Russia's Invasion of Ukraine (Official Thread)

987654321

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It’s a war, if they want it their land back they’re going to bleed for it like any other country in a war. I would hope thecoli would have the heart to do the same.

Part of the answer to your question is that 2 mayors of 2 larger cities, in the south, gave in immediately. Early in the war this allowed a large portion of Russian follow on parties to effortlessly pass through Crimea and support the Eastern, Northeastern offensives from the south. Momentum is swinging the other way now.

The other part is that Russia is about to try to push more reserves through Crimea to support their Defense/withdrawal at Kherson now that they realize how badly Severodonetsk and Lysychans’k hurts. Everything people have been hyping up the last few weeks is about to start playing out over the next 6 months with increasing momentum and spreading violence from the black sea to Melitopol.

Beyond headlines. Russia keeps fukking itself over when they try to fix old fukk ups. They’re reactive because they aren’t able to be proactive. They keep attacking one concentration of the AFU and missing the bigger concentrations attacking new gaps because Russia keeps trying to reinforce pushes at what it thinks is a last stand. That’s not a good look. The material bleeding is getting worse and they don’t have the nearly unlimited human and material resources of the US but they keep trying to pull from our old playbooks.

Hey bro, im trying to understand your post, So Ukraine has been losing all that land, men, and material in order to do what exactly?
 

Orbital-Fetus

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They've undeniably made gains over the last month however have failed to roll over Donbas as initially planned. End of the day this is going like a lot of people suspected after the initial push on Kyiv failed. It's a war of attrition and Russia is running out of resources. That's difficult to impossible for an invading military force. By mid August to September, Russia could be completely spent, barring some strategic blunder by Ukraine.

Crimea by October. :ahh:
 

PewPew

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It’s a war, if they want it their land back they’re going to bleed for it like any other country in a war. I would hope thecoli would have the heart to do the same.

Part of the answer to your question is that 2 mayors of 2 larger cities, in the south, gave in immediately. Early in the war this allowed a large portion of Russian follow on parties to effortlessly pass through Crimea and support the Eastern, Northeastern offensives from the south. Momentum is swinging the other way now.

The other part is that Russia is about to try to push more reserves through Crimea to support their Defense/withdrawal at Kherson now that they realize how badly Severodonetsk and Lysychans’k hurts. Everything people have been hyping up the last few weeks is about to start playing out over the next 6 months with increasing momentum and spreading violence from the black sea to Melitopol.

Beyond headlines. Russia keeps fukking itself over when they try to fix old fukk ups. They’re reactive because they aren’t able to be proactive. They keep attacking one concentration of the AFU and missing the bigger concentrations attacking new gaps because Russia keeps trying to reinforce pushes at what it thinks is a last stand. That’s not a good look. The material bleeding is getting worse and they don’t have the nearly unlimited human and material resources of the US but they keep trying to pull from our old playbooks.

Good analysis, thank you for that answer
 

ADevilYouKhow

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Making sure Western Ukraine is as safe as possible from missile strikes is the least we can do. Hope this is game changer for the people living under the threat of missile strikes.

:salute:
 

east

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ft paywall is pretty rough, ima post it in the spoiler for ppl who can't bypass
Ukraine’s richest oligarch launches lawsuit against Russia
Steel tyc00n Rinat Akhmetov brings case in Europe over violations of property rights and seizure of assets

Roman Olearchyk in Kyiv, Sylvia Pfeifer in London and Max Seddon in Riga

Rinat Akhmetov, Ukraine’s richest oligarch, has filed a lawsuit against Russia in the European Court of Human Rights, citing alleged violations of property rights and seizure of assets connected to its invasion.

Akhmetov is the majority owner of Metinvest, Ukraine’s largest steel producer and owner of two large mills including Azovstal. Located in the port city of Mariupol that Russian forces seized last month, Azovstal was the scene of some of the war’s most intense fighting.

The oligarch is a native of the occupied city of Donetsk, in the eastern Donbas region where Russia’s invading forces are concentrating their efforts to gain more territory.

Scores of steel industry businesses, coal mines and other assets in the region, as well as in southern Ukraine, that are owned by Akhmetov have been seized by Russian forces, he said.

The lawsuit seeks urgent “relief for Russia’s blockading, looting, destruction and diversion of grain and metals”, according to a statement issued by the oligarch’s System Capital Management group.

“Evil cannot go unpunished,” Akhmetov said in the statement.

“Russia’s crimes against Ukraine and our people are egregious, and those guilty of them must be held liable . . . This lawsuit is one of the first international legal steps against Russia to stop their ongoing crimes, destruction of the Ukrainian economy and the plundering of Ukrainian assets,” he added.

Before the war the country’s iron and steel industry was one of the biggest manufacturing sectors, responsible for nearly 10 per cent of gross domestic product and employing half a million people in its supply chain.

Ukraine was also one of the biggest exporters of finished steel products to the EU. Some producers, including Europe’s largest steelmaker ArcelorMittal, have managed to resume some exports in small volumes, but the loss of supply has driven up prices as customers from Italy to Bulgaria have scrambled to secure alternative sources.

The lawsuit comes after Metinvest last week urged customers not to buy any products made at its mills in Mariupol over fears they had been stolen by Russian forces. The company said that more than 234,000 tonnes of steel manufactured by its Ilyich Steel and Azovstal factories had been in storage when Russia’s invasion of Ukraine began on February 24, of which about 28,000 tonnes was already loaded on to four ships in the port of Mariupol.

The company told the Financial Times that 2,500 tonnes of that steel had since been taken by a Russian-owned ship that headed to the Russian city of Rostov-on-Don.

The company was “in the process of documenting the war damage and collecting the respective evidence”, Svitlana Romanova, chief legal officer of Metinvest, told the FT in an interview last week.

“The process is long and burdensome for lack of access to locations, lost documents, misplaced employees, etc. We have already lodged criminal complaints in Ukraine and are planning to proceed with the damage claims at Ukrainian courts soon,” she added.

It remains unclear, however, whether Metinvest’s legal challenges will be successful.

Dmitry Peskov, Russian president Vladimir Putin’s spokesman, told reporters on Monday that Russia had already withdrawn from the court’s jurisdictions and would not bow to its decisions. “The answer here is completely obvious,” Peskov told reporters when asked about the lawsuit from Akhmetov.

The ECHR said in March that it would continue to deal with cases against Russia as long as the alleged contraventions took place before the middle of September.
 
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