Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)

[neverchipsin4weed]

burns slow like blunts with yayo

 

[the next guy]

I think that Biden wins PA & MI. Michigan has turned heavily against Trump, according to most polls.

Also, Joe was born in Pennsylvania (Scranton) and when he was a senator he was often referred to as "Pennsylvania's third senator". Pennsylvanians like him much more than Hillary.

The biggest question mark is Wisconsin.

He needs to win PA, MI and either one of WI and AZ to get to 270.

His best path to securing 270 is defending the Hillary map and winning PA, MI, WI.

you guys need to start paying attention to Minnesota. Biden is just +3 there...

 

[the next guy]

 

[CBSkyline]

Is Pennsylvania the only swing state Biden needs to win? Too lazy too check.

He has to hold the Clinton states and pick up PA, Michigan, and one of either Wisconsin, NC, Arizona, or Florida. Biden already has about 218 of the 270 needed locked in. If he keeps Minnesota, and wins PA, Michigan, and Wisconsin, he wins.

 

[Reality Check]

you guys need to start paying attention to Minnesota. Biden is just +3 there...

Hillary won Minnesota by only 45k votes. I think Biden wins Minnesota but it'll be close

 

[Reality Check]

He needs to win PA, MI and either one of WI and AZ to get to 270.

His best path to securing 270 is defending the Hillary map and winning PA, MI, WI.

I think Arizona is already lost. Don't think there's gonna be a ton of ballot splitting for that senate seat.

 

[the cac mamba]

burns slow like blunts with yayo

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

you guys need to start paying attention to Minnesota. Biden is just +3 there...

ive been saying that. yes MN mostly always goes blue but its too close to ignore regardless of historical results

 

[the cac mamba]

in a free and fair election, this is my exact map

 

[mastermind]

i do agree that the dems/biden need to tell people to stop rioting.

He should tell the police to stop shooting unarmed black people too? Maybe you should too.

 

[King Static X]

We haven't seen consistent and reputable (the most important factor) polls that show Biden in serious danger in MN. Most of the polls from MN that have come out were either Republican pollsters or average/mediocre pollsters. We haven't really seen highly-rated pollsters do MN yet in the past month.

@Reality Check @Chef Mello @the next guy

 

[NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong]

We haven't seen consistent and reputable (the most important factor) polls that show Biden in serious danger in MN. Most of the polls from MN that have come out were either Republican pollsters or average/mediocre pollsters. We haven't really seen highly-rated pollsters do MN yet in the past month.

@Reality Check @Chef Mello @the next guy

All I'm saying is he shouldnt ignore it

 

[King Static X]

All I'm saying is he shouldnt ignore it

His campaign has already spent money on ads in MN (and other key states) through the fall.

 

[FAH1223]

I think Arizona is already lost. Don't think there's gonna be a ton of ballot splitting for that senate seat.

I think its tilt Biden. Kelly seems primed to limp Biden over the finishing line.
Arizona President: general election Polls

GOP pollsters have Trump up within the margin of error. Biden leads in the others.

you guys need to start paying attention to Minnesota. Biden is just +3 there...

ive been saying that. yes MN mostly always goes blue but its too close to ignore regardless of historical results

Hillary won Minnesota by only 45k votes. I think Biden wins Minnesota but it'll be close

Like @King Static X said, the Emerson poll had Biden up by 3. Morning Consult has Biden up by 3. PPP on July 31 had Biden up by 10. The FOX News poll in July had Biden up 13.

Minnesota President: general election Polls

Biden is running advertisements in Minnesota. Its part of the $280M digital and TV ad spending they're doing for the 90 day stretch run. So, unlike Hillary, he's going to be spending resources there.

Also, Ilhan Omar's district is absolutely critical. In 2016, Keith Ellison's turnout operation there was one of the big reasons Hillary was able to win the state by 45,000 votes.

 

[Reality Check]

We haven't seen consistent and reputable (the most important factor) polls that show Biden in serious danger in MN. Most of the polls from MN that have come out were either Republican pollsters or average/mediocre pollsters. We haven't really seen highly-rated pollsters do MN yet in the past month.

@Reality Check @Chef Mello @the next guy

I think Biden still wins Minnesota but I posted the figures to show how close it actually was in 2016. The "he's not HIllary" factor that Biden has is going to help.