post the one on coach pop
Evolution part of Popovich's plan
When the
San Antonio Spurs took on the
Miami Heat in the first rematch since the 2014 NBA Finals, it was hardly the battle we saw last June. Miami's fighting for its playoff life in the East, while San Antonio has had to deal with injury after injury. Though the Spurs were just five games off last season's pace, that's barely good for the seventh seed in the Western Conference.
But while neither franchise is where it was a year ago, Spurs coach Gregg Popovich is turning in another virtuoso performance in what has been a remarkable career. Friday night's win officially notches Pop's 999 career victory, inching him closer to an exclusive club of 1,000-win coaches which boasts just eight members: Don Nelson, Lenny Wilkens, Jerry Sloan, Pat Riley, Phil Jackson, Larry Brown, Rick Adelman and ESPN's own George Karl.
Popovich built a good portion of his career wins on the efforts of veteran-laden teams, led by Hall of Famer
David Robinson and future Hall of Famer
Tim Duncan, playing a traditional, grind-it-out style of "inside-out" basketball. It was a style that was extremely successful, winning Popovich almost 65 percent of his regular-season games (more than 53 games a season) and five titles.
But seemingly at the zenith of his career and with a highly successful franchise, Popovich switched up his style midstream with two important adjustments:
1. Pace. The Spurs went from playing like today's
Memphis Grizzlies to playing more like today's
Golden State Warriors.
2. Youth. Popovich began to lean heavily on the team's youth.
Those two critical adjustments separate him from other great NBA coaches.
Youth movement
One of the biggest shifts in San Antonio has been Popovich's increased reliance on a younger supporting cast. Looking at the last five years of Popovich's "old" style, the average age of the next five players outside of the Big Three of Duncan,
Tony Parker and
Manu Ginobili was over 30, topping out at 33 years old in 2008-09, the last season of his "old" style.
Starting in 2009-10, the average age of the next five players outside the Big Three began a downward trend from 29 to under 26 years old. These averages, of course, are greatly assisted by San Antonio's reliance on
Kawhi Leonard and former players
George Hill and
DeJuan Blair (all of whom were in their very early 20s), who also injected some youth and energy to an aging Spurs lineup.
However, the stark difference between the two eras is that instead of turning to tried-and-true veterans (like
Bruce Bowen,
Brent Barry and
Michael Finley), Popovich increased his use of "unprovens" like Patrick Mills,
Gary Neal,
Danny Green and
Tiago Splitter. Even reclamation projects like
Boris Diaw, Austin Daye and
Marco Belinelli have been under 30 years of age when San Antonio took its chances with them.
The extraordinary amount of trust Popovich has been able to put into a younger supporting cast speaks to San Antonio's commitment to player development, the idea that an acquired player is not a finished product when he walks through the door of the practice facility. The Spurs are aided by their excellent use of their D-League affiliate, the Austin Spurs, to whom they regularly assign and call up roster players.
Pace of play
Prior to the 2009-10 season, the Spurs averaged 91 possessions per game, cracking the 93 possessions per game pace factor only once. Starting in 2009-10, however, the pace picked up significantly, with San Antonio's pace increasing every season, from 94 possessions per game to last season's mark of over 97 possessions a game. This uptick can be explained by Popovich's prescient decision to shift the focus of the offense away from Duncan post-ups surrounded by shooters to a more free-flowing playbook that featured more pick-and-rolls (to better take advantage of Parker's talents) and off-ball movement.
They also ratcheted up the number of 3-point attempts, going from a sub-20 3PA per 100 possessions average (and cracking that plateau just three times in the previous 12 seasons) to averaging about 22 3PA per 100 possessions. This provided San Antonio two benefits: It helped preserve Duncan, and it unleashed the offensive efficiency of the Spurs, adding 3 more points per 100 possessions.
The decentralization of the Spurs' offense also accented the aesthetics of their style of play. While they were undoubtedly successful with Popovich's "old" style, the common refrain heard about watching San Antonio basketball was that it was boring. Now the San Antonio offense is held up as the ultimate example of the beauty of the game, and to say "they play like the Spurs" is a compliment paid to other free-flowing offenses.
Beyond the more visually pleasing style of play and the latest championship banner lies a single truth: Gregg Popovich took something that he was wildly successful at and examined it with a realistic eye, then changed his entire approach before the bottom fell out, buying himself five more dominant seasons (and counting). He bought into ideals that ran contrary to his basketball beliefs: shooting more 3s, playing up-tempo, which is insanely rare. In a league where "if it ain't broke, don't break it" is practically tattooed on everyone's forehead, Popovich took a plunge into the unknown with no immediate reason to do so, and it paid off the biggest dividend.
News and Notes
• Tonight marks the unofficial NBA "Super Bowl," with the Golden State Warriors visiting the
Atlanta Hawks in a matchup of the two best records in the NBA. Both teams feature an extraordinary amount of off-ball movement, and watching them play is like a clinic on team basketball. While this game carries no added significance beyond a regular-season win, there's a duel of "us against the world" sentiments at play here.
For the Hawks, there's a constant feeling of anonymity, as their lack of brand-name players (to the casual fan) causes them to be overlooked in favor of other, more name-worthy Eastern Conference outfits like Chicago and Cleveland. For the Warriors, playing on Pacific time for most of their games brings up the dreaded "East Coast bias"; namely, most of the country is fast asleep while they are dismantling opponents. While it's not a national TV game, much of the NBA's League Pass subscribers will be dialed in to what we hope will be a celebration of basketball in its purest form.
• The Cavs' 12-game win streak, capped by Thursday night's dismantling of the Clippers on national TV, has brought up the question "what's changed?" from many fans. As always, there's never a simple, one-name answer, but here are all the people who deserve credit for the turnaround:
-
LeBron James, for playing with a renewed sense of urgency that had been absent prior to January 2015.
- Cavs GM David Griffin, for giving the franchise the shot in the arm it needed by making a pair of shrewd moves in acquiring
J.R. Smith,
Iman Shumpert and
Timofey Mozgov.
- Smith, Shumpert and Mozgov, for bringing energy and size on the defensive end.
- Cavs head coach David Blatt, for steadying the ship and finding ways to make the offense more effective.
-
Kevin Love, for continuing to bring effort and energy despite still searching for his role on the offensive end.
-
Dion Waiters, for not being there anymore.
#hatehard
• Portland defeated Phoenix Thursday night, avenging its loss from a couple of weeks ago when it was missing
LaMarcus Aldridge, who had just discovered he had a torn ligament. At the time, Aldridge was expected to miss significant time, while center
Robin Lopezwas not expected to be back until after All-Star break.
Instead, both players accelerated their returns (Aldridge chose to forgo surgery and play injured) with the hope of keeping Portland in the conversation for home-court advantage. But there's an interesting hypothetical to consider had they not returned and had Portland experienced a free fall: In the event that every single team in a division finishes outside of the top eight in the conference, the division winner would automatically be gifted the No. 4 seed and every other team would shift down.
In other words, had the Blazers dropped out of the top eight and the
Oklahoma City Thunder been unable to move up, then the better of the two would automatically leapfrog into the 4-seed, pushing out whoever the unlucky devils in eighth would be. How soul-crushing would it have been for a team like Phoenix to
finally "make it" to the playoffs only to have its invite revoked by a technicality.
• Tweet of the week: too many to count, but all
the followers who contributed to the On Third Contract But Never Been a Free Agent Club list. It's increasingly rare to see older players who have never been free agents, and I imagine it will be harder in the future, as the rules make it much more lucrative for a player to become a free agent and then re-sign with his team, rather than signing an extension.