WHO WINS?


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Just a note on that R-leaning pollster who updated their numbers in MI from Trump up one to Harris up two.

1. They said when they looked at the raw early vote, they knew they were undercounting women and the city of Detroit in their original weighting of the electorate.

2. They didn't do a new sample and re-weight it. They just re-did the numbers of the old sample based on who already voted. They also didn't change their weighting based on being transparent, so that indicates that Harris is doing better than up two.

3. The pollster said that they see the race moving toward Harris.

So that's good news. I've settled on cautiously optimistic that she wins the election with between 290 - 350 EVs.
 

wire28

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@BigMoneyGrip is right about you being a sassy dude.

Like even in cases where I agree with you, which on the topic of Biden and the 2020 Dem Caucus not being serious about PR statehood I agree, the thought that comes to mind is how you can't help but be condescending in everyone of your posts.

What the hell is wrong with you?
He’s bitter and angry. Literally the majority of his posts are talking down to people or complaining about something. @No1 get your mans
 

Busby

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The importance of that poll is not Iowa itself, but in what it might signify for the rest of the country.
Exactly that…meaning that we shouldn’t be surprised if some unexpected red states turn blue.

As much as I want it to be Texas, that’s a pipe dream. However that one dude has been screaming from the mountain tops that Florida is going blue for MONTHS. The last Democrat to make Florida blue was Obama..and he did it TWICE :wow:

I am nervous for tomorrow…but it’s a little more calm because Kamala has TOO much momentum at this moment. And if that Iowa poll holds up..I think God is giving us a preview of what’s about to happen :lupe:
 

Frump

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They're actually oversampling republicans in fear of under representing. What's under represented is the shy female row voters

It’s crazy to me that people admitted to disregarding positive polling for Kamala they’ve seen with their own data out of fear out of getting Trumps numbers wrong the last two elections
 

John Reena

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@BigMoneyGrip is right about you being a sassy dude.

Like even in cases where I agree with you, which on the topic of Biden and the 2020 Dem Caucus not being serious about PR statehood I agree, the thought that comes to mind is how you can't help but be condescending in everyone of your posts.

What the hell is wrong with you?

Mastermind is one of those progressives who want to whine n grandstand but don’t actually do anything towards helping get actual progressive policies passed. The type to yell “Free Palestine” and haven’t sent one nickel to help Palestinians.
 
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