If Iran had no contact with China, how did it spread there? Either Iran is lying(they are allies with China correct?) or someone purposefully brought it to Iran.
Not totally true. They wouldn't need someone with direct contact. All it would take is for someone from Tehran to have visited Wuhan and they get it. Then they come back and go out to eat, and pass it along to the waiter. The next day, the waiter goes to visit his uncle in another town and infects him. Or someone from Wuhan could have had a connecting flight. Sneezed while on their way to the flight, and now infected a bunch of people. No one would be the wiser of what the hell just happened. And keep in mind, you can be asymptomatic for 14 days. Maybe even 27. As far as we know, you can have this thing and never get a symptom.
Lipsitch predicts that, within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But, he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses.
“It’s likely that many will have mild disease, or may be asymptomatic,” he said. As with influenza, which is often life-threatening to people with chronic health conditions and of older age, most cases pass without medical care. (Overall, around 14 percent of people with influenza have no symptoms.)
Lipsitch is far from alone in his belief that this virus will continue to spread widely. The emerging consensus among epidemiologists is that the most likely outcome of this outbreak is a new seasonal disease—a fifth “endemic” coronavirus. With the other four, people are not known to develop long-lasting immunity. If this one follows suit, and if the disease continues to be as severe as it is now, “cold and flu season” could become “cold and flu and COVID-19 season.”
At this point, it is not even known how many people are infected. As of Sunday, there have been 35 confirmed cases in the U.S., according to the World Health Organization. But Lipsitch’s “very, very rough” estimate when we spoke a week ago (banking on “multiple assumptions piled on top of each other,” he said) was that 100 or 200 people in the U.S. were infected. That’s all it would take to seed the disease widely. The rate of spread would depend on how contagious the disease is in milder cases. On Friday, Chinese scientists reported in the medical journal JAMA an apparent case of asymptomatic spread of the virus, from a patient with a normal chest CT scan. The researchers concluded with stolid understatement that if this finding is not a bizarre abnormality, “the prevention of COVID-19 infection would prove challenging.”
With so little data, prognosis is difficult. But the concern that this virus is beyond containment—that it will be with us indefinitely—is nowhere more apparent than in the global race to find a vaccine, one of the clearest strategies for saving lives in the years to come.
Over the past month, stock prices of a small pharmaceutical company named Inovio more than doubled. In mid-January, it reportedly discovered a vaccine for the new coronavirus. This claim has been repeated in many news reports, even though it is technically inaccurate. Like other drugs, vaccines require a long testing process to see if they indeed protect people from disease, and do so safely. What this company—and others—has done is copy a bit of the virus’s RNA that one day could prove to work as a vaccine. It’s a promising first step, but to call it a discovery is like announcing a new surgery after sharpening a scalpel.
Overall, if all pieces fell into place, Hatchett guesses it would be 12 to 18 months before an initial product (read: vaccine) could be deemed safe and effective.
That timeline represents “a vast acceleration compared with the history of vaccine development,” he told me. But it’s also unprecedentedly ambitious. “Even to propose such a timeline at this point must be regarded as hugely aspirational,” he added.
Even if that idyllic year-long projection were realized, the novel product would still require manufacturing and distribution. “An important consideration is whether the underlying approach can then be scaled to produce millions or even billions of doses in coming years,” Hatchett said. Especially in an ongoing emergency, if borders closed and supply chains broke, distribution and production could prove difficult purely as a matter of logistics.
Fauci’s initial optimism seemed to wane, too. Last week he said that the process of vaccine development was proving “very difficult and very frustrating.” For all the advances in basic science, the process cannot proceed to an actual vaccine without extensive clinical testing, which requires manufacturing many vaccines and meticulously monitoring outcomes in people. The process could ultimately cost hundreds of millions of dollars—money that the NIH, start-ups, and universities don’t have. Nor do they have the production facilities and technology to mass-manufacture and distribute a vaccine.
Italy, Iran, and South Korea are now among the countries reporting quickly growing numbers of detected COVID-19 infections. Many countries have responded with containment attempts, despite the dubious efficacy and inherent harms of China’s historically unprecedented crackdown. Certain containment measures will be appropriate, but widely banning travel, closing down cities, and hoarding resources are not realistic solutions for an outbreak that lasts years. All of these measures come with risks of their own. Ultimately some pandemic responses will require opening borders, not closing them. At some point the expectation that any area will escape effects of COVID-19 must be abandoned: The disease must be seen as everyone’s problem.
Bro I know that you're not understanding me. Iran claims that none of the coronavirus victims had contact with China or Chinese nationals bro, so how would they have gotten the virus?
Lmao, where’d you purchase them lol
u straight bruhWegmans
I guess the rapid spread of COVID 19 in Iran could be caused by mass prayers in mosques like what happened in the Korean church
also Iranian customs like hugging and kissing each other
CDC has broken the mold. No more bullshiittin.
This link came across my phone's feed a second ago.
Saying to "prepare for disruptions" .....
Coronavirus update: 80,238 cases, 2,700 deaths, CDC warns Americans to prepare for disruption
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https://www.washingtonpost.com/
CDC outlines what closing schools, businesses would look like in a pandemic“We are asking the American public to work with us to prepare for the expectation that this is going to be bad,” she said. “Now is the time for businesses, hospitals, communities, schools and everyday people to begin preparing.” - Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases
I guess the rapid spread of COVID 19 in Iran could be caused by mass prayers in mosques like what happened in the Korean church
also Iranian customs like hugging and kissing each other
my brother, even if they don’t sneeze.. just being within a certain range of them man smh..GAWWDAM
All it takes is one muthafukka that doesn't know that they're infected to go "HAA CHOO" and it's a wrap for all them folk.