Styles make fights and MMATH does not work 99% of the time. Woodley lost to Rory only a couple of fights back, fyi. Anyway, I'm not saying that Thompson will win but it will definitely be interesting.
I am not mentioning the Matt Brown fight to make a "math" statement...I am mentioning it because in the past few title fights it seems to me like if a fighter has been beaten one way, he can be beaten the same way again...
Yes, Wonderboy has improved his take down defense, but I don't think he is comfortable in the "grind"...He fights like "fencing"...He comes in to score a point and quickly moves out, and he is always trying to keep a distance...If he has a chance to KO his opponent he will take it, but I think his game plan is to win by scoring more points...
If he was that "wonderful" he should have put Rory away...Because that Rory was just a can of tomato rolling forward and not trying to do anything with the pressure...If that Rory had fought Lawler, he would have been slumped real quick...
But may be it was Wonderboy who turned Rory into a tomato can...We have to watch what happens with Rory to get a better idea...Rory just looked like he didn't want to be in that cage...He looked like Lawler was still holding his soul captive...