Will Movie Theaters be obsolete in the next 20 years????

[L&HH]

dude.....what u don't get is that technology is improving exponentially and that before long you'll be able to replicate the experience of being at the movies from you couch

immersive 3D technology is just coming online right now.....it'll first explode in the gaming with the next gen consoles but before long it should impact all scopes of entertainment


imagine being able to experience being in madison square garden being surrounded by thousands of people watching the knicks play from the comfort of your couch?

that is where technology is heading


Movie theaters are just the beginning. I think watching live sports as well as live concerts will also become a thing of the past. We are heading toward a society that will be online much more than being out there in the "real world" as the "virtual world" becoming more real.

I see where you getting at but all that aint happening in the next 20 years. People also have to not only be able to afford the technology but be able to really use it. How many people are really gonna have a large OPEN wall in their house to project a movie the size of the screens in theaters as well as the surround sound systems to replicate that.

Not only that but this is going to lead to another debate (future human social interaction)

 

[nieman]

I think the word "Obsolete" was wrong on my part. I don't think Theaters will be gone, I think there will always be a place for them for shows and performances. But I think people are not looking at the signs just like the music industry wasn't. Look I did this thread cause I'm a huge theater fan but I notice things are starting to change. The music industry also thought they were invincible until technology changed their own model.

The music industry is a completely different market. Technology hurt the music industry because of the way artists were using technology to share and collaborate. They were their own demise. There is no difference is buying a CD, than burning the exact same CD. The only comparison to that is the DVD/Blu-ray industry, but that industry is still maintaining.

You can't replicate the movie theater going experience. You also can't replicate the concert going experience, sports-attending, shows, broadway...some things are here to stay...no matter the scale.

 

[BamdaDon]

9Man if I could watch a movie at the crib the second it came out on one of them 4k 80 inches you would never see me in a theatre again. I would even pay extra to watch it. Movie dates boring as hell anyway , can't even take a piss got to try to wait to most boring part.

 

[VladTheImpaler]

I said in the next 20 years, not 2 or 3. I think with technology advancing the industry is in danger. The fact they have to keep upping the prices to keep up with Attendances shows this. The fact people have more options to watch their movies makes me feel we could see the downfall sooner rather then later. Also DVD/Bluray sales are down too by the way. Me personally I love the theater experience but I'm not surprised that I have more friends that say, "I'll wait for DVD" then I ever had before.

we don't care if you said in the next 60 years..... people will still want to go out. Man, this thread is a f9cking abomination.

 

[iamstr8fire]

Personally, my movie going has been reduced about 85% in the last few years. Interwebz gotta convince me its an instant classic or I have to be VERY INTERESTED to catch it in theaters.

 

[Vilified not verified]

As long as couples are dating cinemas will have a place

 

[CoolazzFemale]

Why the fukk would anyone want to stay at home 24/7.

 

[2 Up 2 Down]

This is the reason why I havent even seen the recent Batman movies. missed my chance to see them in theatres and there not really at home watching movies in my opinion (Im not a big fan of superhero movies and comics).

The experience of watching a movie in a theatre just cant be replicated. Im glad I saw Django in theatres imo it made it that much better (especially when Ross 100 Coffins joint came on ).

Look at Avatar...there is no reason to watch that movie if you aint watch it in theatres (3d). The storyline is some shyt that we've seen and read a million times. It was the whole cinematic experience and 3D that made it dope.

Going to a movie, club/bar/concert, sporting event are like American pastimes that probably wont ever see a decline.

The Batman Trilogy marathon was one of the best theater experiences I had.

Some theaters show classics/cult favorites that bring fans nice amount of people. I personally would love to see a bunch of movies I grew up on on the big screen with others that grew up on the same.

 

[Swagnificent]

I see where you getting at but all that aint happening in the next 20 years. People also have to not only be able to afford the technology but be able to really use it. How many people are really gonna have a large OPEN wall in their house to project a movie the size of the screens in theaters as well as the surround sound systems to replicate that.

Not only that but this is going to lead to another debate (future human social interaction)

You like most people can't understand the concept of exponential increase in technology because your brain evolved in the plains of Africa hundreds of thousands of years ago to deal with linear issues. Technology is advancing exponentially. Which means that what you think may take 20 years, really can happen in just 4-5 years. Just look at all the technology you use today. From google to smart phones to facebook/twitter to tablets. All of these were just invented in the last 10 years and most in the last 5. Google is the oldest and has really only been around since the early 00s. Just think about this. The iPad came out in 2010 and in just 3 short years has overtaken laptops in sales. This stuff seems like its been around forever but really we just got this things yesterday yet we depend on them in almost every aspect of our lives.

We RIGHT NOW have the technology to do have immersive 3D. But your right that its expensive and not that great. Just like cell phones in the early to mid-90s, immersive virtual reality is at its infancy. But like cell phones, its only a few years away from exploding and when it does, all bets are off.

Also, you don't need large walls to replicate immersive 3D, because the image will be rendered directly onto your retina. As long as you have eyes, then you will be able to see.

Remember those bulky not that great cell phones of the 90s. That is where immersive VR is right now. Googles Project Glass and the Oculus Rift are the infancy of this new industry. And like the smart phone industry that is now king, the future of VR will create new technologies and new industries that will change our lives in ways we can't predict right now.

What is now a headset costing thousands will be no larger than a contact lens in 10 years that will displace stereoscopic 3D images directly onto your retina. The movie industry like the music industry will forever be changed and will either have to evolve or become extinct.

 

[Silver Surfer]

nope...because its also the social gathering that is what attracts people to the theatre

 

[Swagnificent]

Why the fukk would anyone want to stay at home 24/7.

