yeah
I agree that cats get to worked up BUT. GRRM already said SOME things are already figured out by the readers. However, there are some flaws. With your logic if we are going with the R + L = J theory.
1. Forget about Bran. No one even knew he was a greenseer and warg until after he was already a cripple and Ned was already dead.
2. If Robert was hard up on killing the Targs Ned KNOWS the Lannisters would be. In the small councils he was hella adverse to sending assassins to kill Dany..WHY? Well we know about Ned's world renown virtue...but he also knows that this is the aunt of his nephew (that he raised as his own son). He stay because he knows that any threat to the Lannisters would be met with force. He also would support Stannis because at the time he was next in line AND Stannis didn't make a habit of just running around slaughtering Targs like Robert would. Stannis would be more likely to wait until a real threat was made before he would make a move on Jon.
2.5. He also thinks on Jon because he felt like Cat did him wrong in addition to the fact that this boy is crying out to know where he comes from and to find his place in the world (which was already written before his birth) but he didn't know it, doesn't know it, and according to Ned at the time...might not ever know it.
3. Ned is a man of black and white...when things are what they are he SAYS it. Varys is slithery, Littlefinger is sneaky, Robert is fat and out of form, The royal debt is absurd....all of this Ned has either said or thought. So why when Jon asked about his parents did he say "You don't have my name but you have my blood". Instead of "you are my son". It doesn't add up.
4. The very moment shyt hits the fan and the war breaks out Howland Reed goes into hiding and sends his kids to Winterfell, why? Because a secret he knows could very well cause yet ANOTHER war or doom Jon to death. A boy who's birth he was there for.
5. Jon being a Targ would be a death sentence ANYWHERE in Westeros and based of Dany's campaigns in Essos too. Not to mention that
Props.
I will discuss in reverse order if thats cool,
5: Death sentence? Dany and Viserys are known to be alive. How many attempts are made on their lives? They are not in disguise, Robert knows thery're alive but is only concerned with Dany when she is Marrying drogo. The only attempts are on Danys life, no attempts or even mention of killing Viserys who has the real claim by the way. If was he on a Targ killing spree he could have killed them both pretty easy and pardoned Jorah it seems.
4: Howland Reed isnt really mentioned in great detail for someone so important, The amount of people who die in this saga who havent got a deadly secret is huge, worrying about Jon or anyone getting killed in westeros is futile at best. Jon isnt the last Targ, there are full blown Targs alive I just cant see who that secret would upset to that extent once Roberts dead.
3: Good point but could be purely semantics, how do other Lords address there b*stards, but again great point, why wouldnt Ned say "my son" if it was his son. A counter to that is why would Jon have got a Direwolf, if the pups are for all the Stark children is Jon just a really lucky cousin?
2 & 2.5: It seems that the Lannisters have a mixed history with the Targs but nothing to suggest they would hate them as much as Robert. They were neutral for the majority of the rebellion only when Rhaegair is killed at the Trident and Tywin knows who is gonna win does he side with Robert. It goes the other way, is Tywin turning on the family he has served as Hand for decades. Plus Tywins response to news of Dany is met with indifference, out of all the houses, if Tywin wanted the Targ kids killed cos he felt they were a threat, do we now think Tywin wouldnt do something like that? Or even couldnt do something like that?
The Mad King Turned westeros against the Targs, in the new fire and ice history its put that Rhaegar was looking to overthrow Aerys, so it still would have been a Targ on throne. Why would Varys and the Dornish think it possible or even want to reinstate a Targ on the Throne if everyone hated them to that extent, fact is they didnt just hated Aerys, alot of houses are very pro Targ.
As for Neds virtue.
Night watch dude sees a walker, one of the most scariest things in that world. escapes with his life, is caught accepts his fate with dignity even though he knows what he saw and tells Ned, what does Ned do, investigate the sighting or question the guy? No follows orders, beheads dude. His second youngest in a coma in dodgy circumstances, does Ned say "nah gotta stay home" no he follows orders, kill ya daughters innocent direwolf, follows orders, an attempt on Brans life in his OWN HOME, follows orders, wifey pitches up at KL leaving the two youngest at winterfell, follows orders.
Then Is told the Targ girl is gonna have to die and for the first time turns his back on The King says fukk you you fat fukk im going home, does that not seem out of character to anyone??
Wait. This is the guy so Honorable no one thinks it possible he would have got some p*ssy whilst away at war but will break his honour for a young girl he doesnt even know.
I think these are valid points of discussion but for some reason any question of what is only a popular theory is treated as heresy. Martin says a few readers have figured it out. Well more than a few support R + L = J so the same people who are
for that theory have assumed it is them he is talking about and no one has the right to put forward any thing different.
Why?