This is all just in my gut but I really think Trump wins another one his base is too invested to let him lose. Granted I think 2012 had low poll numbers, I don't know if enough people show up for Biden after the assault allegation. Hopefully he wins but I'm not holding my breath.
Trump's base is not growing. He already lost the Midwest totally, and the econony is in the tank. Dedication cannot INCREASE votes, just stagnate their own base and alienate everyone else. Trump is losing goddamn Texas of all places, and tied in Georgia.