100k buys for "the biggest show of all time" would be pretty disappointing don't u think?
But it's not the biggest show of all time and AEW is not booking it like it either. Optics wise, I get it, but I'm trying to be realistic about an early Saturday PPV with not one single "big money" match on its card. And honestly, I could still see this PPV doing 150k or something. The problem is the show the next week. If All In does 140-50k and All Out 65-75k, I'd call that a best case scenario for Tony Khan's stupidity
If AEW was promoting All In like WWE does WM, RR or even Summerslam, I'd be right with you on them having to sell at least the most PPVs in 2023. But they are not doing that, and they also were retarded enough to book back-to-back PPVs so why would anyone that tries to analyze this without a serious bias would expect something else?
They’ll get a ton of buys for All In but I think All Out buys are going to be rough. Only the most hardcore of fans with money are going to get both, at least in the US through BR. I might look into doing the VPN route to buy it through FiteTV for only $20.
I mean, I guess I could see a scenario were the UK folks buy the PPV in bigger numbers than usual, but I don't see the US market buying "a ton" of PPVs for a 1PM ET (10 AM Pacific!) show that doesn't really have a can't miss hook in it. It would have to get legit consensus "greatest wrestling show of all time" type of reactions after the show to drive "a ton" of late PPV buys for that to work.
It seems to me AEW has enough of a faithful, paying audience to get around 120-150k buys no matter what card they put out. But breaking that number, when they also have another paid show a week later, requires a lot of special shyt that so far this show doesn't really have...beyond being a huge non-WWE stadium show. If being in Wembley really drives the numbers up, I'd be gladly surprised
