His numbers are more accurate for 2028
How younger voters will impact elections: Younger voters are poised to upend American politics
Younger voters should be a source of electoral strength for Democrats for some years to come.www.brookings.edu
I believe there are about 165 million millenials + Gen Z that will be voting age by 2024. I'll have to go get the exact numbers later.
My point still remains since at least half of the voters in 2024 will be Millenials or younger, the GOP doesn't have a shot.
I will just add a couple of things.
- GOP's policies during COVID-19 have killed a good niche of their middle aged/senior voting bloc; Red COVID is a real thing.
- Gen Z is VERY enthusiastic about voting, more than Millennials. Its like as soon as they hit 18, they are getting out to vote.
- Aside from Roe v. Wade/Dobbs, I believe all this LGBTQ+ is going to bite them. As while you might not agree with their lifestyle, we are at a point in our culture in which being Gay/Lesbian is acceptable. You can have a issue with them being married, but actually being for Government intrusion on their very selves isn't going to sit well with Centrists. Note: While I respect Transfolk, I believe from a societal view being Gay/Lesbian/Queer is more socialty accepted than being Trans; however I believe this will become normal by 2030-40.