France gets kicked out (which I support) and then what? Thats the issue with pretty much any thing black people have done in the past century.
Quick to flash out without a real plan after the dust settles. Does anyone really believe there is going to be good governance, leadership, institutional building, and foreign investment that will come after this? Raw unrefined commodities mean very little without any industrial capacity especially when you don't have a monopoly on said resource.
Getting the French leeches off their backs in Francophone Africa will go a long way in changing their fortunes on the long run. The only thing up in the air is what happens in short term. These countries still pay colonial tax to France & they also don’t have independent economies since their currency is controlled by France. Thus putting them at the mercy of France in everything they do. So, there’s basically no way they can develop based on the status quo.
In short term, the whole Sahel region has been a shythouse & jihadist haven, ravaged by destabilisation since the collapse of Libya. And civilian governments have had no answers in curbing the menace, apart from inviting foreign players to set up bases there, under the guise of ‘fighting terrorism’, whilst losing more sovereignty. So, military government in that region can’t be worse tbh. And they’re also more equipped to fight the Jihadists in the region if they have the right intentions.
Admittedly, most military governments in Africa historically have always been bad. However, not all coups are created equally. Jerry Rawlings of Ghana also seized power via a coup & he remains top-2 GOAT presidents that Ghana has ever had. Ditto the likes of Thomas Sankara & Gaddafi. It all depends on the motive of the coup & coup plotters.
I’ve always maintained that for most of Africa to be truly independent - a lot of the countries would’ve to go through a dark period of dictatorship & sacrifices would’ve to be made. You need a strong man to reverse a lot of laws & colonial mistakes whilst breaking free from the western chokehold via decrees - without the bureaucracy & politicking that come with democracy. Unilateral decisions have to be made & enforced - for the reset button.
All in all, it depends on the motive behind all these coups & what their end game is hence I’m still observing what’s going on. Also, the timing is perfect cos this is the weakest Europe has been post WW2 both militarily & economically.
If they can get it right - the short term pain would be worth the long term win. But you never know & there’s too much smoke in the air.
