Trump is now MORE POPULAR than he was 4 Years Ago. Analysts give him a 60% Chance of Re-Election

Shadow King

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Apparently you don't. breh. If you don't win a State then you don't get the electors from that State. :russ:
I know exactly how it works...you apparently don't, since you're using 1st grade subtraction to say who will win.

Again, don't understand how the electoral college is used in the election, brehs.
 

Black Panther

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I know exactly how it works...you apparently don't, since you're using 1st grade subtraction to say who will win.

Again, don't understand how the electoral college is used in the election, brehs.

The electoral college mostly follows the popular vote.

The fukkery is found within the "mostly".

Some states give all electoral votes to whichever candidate has the majority, while others apportion electoral votes based on what percentage of the vote a candidate wins.
 

cobra

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trump figured out the only thing preventing cacs from consolidating heavily for him is his twitter rants and personality

Him being off Twitter serves him well

focusing on Christian nationalism rather than white nationalism also doesn't polarize non-white votes to vote against him
he is running the perfect campaign to be honest
 

Shadow King

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The electoral college mostly follows the popular vote.

The fukkery is found within the "mostly".

Some states give all electoral votes to whichever candidate has the majority, while others apportion electoral votes based on what percentage of the vote a candidate wins.
I know that, but dude is treating voters like a computer math equation. While also ignoring how a major metro in a state anchors total votes and/or percentages of a vote.
 

bnew

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SupaDupaFresh

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Trump is not going to win the presidency. Those voters that supported Haley are not going to support Trump. They are not going to vote for Biden, but they are not going to vote for Dummy Trump either.

Nah breh. A good deal of the Hailey camp genuinely just want competent leadership first and foremost, whether its Haley or Biden. For her base it's bigger than party politics. These are the Republicans who have woken up and accepted that Trump--the Republican--simply cannot be in the White House again for the good of the country.

Go look up videos of Haley voters and supporters. A lot of them will tell you straight up that they will NOT vote for Trump and they would vote for Joe Biden.

Trump is cooked, and no "illegals" aint gonna tip this election. But ima let the bothsiders so oddly invested in seeing Biden lose despite their indifference to both parties yap away. Can't wait to see the disappointment of the rappers, the pro-black social media influencers, "FBA," and the coli reparations militants when their apparent hero Donald Trump is sitting in jail a failed candidate and a criminal.

Maybe then we can finally get back to REAL political discourse, real black empowerment, and not this conservative dikkriding nonsense we been on lately.
 

SupaDupaFresh

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Again, electoral college. You are using popular vote.

Those Haley supporters were potential Trump voters who broke away from the man because of his obvious corruption, his anti-democracy ideals and fascist leanings, his crude arrogance and incompetence. These are the Romney Republicans who found out Donald Trump sexually assaulted someone and made a conscious choice that they're tapping out and supporting competent, noble leadership over party loyalty.

Biden wasn't suppose to have these voters, but it looks like he may pick up a great deal of them state to state. Regardless of whether we talking about popular vote or electoral college, this doesn't look good for Trumps prospect.

Trump has literally no appeal outside his rabid base and smart-dumb barbershop babbling c00ns who dont even vote anyway. He has lost ALL appeal with middle ground voters and Democrats. Biden on the other hand is building a tremendous coalition of voters which now includes the Nikki Haley Republicans, as well as independents. If the economy was worse tpdat than it was in 2020 id say Trump stands a good chance, but that is not the case and it is extremely unlikely Americans will vote against a scandal-free President who is overseeing economic growth. Forget these early, premature polls. It's over for Dump starting today. He might as well pick out his jumpsuit now and prepare for a very humble rest of his living.
 

acri1

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Nah breh. A good deal of the Hailey camp genuinely just want competent leadership first and foremost, whether its Haley or Biden. For her base it's bigger than party politics. These are the Republicans who have woken up and accepted that Trump--the Republican--simply cannot be in the White House again for the good of the country.

Go look up videos of Haley voters and supporters. A lot of them will tell you straight up that they will NOT vote for Trump and they would vote for Joe Biden.

