Who is she connecting to? Who is her base? We know who Trumps base is, we can define what categories they’re coming from. Kamala, however? Her support is a smorgasbord of people who are traditionally Democrat voters and people who don’t want to vote for Trump. That is to say the people aren’t supporting her, they’re supporting her party or choosing her so as not to support the other party. That MIGHT win, but it’s going to be much closer than it should be.
As for why we should care about Israel, what they’re doing over there is having a direct reputational and economic impact on the USA overseas but also back home. The fallout is going to be crazy. It’s not going to be like Iraq or Afghanistan where people just move on and forget about it.