2024 U.S. Presidential Election Thread

[Ku$h Parker]

Even in 2020 while it wasn’t official till Saturday in the middle of the night Tuesday things drastically improved in Biden’s favor and by Wednesday morning when you woke up he had like a 95 percent chance to win so while it wasn’t official till Saturday by Wednesday we pretty much knew Biden was gonna win

I at least knew it was a Wrap then cause of the odd reporting that AZ and later GA went Blue(that was like 1-2 AM PST)it was just a Matter of waiting on PA to Hit

 

[wire28]

I must have missed when Dems had a filibuster proof majority in the Senate. It's going to take at least 70 votes in the Senate to get the ball moving on statehood.

You must remember you are talking to someone who is coming from a starting point of being disingenuous.

 

[Piff Huxtable]

I at least knew it was a Wrap then cause of the odd reporting that AZ and later GA went Blue(that was like 1-2 AM PST)it was just a Matter of waiting on PA to Hit

when Fox News called Arizona

 

[Wild self]

meanwhile it only takes Cletus & Jethro 5 minutes to vote in Bumfukkville

Yep. Conservative areas are like that.

 

[Big Jo]

The majority of them will still vote Trump, they will come home.

But all Kamala needs is a sliver of them to win.

Nah if you went out of your way to vote for Nikki fkn Haley in a primary you're not voting for Trump.

In my mind almost the entire point of a Haley vote was a shadow vote against Trump. Nothing more. She was basically getting cooked in the primary and had no chance to win & still exceeded expectations. Those are protest votes as much as Haley support

DeSantis primary voters or whatever will go Trump. Haley voters, I dont see the majority pivot back. Especially when you add in Trump has done literally NOTHING to court them

 

[GhostoftheMan]

GOP haven’t won shyt with and without Trump name on it since 2018 so what makes you think he gonna pull out a win now?

I mean they won the house by attrition, I don't think it's safe to say that it's gonna be a dog walk when most polls are showing and biden vs trump was an extremely close race.

 

[Big Jo]

I mean they won the house by attrition, I don't think it's safe to say that it's gonna be a dog walk when most polls are showing and biden vs trump was an extremely close race.

Ya but don't forget Trump completely sh1t the bed a hundred times over since that close 2020 race. His optics, messaging, strategy have deteriorated

AFTER 2020 - Convicted felon, insurrectionist, 4 years of wear and tear and toxicity. and Kamala is exponentially more exciting than Biden was then.

There's two ways to look at it I guess. 2020 was either a baseline for the next Trump L and it's only going to get much worse, or it was close enough to swing back. I think it's the first one

 

[Slim]

Trump campaign like:

 

[Black Panther]

Vote by registration

Republican has outvoted Dems by 900K..

Harris would need a 10% defect and a 80-20 split of NPA to win Florida.

Florida is NEVER in play.

(Though I wouldn't mind being wrong about independents coming through in the clutch.)

 

[GhostoftheMan]

Ya but don't forget Trump completely sh1t the bed a hundred times over since that close 2020 race. His optics, messaging, strategy have deteriorated

Convicted felon, insurrectionist, 4 years of wear and tear and toxicity. and Kamala is exponentially more exciting than Biden was then.

There's two ways to look at it I guess. 2020 was either a baseline for the next Trump L and it's only going to get much worse, or it was close enough to swing back. I think it's the first one

People don't remember him being almost killed, most people prob don't remember or care he is a felon or about the insurrection imo. Add the fact his supporters may be under represented again

 

[Outlaw]

The majority of them will still vote Trump, they will come home.

But all Kamala needs is a sliver of them to win.

Not sure if a majority of them will. Those voters were passionate enough to show up at a primary to vote against Trump even after Haley dropped out. A majority will either stay home or vote for Harris is my guess

 

[Busby]

This reminds me of this:



Which I thought was corny as hell when he did it..hence why Boondocks made fun of that shyt.

 

[Eye Cue DA COLI GAWD]

I've got a deathwish and I'm throwing everything I got damn near to Harris on Kalshi.

I'm depressed, and I'm also desperate. I have always held Michael Moore's opinion on this matter in very high regard because he's from where I'm from, we know the real Americans, good/bad or anything in between, and this feels like a silent blue wave, and I mean SILENT. But lastly, I believe in the women in this country that are gonna get us there, the younger women, the older women, basically anything but the middle-aged 'Christian' white women.

I can't tell you if MAGA goes out with a bang or with a whimper, my gut is telling me bang, but I'm putting my all into it. My oldest boy (avi) is 6 and has nothing but love in his heart and wants American flag shyt, or the little ones they would sell at Lowes (fukk Home Depot) and I'm not gonna be the one to tell him why this stuff he wants is a bad thing, why those F150s with the flagpoles are driven by devils, etc. I'll save him the explanation about how this movement that's created the biggest animosity between America and its citizens has been festering years before he was born.

On a final note, the best thing the Dems did this election cycle was the attacks against weirdos, we are not going back, the RECLAIMING of USA chants, the rebranding of patriotism, basically they will killing it up until Day 4 of the DNC where they invited every cop, every warhawk, every Corpo Dem, and when Kamala started talking and parroting Liz Cheney around like that it supposed to impress somebody. But I think the campaign went back to its roots the last week or so, and MAGA is completely imploding thanks to the Joe Rogan Universe.

The true irony is if these MAGA goofballs went back to being discreet and calculated instead of brazen and obnoxious, they wouldn't create the resentment from the normal voting public would be inclined to vote for GOP

 

[Big Jo]

People don't remember him being almost killed, most people prob don't remember or care he is a felon or about the insurrection imo. Add the fact his supporters may be under represented again

There’s no indication his supporters are under represented again. At all. None.

I agree to an extent people are forgetful, but he tends to carry the 1/6 stench on him with (some) moderates and he’s never been apologetic or shown any remorse either. It’s not like 1/6 was a temporary lapse of judgement for Trump.

 

[Loose]

People don't remember him being almost killed, most people prob don't remember or care he is a felon or about the insurrection imo. Add the fact his supporters may be under represented again

They're actually oversampling republicans in fear of under representing. What's under represented is the shy female row voters