Such is war. No one is “winning”. They’re locked in with each other. They’re both going to pick up and drop momentum, they’re both going to give and take. Just watch the rhythm, the ebb and flow, and learn.
The more you learn about the units involved, the terrain being used, the combat support, the use of hasty and deliberate pace, the more understanding will be had. No matter however long this lasts, it will be painful. Til then there really isn’t any reason for arguing other than being contrarian or petty.
Basically Russia is a guy who tried to rape a drunken woman (Ukraine with resources) in broad daylight, just to show that he can, but she’s using a short, dull razor to slowly, painfully, fatally gut him. He’s hoping that repeatedly punching her in the face will make her relax enough for him to finish or get out. He’s also hoping that the harder he punches, the more he can scare off bystanders hoping to give her bigger blades or help get her off him.
I don’t see Russia coming out of this with any more territory than they had before the most recent invasion (at most pre 2014).