftKings: $7,300, FanDuel: $7,700) also profiles as a stable cash option, given a strong recent history versus the Pistons (37.9 fantasy PPG in two meetings this season with Detroit), but keep an eye on his status as we approach tip, as he's listed as questionable after missing much of Friday's tilt with Cleveland due to a lingering illness.
Victor Oladipo (DraftKings: $7,100, FanDuel: $6,800) and Evan Fournier (DraftKings: $6,000, FanDuel: $5,400), Orlando Magic vs. PHI: Oladipo has averaged 33.9 fantasy points on DraftKings versus the Sixers this season, while Fournier is playing heavy minutes with reasonable pricing in the wake of
Tobias Harris getting traded. Stacking versus this feeble Philly defense could be a wise contrarian play today.
Cheap with upside
Zach LaVine, Minnesota Timberwolves (DraftKings: $5,300, FanDuel: $4,900) @ DAL: The Timberwolves are on the second leg of a back-to-back, which means we will want to fade Rubio and instead load up on Lavine, as the second-year combo guard averages more minutes, shots, points and fantasy points on zero days rest than in in any other scenario save for six days off. Which is to say, there is a real need for Lavine to step up his usage and production with Rubio conversely struggling in such situations. Only six teams cede more fantasy PPG to shooting guards than the Mavs, with Lavine poised to hit five-times his value today. On the other side of the ball we also like
Raymond Felton at a discount from Lavine. While Lavine's floor for minutes and shots are likely higher, Felton can produce busier box scores and isn't as reliant on his shot falling.
Small forward
High-priced studs
Carmelo Anthony, New York Knicks (DraftKings: $8,400, FanDuel: $9,000) vs. MIA: The Pacers'
Paul George (DraftKings: $8,700, FanDuel: $9,000) has a higher ceiling than Melo, but given the Blazers' success in guarding opposing wings -- they allow the fourth-fewest fantasy points to small forwards and held George to 23.5 percent from the field in early December -- I'm siding with Anthony in cash games. Both are viable tournament options, but the Heat have struggled versus wings all season and are on the second leg of a back-to-back, setting up a rested Melo for a strong showing.
Solid values
Luol Deng, Miami Heat (DraftKings: $6,400, FanDuel: $6,000) @ NY: Since the break, Deng has averaged 16.2 points, 12 boards, 1.4 steals and 41.8 fantasy points (DraftKings). Even as his price has risen, his rich board rates with
Chris Bosh sidelined and
Hassan Whiteside struggling on back-to-backs drives value today. For nearly identical pricing across both formats, the Pistons' Tobias Harris claims a higher offensive ceiling than Deng, thus some tournament exposure makes sense compared to Deng's cash-friendly profile.
There really aren’t any viable punt plays to consider at the wing, so paying for this mid-level tier appears appropriate for those pivoting from George and Anthony.
Power forward
Solid values
Gorgui Dieng, Minnesota Timberwolves (DraftKings: $6,800, $6,500) @ DAL: With
Zaza Pachulia slowing down after months of overexposure, the Mavericks' are now one of the softest teams on the glass in the league. Dallas ranks 29th in rebounding percentage in February, setting up Dieng with the highest floor and ceiling projections at the position tonight.
Aaron Gordon, Orlando Magic (DraftKings: $6,700, FanDuel: $6,300): Speaking of weak rebounding teams, the Sixers are last in the league in rebounding percentage this month, meaning Gordon, who has averaged 12.8 points and 9.8 rebounds over the past five games, is another power forward with a bankable floor. Gordon's price is ideal for meeting value in cash games, as he's regularly delivering in the 35-point range on both platforms. For some tournament upside, Philly's
Nerlens Noel should be a low-owned commodity with one of the stronger ceiling projections at the position.
Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks (DraftKings: $6,500, FanDuel: $7,000) vs. MIN: The Wolves struggle to contain stretch forwards, something we saw unfold last night with the Pelicans'
Ryan Anderson going off. Nowitzki posted his sixth-highest fantasy outing this season versus the Wolves back in early January. With guys like Gordon and even
Myles Turner of the Pacers offering lower offensive ceilings, building around Dirk is a nice contrarian angle to pursue.
Cheap with upside
David Lee, Dallas Mavericks (DraftKings: $3,500, FanDuel: $4,300) vs. MIN: Lee benefited from the team going small this past Friday, something that simply might not occur with Minnesota's strong front line in town. That said, Pachulia is really hitting a wall and this price point is so low that meeting cost for Lee only requires maybe 20 minutes of exposure. As you can see, usage on DraftKings is more palatable, given the pricing gap.
Center
High-priced studs
Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves (DraftKings: $8,500, FanDuel: $8,900) @ DAL: The Mavericks simply don't have anyone capable of slowing down this superb rookie. As noted in today's tipoff, KAT is averaging 22 points, 12 rebounds and two blocks over his past 10 games. Meeting value would mean Towns needs to deliver 42.5 fantasy points on DraftKings, while my projection sits right around 45 points on both scoring keys, with a ceiling outcome about 20 points higher. Tournament shares of Hassan Whiteside and
Andre Drummond almost always make sense given their respective 20-20 potential, but I'm building around Towns in cash without question.
Nikola Vucevic, Orlando Magic (DraftKings: $7,900, FanDuel: $8,200) vs. PHI: We only have to reference this former Sixers' 35-point, nine board and four-assists performance against Philly earlier this week as evidence for Vucevic's awesome setup today. If you are seeking savings and differentiation from Towns, this is your guy.
Cheap with upside
Mason Plumlee, Portland Trail Blazers (DraftKings: $5,000, FanDuel: $5,300) @ IND: I like both Plumlee and
Ian Mahinmi to meet cost today in a direct matchup. While the Pacers have proven somewhat stingy to opposing bigs, Plumlee's price point and steady minutes (26.2 per over the past five games) drive value. Conversely, the Blazers rank 21st in DraftKings against opposing centers, with Mahinmi well positioned to hit five times his value tonight.