Essential The Official ESPN Insider Thread (ESPN+)

Skooby

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Trade Grades: Final deadline deals
Bobcats get:
Gary Neal, Luke Ridnour
Bucks get: Ramon Sessions, Jeff Adrien
Charlotte Bobcats: C
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With their second playoff berth in franchise history in sight, the Bobcats made an aggressive, win-now move. Only one problem: This trade may not have made them any better.

Both Neal and Ridnour have rated as worse than replacement level this season. Their track record is better than that, and there's some hope that they'll be better once they're away from the general malaise that has set in with the Bucks.

Neal is the type of undersized scoring guard Charlotte always seems to be chasing. In fact, the Bobcats already had two such guards on the roster (Ben Gordon and Jannero Pargo). Neal, now less than a year removed from playing a key role for the San Antonio Spurs in the NBA Finals, is better than them. But away from San Antonio, Neal's gunner instincts seem to take over. His usage (a career-high 25.4 percent of the team's plays) and efficiency (a career-low .500 true shooting percentage) went in opposite directions this season, so Bobcats coach Steve Clifford will have to work to ensure Neal stays within his role.

Replacing Sessions with Ridnour, though, is a downgrade. Ridnour is likely to play better than he did in Milwaukee, where his 2-point percentage (39.1 percent) plummeted after sitting in the high 40s or low 50s during his three seasons in Minnesota. The steady Ridnour won't hurt the Bobcats in a reserve role, but he's not the creator that Sessions was off the bench. Neal will have to take over some of those duties.

The Bobcats also take on Neal's additional salary for next season while sending out two expiring contracts. At $3.25 million, Neal isn't an albatross, but he does cut slightly into Charlotte's cap room next summer.

Milwaukee Bucks: B+
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Neal was one of several free agents signed by the Bucks last summer who hit the trade market months later. Not only was Neal ineffective on the court, but he famously clashed with Larry Sanders in the locker room. The cost of wiping away the Neal mistake was the chance to try to get a second-round pick from another team for Ridnour, who had some trade value.

Besides offloading Neal's 2014-15 salary, Milwaukee also saves about $600,000 in payroll the remainder of this season. Sessions, who was originally drafted by the Bucks, joins Carlos Delfino and Zaza Pachulia on the Milwaukee reunion tour. Stay tuned to see whether Richard Jefferson or Charlie Villanueva joins them.

Heat get: protected second-round pick
Kings get: Roger Mason Jr., cash
Miami Heat: B
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For the Heat, this move simply frees up a roster spot to use on a player bought out by his team after the trade deadline. Mason hasn't played since Jan. 26, and newcomer Toney Douglas has supplanted him as the team's emergency guard. Simply waiving Mason would have forced Miami to pay luxury tax on his salary. So the Heat can send enough money to cover the remainder of his salary and a sweetener to Sacramento while still coming out ahead financially.
It's unclear at this point which free agents might come on the market after a buyout, but another big man would balance Miami's roster better after center Joel Anthony was dealt for Douglas. We'll see what Pat Riley does with the open spot.

Sacramento Kings: B-
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Not much to see here. By all accounts, the Kings will simply take the cash and waive Mason, who would have little value to them. That does present a small possible issue: Sacramento now has a full roster, and probably could not cut Mason before completing any other deals today. That would mean the Kings can't add an additional player in an imbalanced deal like the one they completed on Wednesday, sending out Marcus Thornton for Reggie Evans and Jason Terry.

As ESPN's Marc Stein reports, the pick Sacramento traded is of the bitcoin variety; it will be top-55 protected and almost certainly never conveyed to Miami, so it strictly exists virtually.
 

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What are Kyrie Irving's options?

This could possibly be the most important summer of Kyrie Irving's life.

Fourteen months ago, I called Irving the point guard of the future and predicted he would be the best at the position by 2015. I'll stand by that prediction.

Although I originally felt that Irving's volume shooting was something he had to do to compensate for his lack of help, it is apparent that it is rooted in his lack of trust in his teammates, a bad habit that can be hard to shake for a young point guard. It doesn't help that he's been used in unimaginative offensive schemes that fail to make the game easier on him and his teammates. The offense doesn't absolve Irving for what has transpired in Cleveland, however, and whether the blame lies more with Irving or the team, his developmental progress (individual and team-oriented) is being stunted.

As ESPN colleague Brian Windhorst reported, Irving leaving Cleveland is a distinct possibility. With his bargaining leverage at its zenith this summer, the question is whether Irving would be locking himself into five years of misery by re-upping with Cleveland.

"You can't put a price on happiness," says one player confidant who advised his player to take the money despite a suspect situation. "It might even be worth it to take a financial hit in the short run to get somewhere more advantageous." That could mean demanding a trade or agreeing to a shorter-term extension, a la Kevin Love (it bears noting that, although Love initially wanted the long-term security, he is much better off with the leverage he has now with the threat of departure).

The Cavs have proved incapable of surrounding Irving with the talent to maximize his ability. With questionable draft picks and his friction with teammate Dion Waiters, plus poor free-agent acquisitions and two failed coaching hires, the team must shoulder the blame for Irving's unhappiness.

So, should Irving commit to Cleveland long term? Since the advent of rookie-scale extensions and maximum contracts, no player has turned down a max extension offer before entering the final year of his rookie-scale deal. Irving potentially has the chance to make history. Let's take a look at his options.

Option 1: Take the money and stay

The safe approach (and most common one) is to accept the offer on the table and make it work in Cleveland. This mitigates Irving's injury history. Although he has missed just three games this season, his track record the past three seasons says otherwise: 26 games missed (at Duke), 15 games (rookie season) and 23 games (second season).