Its not staying at home 24/7 when the technology allows you to travel to anywhere on planet earth almost instantly. You seem to think that the experiences you get out in the "real world" actually depend on the "real world."

Everything you see, feel, or sense is the result of electric impulses sent by your nerve cells to the nuerons in your brain who then interpret that into the sensations you call the "real world." Once we can tap into those electric impulses and we can render copies of them inside of a computer to be sent directly to your visual cortex thus giving you the sensation that you are anywhere in the "real world" from the comfort of your home.

You need to stop thinking of technology as limiting. It has enhanced what it means to be human more than anything else in history. And in the coming decades it will do more than any of us can imagine.

This tech I'm talking about isn't hundreds of years in the future but is mere decades away. Researchers have been able to implant computer chips into the brains of quadriplegic patients so that they can control a computer mouse just by using their thoughts. They have also allowed victims who had their arms amputated to control robotic arms simply by thinking. Brain Chip Helps Quadriplegics Move Robotic Arms with Their Thoughts | MIT Technology Review THESE TECHNOLOGIES EXIST NOW. They will only continue to improve and will continue to be implemented in new and novel ways.

If you are around 20-30 years old, like I am, then in our lifetime we should see the emergence of a real life matrix. Not an evil computer bent on destroying humanity. But rather the emergence of technology that will allow the rendering of real life immersive 3D directly onto your brain so that you can't tell the difference between these "virtual" experiences and those of the "real world."

 

[Swagnificent]

nope...because its also the social gathering that is what attracts people to the theatre

People said the same thing about the music industry and look what happened. Look at what is happening to the book industry with the rise of tablets. Technology causes VERY QUICK and disruptive change. Before you know it established industries get knocked aside and new industries get created.

Do you know that Kodak filed for bankruptcy last year? The same Kodak that was the biggest name in the photo camera industry just a decade ago. They developed the first digital camera in the mid-90s. They didn't pay much attention to the exponential increase in technology and thought they would be around didn't adapt to the change in times with the rise of digital imaging. Instagram on the other hand just sold to facebook last year for a billion dollars. They were made up of less than 20 employees. Just think about that for a moment. Technology changes EVERY INDUSTRY. You either adapt or you'll be dead before you know it.

 

[Wildin]

Also you telling me people wouldn't have "New Release" parties and invite friends over to watch that new release for a price? Look at Boxing Match PPV house parties or Playoffs, tons of people have those types of parties at their homes and don't go out to bars. Also 3D televisions are now out guys, things are changing and Hollywood will end up like the Music Industry if they don't adapt.

You sir are absolutely correct.

Obsolete? No but people are already fed the fukk up with rising movie costs.

Actually this year you may see something different offered by your cable provider. Disney has been in talks with InDemand and Cable networks to offer new releases for the price of $30-$40. You might see a test market in your area.

The justification is that, unless you have a baby, ticket prices for children are $3-$5 and you still have to pay for yours which is another $5-$10 depending on if you matinee or go during a non matinee time. Plus popcorn and drinks another 5-10 maybe 15 if you decide to share popcorn and have separate drinks, this is for 1 parent and 1 child, a lot of people have 2 kids or a kid and a friend, or 2 parents 1 child, or 2 parents and 2 children..

your basically not getting into a movie and keeping a child satisified without paying $20-$30...so if you can eat healthy snacks, not have to spend money on gas, tickets and snacks.......................................Like I said keep an eye out on OnDemand from your provider sometime between March and Sept you might see a test movie or 2.

 

[Rapmastermind]

What people aren't understanding is as attendences continues to drop the prices to go to movies will continue to go up to make up the difference. What happen with Blockbuster Video wasn't a management issue. They had the monoploy so they kept charging late fees. The guy who created Netflix said he had a late fee at Blockbuster he didn't want to pay.

Netflix, Redbox and PPV hurt Blockbuster video something heavy. They were the Mcdonalds of Video rentals and they took a hard hit cause they did not adapt to technology. If people think there aren't people who would rather not go to the Theater but watch the movie at home, your kidding yourself. Also Pirate Downloading has gotten way more advanced then before. Back it the day, it was "Cam" versions, now screeners, DVD and Blu-ray quality leaks online.

If Hollywood keeps thinking raising prices will solve the problem, they will end up like Blockbuster and the Music Industry after Naspter. I will always love the theater experience but even I can see the writing is on the wall. Brand New Blockbuster Movies will be streamed at home for a price in the coming years.

 

[Rapmastermind]

You sir are absolutely correct.

Obsolete? No but people are already fed the fukk up with rising movie costs.

Actually this year you may see something different offered by your cable provider. Disney has been in talks with InDemand and Cable networks to offer new releases for the price of $30-$40. You might see a test market in your area.

The justification is that, unless you have a baby, ticket prices for children are $3-$5 and you still have to pay for yours which is another $5-$10 depending on if you matinee or go during a non matinee time. Plus popcorn and drinks another 5-10 maybe 15 if you decide to share popcorn and have separate drinks, this is for 1 parent and 1 child, a lot of people have 2 kids or a kid and a friend, or 2 parents 1 child, or 2 parents and 2 children..

your basically not getting into a movie and keeping a child satisified without paying $20-$30...so if you can eat healthy snacks, not have to spend money on gas, tickets and snacks.......................................Like I said keep an eye out on OnDemand from your provider sometime between March and Sept you might see a test movie or 2.

Yea I heard about it. See the industry is already testing this out. In 5-10 Years I think people will have the options of seeing a brand new release at home on demand.