Horn of Africa Regional Thread

[Max B]

The balkanization of the fake nation Ethiopia is finally upon us

Oromo, Somali and Afar better play smart this time and not let TPLF take full control.

Yes yes it’s finally happening

but tbh I think it’s whoever the west wants to take over the country if it doesn’t get Balkanized.

Amhara farmers FANO are getting packed we love to see it

 

[Max B]

Abiy is so desperate

 

[dtownreppin214]

Cmon man, this is hardly a smoking gun, this can literally be anybody. Its not 1998 and if there was any evidence of material support, whether weapons or logistics it would be put out on the summer jam screen by the Government.

Social media is rife with fake claims, fake videos, fake photos.

Just look at this dudes tweet Do you find this remotely believable?

What do you mean by it's not 1998? If they did it then, please explain why it would be so farfetched to assume they are doing it now too? CIA isn't sloppy enough to provide you a smoking gun from their covert operations, you're going to have to put two and two together - every statement/action from the United States/EU/UN over the last year including the one today is enough proof that the US is all-in on fukking Ethiopia up and weakening the central gov't. If this country wasn't so war-weary, I bet Biden would have already sent in troops already.

 

[dtownreppin214]

Amhara farmers FANO are getting packed we love to see it

Why do you love to see it? Jesus, you are sick. TPLF is now attacking Afar regions - the one group in the Horn that don't bother anyone. Anyways, you will sing a different tune when they come after those somali oil refinieries.

 

[thatrapsfan]

What do you mean by it's not 1998? If they did it then, please explain why it would be so farfetched to assume they are doing it now too? CIA isn't sloppy enough to provide you a smoking gun from their covert operations, you're going to have to put two and two together - every statement/action from the United States/EU/UN over the last year including the one today is enough proof that the US is all-in on fukking Ethiopia up and weakening the central gov't. If this country wasn't so war-weary, I bet Biden would have already sent in troops already.

I mean that they’re no longer in power, are a rebel group, and that means of documenting wars are far more advanced than the 90s.

You are talking about the CIA as if they’re omnipresent. Their current operations in Somalia are well documented and reported by various sources. Same as the US use of Djibouti and Kenya as outposts for military operations in Somalia.

If they were flying sorties into Northern Ethiopia to provide logistical support to TPLF, you really think that they could do this undetected by Ethiopian Government and it’s allies? With only evidence being grainy audio posted on Twitter? This strains credulity.

Also fascinating how much rhetoric of every party of this conflict has shifted as alliances have changed. A few years ago Eritrean govt supporters were cheering Jawar/ Qeerro and agreeing with their view of Ethiopian history. Fast forward now and you got Eritrean Government supports talking about Ethiopia’s national integrity and history Same with OLA/Jawar supports who were strongly opposed to TPLF and have shifted into a partnership of convenience. Ditto for Ethiopian Government supporters who used to have nothing but insults for Afwerki and now see him as a statesman. What a change a decade can make.

 

[mastermind]

Why do you love to see it? Jesus, you are sick. TPLF is now attacking Afar regions - the one group in the Horn that don't bother anyone. Anyways, you will sing a different tune when they come after those somali oil refinieries.

Max is a troll. Don't ever take him serious.

 

[thatrapsfan]

 

[AndroidHero]

So for the people who have been following this conflict what do you think will happen in the next few days/weeks.

Is TPLF really about the take over the capital?

 

[thatrapsfan]

So for the people who have been following this conflict what do you think will happen in the next few days/weeks.

Is TPLF really about the take over the capital?

I personally doubt anything like 1991 happens (i.e. rebels rolling on capital). But climate of instability and continuous military losses create an environment that would be conducive to a coup or change of leadership

 

[2Quik4UHoes]

I mean that they’re no longer in power, are a rebel group, and that means of documenting wars are far more advanced than the 90s.

You are talking about the CIA as if they’re omnipresent. Their current operations in Somalia are well documented and reported by various sources. Same as the US use of Djibouti and Kenya as outposts for military operations in Somalia.

If they were flying sorties into Northern Ethiopia to provide logistical support to TPLF, you really think that they could do this undetected by Ethiopian Government and it’s allies? With only evidence being grainy audio posted on Twitter? This strains credulity.

Also fascinating how much rhetoric of every party of this conflict has shifted as alliances have changed. A few years ago Eritrean govt supporters were cheering Jawar/ Qeerro and agreeing with their view of Ethiopian history. Fast forward now and you got Eritrean Government supports talking about Ethiopia’s national integrity and history Same with OLA/Jawar supports who were strongly opposed to TPLF and have shifted into a partnership of convenience. Ditto for Ethiopian Government supporters who used to have nothing but insults for Afwerki and now see him as a statesman. What a change a decade can make.

I think it’s because in general the politics of the region has been opportunistic and akin to musical chairs. But while the TPLF betrayed the OLF, their ideals are still more closely aligned as separatist forces. Whereas while it’s not a full on love affair between Ethiopia and Eritrea there’s a lot of “enemy of my enemy is my friend” shyt going on. Many Eritreans are split between supporting Isaias and this new Union and feeling like Isaias has lost it and Ethiopia will try to takeover again. While in Ethiopian circles there are feelings amongst some that Isaias is a fascist and Eritrea’s very existence as an independent nation is the result of the same terrible politics which exists today and is also the reason for all this flare up since the other regions are essentially trying to get the same type of outcome.

As usual, innocent people on all sides have to hold the L. Both sides are far too polarized to negotiate. Woyanes are willing to die to keep control so they won’t stop and Abiy’s mandate and indeed the position as head of state will be seen as impotent so he can’t stop.

One thing I was wondering this morning is if the Ethiopian govt should’ve involved the AU much sooner. Perhaps they weren’t going to be able to resolve the GERD crisis but I feel as though at least having other African states involved has helped the cause for the GERD. The same possibly could’ve been said for this conflict had we involved other African countries. Even if mediation wasn’t something either side wanted on the table it would’ve at least made the situation less obscure for the rest of the continent. Abiy and the Ethiopian govt’s own inaction in properly disseminating this in the court of public opinion has mystified their side of the conflict while that fat tub of shyt getachew reda is all over the airwaves with a new story depending on which audience he’s speaking to.

 

[Ikwa]

lol, where this shytbag come from?

Go read a history book faggit

Stay mad amhara

 

[Max B]

Why do you love to see it? Jesus, you are sick. TPLF is now attacking Afar regions - the one group in the Horn that don't bother anyone. Anyways, you will sing a different tune when they come after those somali oil refinieries.

Afar don’t bother no one? You are clueless my friend the afars are no saint themselves they have expanded into cisse somalis land with the backing of abiy and it’s army displacing and killing thousands of cisse Somalis in the sitti zone. Each time the Abye regime was asked to arbitrate they sided with Afar.Infact the ENDF were supplying logistics to Afar militia.

 

[88m3]

conflict is over


wish you guys would chill with the whole happy go lucky ethnic cleansing vibe

 

[2Quik4UHoes]

conflict is over


wish you guys would chill with the whole happy go lucky ethnic cleansing vibe

Would be nice, but some people are too far gone.

Rooting for former dictatorships on some gotcha shyt is pathetic enough. The fact that those dictators are the very representative of U.S. neocolonialism in the region and has brought harm to just about every group in the immediate area let’s you know that they’re scumbags and their bloodline should be wiped off this planet.

 

[Max B]

Neftanya are some emotional folks