mc_brew
#NotMyPresident
those are registered voters, not likely voters... far too many people register to vote but don't actually vote... i'd rather see the numbers for likely voters.... probably much tighter than those numbers....
Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)
- Thread starter FAH1223
- Start date
those are registered voters, not likely voters... far too many people register to vote but don't actually vote... i'd rather see the numbers for likely voters.... probably much tighter than those numbers....
If he's winning the popular vote by 9 points, he's won WI, MI, PA, OH, FL and many more. In that scenario, you have states like Texas being a toss up.
Hillary won the popular vote by 2 points in 2016. If Joe wins it by 4-5 points, then yes, that scenario may happen. But that'd be a huge historically anomally.
If you're winning 50% plus 1, you are definitely getting 270 electoral votes.
Trump got a crisis boost but it wasn't even as big as most foreign leaders or even governors in the US
This is a referendum on Trump. And Trump is a terrible president. He can obviously still win as GOP state legislatures may move aggressively to suppress the vote such as Wisconsin's which is brazen as fukk.
Uno Venova
Your honor, I was merely capping.
I think the big issue is that Trump campaign is running huge misinfo on Facebook again. They have so much money for TV ads. They also reserved YouTube's home page for advertising on election day too.
They're going to absolutely keep talking about Hunter Biden and other stuff about Joe's brother's FBI thing and more.
But it may not matter as much with so many people's material needs being destroyed in this Depression and pandemic.
It wasn’t from covid 19If he's winning the popular vote by 9 points, he's won WI, MI, PA, OH, FL and many more. In that scenario, you have states like Texas being a toss up.
Hillary won the popular vote by 2 points in 2016. If Joe wins it by 4-5 points, then yes, that scenario may happen. But that'd be a huge historically anomally.
If you're winning 50% plus 1, you are definitely getting 270 electoral votes.
Trump got a crisis boost but it wasn't even as big as most foreign leaders or even governors in the US
This is a referendum on Trump. And Trump is a terrible president. He can obviously still win as GOP state legislatures may move aggressively to suppress the vote such as Wisconsin's which is brazen as fukk.
Trump Job Approval at Personal Best 49%
Impeachment crisis boost too
Impeachment crisis boost too
Pretty much anything that would hurt any other POTUS either helps Trump (somehow) or has no effect
looks like people only like polls that tell them what they want to hear
look at michigan, i dont think biden is sparking renewed energy in places like san francisco. any favorable numbers are likely supported by the fact that he is doing better than trillary in the swing states
Trump is the boy who cried wolf at this point. Any trumped allegations of Hunter Biden are going to get a side-eye from a majority of the public.
Biden is leading with women voters by 30 pts according to this poll, so he's outperforming HRC there as well.
Dems are definitely more united. There was intense vitriol for Hillary in '16 from the left. She and Bernie had a cold relationship. I think Bernie campaigns hard for Biden b/c they're actually friends and he's probably looking to elevate his legacy now. Whatever anger you're seeing now from Bernie people on twitter will dissipate by the summer.
I really think that people are not factoring that Biden is not close to being as hated as Hillary.
I thought that the primaries proved that. Biden is just simply much more well liked than Hillary and the fact that he was President Obama's VP is huge. President Obama is the most popular and well-liked Democratic president of all-time!
I thought that the primaries proved that. Biden is just simply much more well liked than Hillary and the fact that he was President Obama's VP is huge. President Obama is the most popular and well-liked Democratic president of all-time!
AnonymityX1000
Veteran
I think that it is a wash because he also seems a lot less competent. Hillary spoke well and actually won debates, can this guy? It remains to be seen. He will end up with way more gaffes than Hillary ever could.
Those gaffes didn't hurt him in the primary. Also, I think that most Biden voters know that he has gaffes but he's not nearly as incompetent as Trump.
AnonymityX1000
Veteran
More people will be paying attention in the general. If Trump beats him in a debate or gets him fumbling his words in one it will be a bad look.