Trump is cooked, and no "illegals" aint gonna tip this election. But ima let the bothsiders so oddly invested in seeing Biden lose despite their indifference to both parties yap away. Can't wait to see the disappointment of the rappers, the pro-black social media influencers, "FBA," and the coli reparations militants when their apparent hero Donald Trump is sitting in jail a failed candidate and a criminal.

Maybe then we can finally get back to REAL political discourse, real black empowerment, and not this conservative dikkriding nonsense we been on lately.


Those Haley supporters were potential Trump voters who broke away from the man because of his obvious corruption, his anti-democracy ideals and fascist leanings, his crude arrogance and incompetence. These are the Romney Republicans who found out Donald Trump sexually assaulted someone and made a conscious choice that they're tapping out and supporting competent, noble leadership over party loyalty.

Biden wasn't suppose to have these voters, but it looks like he may pick up a great deal of them state to state. Regardless of whether we talking about popular vote or electoral college, this doesn't look good for Trumps prospect.

Trump has literally no appeal outside his rabid base and smart-dumb barbershop babbling c00ns who dont even vote anyway. He has lost ALL appeal with middle ground voters and Democrats. Biden on the other hand is building a tremendous coalition of voters which now includes the Nikki Haley Republicans, as well as independents. If the economy was worse tpdat than it was in 2020 id say Trump stands a good chance, but that is not the case and it is extremely unlikely Americans will vote against a scandal-free President who is overseeing economic growth. Forget these early, premature polls. It's over for Dump starting today. He might as well pick out his jumpsuit now and prepare for a very humble rest of his living.

Not sure about this one. You're wildly overestimating Haley voters and Republicans in general. Most will vote Trump regardless.

The last thing I want is another Trump term, but you would be insane to look at Biden's approval rating and think he has it in the bag. I'm not predicting a Trump win, it could go either way and it's too early to predict anything, I'm just pointing out that it's arrogant to think a POTUS with a 37% approval rating is going to win easily. From a sheer historical perspective presidents under 40% are in trouble.

If anything Dems need to be campaigning like it's 2020 again and they're the underdogs.
 
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Squirrel from Meteor Man

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Just look at the state polls. Biden has to win Pennsylvania and Michigan to even have a shot. Not looking great for the DNC as of now.
The energy for Trump is not there. He has the same base he’s always had (MAGA) but he’s lost momentum where he needs it. He’ll always when deep red counties but the issue is those numbers don’t compare to deep blue cities in those states.
 

Nkrumah Was Right

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The energy for Trump is not there. He has the same base he’s always had (MAGA) but he’s lost momentum where he needs it. He’ll always when deep red counties but the issue is those numbers don’t compare to deep blue cities in those states.

So you say but ‘centrist voters’ in swing states are dissatisfied with Biden and state in the polls that they’d vote Republican.

‘Blue cities’ in swing states can be overwhelmed by GOP voters in those cities and other counties
 

IIVI

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1rpdHVU.png

![](https://i.imgur.com/Mv1hkTs.png)

Good reply in that post:

its-time-to-get-serious-v0-l8y8gd54hrmc1.jpeg


Reading the replies it's clear that there are many white people who don't want that guy in office. If you look, the mass majority of the most liked comments are against Trump. You read sites like Twitter with armies of bots and you'd be thinking the opposite.

Survivorship bias at it's finest.

People got to remember, most level-headed white people aren't posting on Twitter.
 

Squirrel from Meteor Man

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So you say but ‘centrist voters’ in swing states are dissatisfied with Biden and state in the polls that they’d vote Republican.

‘Blue cities’ in swing states can be overwhelmed by GOP voters in those cities and other counties
Voting Republican does not necessarily mean voting for Trump and they know that. They can go down ballot and just not vote. I agree a non-vote for Biden is a problem, but he has more margin for error than Trump.

A “centrist” who would vote for Trump was never a centrist imo. He’s not converting voters anymore and he doesn’t have the energy (or health) to campaign like he did in 2016. It’s not a landslide victory in either direction but Trump is not a favorite like the polls want you to believe.
 
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