One retired NBA veteran said: "If it were my son, no way I'd let him pass up the money. You've got to be secure financially before you can make those types of decisions."

The other incentive to stay is Irving's unique status as a marquee player.

"Kyrie is in a rarefied air. He's not on the same plane as a regular player who is forced to accept the work environment of the team that offers him the highest bid," said one Western Conference assistant coach. "Coaching and management can always change; he has the stature to affect that change, to influence how the organization is run."


Option 2: Take the money and run

A second, yet potentially damaging move would be to make no sign of discontent, accept the offer, then demand a trade. Such a move still offers financial security, but Irving would take a massive public relations hit and his reputation would be called into question.

A current NBA player doubted whether Irving could handle the backlash.

"He's never been the villain, been loved everywhere he's gone," the player said. "Could he come out and play with that sort of animosity from his home crowd, let alone the rest of the league?"

ESPN Insider and noted skills coach David Thorpe agreed with this assessment.
"Honesty and transparency are the best policy," Thorpe said.


Option 3: Force his way out

Otherwise, Irving could outright reject an offer for a maximum extension and either agree to play out his fourth season and test restricted free agency or proactively seek to be traded before the Oct. 31 deadline for signing rookie extensions. Here are the presumed risks for declining the extension, as well as the logical counterarguments for each:

Injury: Barring the sort of fate that befell former No. 2 pick Jay Williams, this risk is overstated. There are precedents for player injury not obstructing market value:

Eric Gordon missed all but nine games in his contract year and still was able to secure a maximum contract offer in restricted free agency from the Phoenix Suns, which was then matched by New Orleans.

• Although it occurred a few weeks after signing a six-year, $66 million deal, Monta Ellis' torn ankle ligaments stemming from a moped accident did not compel the Golden State Warriors to void his contract.

Andrew Bogut, coming off a two-season stretch in which he played 44 of a possible 148 games and was noticeably not the same player he was pre-injury, managed to sign a three-year, $36 million extension with Golden State (with bonuses that could increase that value), giving him a raise over the average annual value of his previous contract (five years, $60 million).

These examples don't question whether the players were worth their deals but merely point out that, in cases of extreme and rare talent, teams are willing to take risks.

One way for Irving to mitigate the risk is by purchasing an insurance policy that would protect him against catastrophic injury (international players often will seek these types of deals before playing for their countries in national competition). According to one agent who represents several NBA players, "a $50 million insurance policy would probably run roughly $100,000 or so." Through this policy, Irving could easily secure a nest egg in the unlikely event that he suffers the type of injury that prohibits teams from signing him.

Leverage: Another common objection is the notion that the player has no leverage as it pertains to restricted free agency and that the only path to "freedom" is to play out the contract year, then accept the qualifying offer ($9.2 million) before reaching unrestricted free agency. Again, this fails to recognize the enormous leverage Irving has as an elite player. If Irving's representatives quietly and respectfully approached Cavs management seeking a trade this summer (the type of transparency Thorpe described earlier), it would give Cleveland the opportunity to maximize his trade value.

If that request were refused, Irving could turn "ornery," making for an extremely uncomfortable situation: How do you build a franchise with a franchise player who publicly has stated he does not want to be there? Much like with Steve Francis and the Vancouver Grizzlies, team leverage is compromised, forcing the team to deal with low-ball offers from predatory opposing GMs. Teams are much better off honoring the player's request.

Control: Of course, the grass isn't always greener after a player is traded. Said one active player: "Irving has to make sure that wherever he lands is going to be the right spot for him because, if he messes up that, the court of public opinion swings against him if he is unhappy with his new team."

When asked what he would do if he were in Kyrie's situation, the player responded: "If I was truly unhappy with the team, I'd try to get out."

Irving should give any new GM in Cleveland the opportunity to state his vision and lay out his plans for the future. LeBron left Cleveland and took the brunt of negative attention. But if a second straight franchise player were to leave, the focus must shift to "What are the Cavs doing wrong?"
 

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Roundtable: Must-get prospects for 2015

With the vast majority of the top prospects in the ESPN 100 now off the board, the focus of the recruiting world is now rapidly shifting to the 2015 class where programs from all levels of college basketball are looking to position themselves for a successful recruiting cycle.

Some are already ahead of the curve. LSU landed a huge early score in Ben Simmons (Melbourne, Australia/Montverde Academy), Arizona has its next big-time guard in Tyler Dorsey (Los Angeles/St. John Bosco) and Syracuse has a pair of ESPN 60 products in Malachi Richardson (Hamilton, N.J./Trenton Catholic) and Tyler Lydon(Pine Plains, N.Y./New Hampton).

Memphis, Michigan State, Marquette, and Illinois have early commitments from ESPN 60 products as well, while the Fighting Illini are joined by Connecticut, Washington, Villanova, New Mexico, Rutgers, and Mississippi State in already having two verbal commitments.

With the 2015 dominoes beginning to align, we asked our team of Recruiting Nation experts to pinpoint which programs have already established their top priority, or “must-have recruit,” in the coming year.

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Paul Biancardi: Through his first four seasons at Kentucky, coach John Calipari has used the NBA rule of one and done to build his program. The results have been tremendous: an Elite Eight, a Final Four, a national championship, plus one unexpected NIT birth. With the Class of 2014 in the books and the NBA draft coming this summer, the Wildcats must stay ahead of this cycle. Looking ahead into 2015, here are a few "must haves" for Kentucky: Ivan Rabb (Oakland, Calif./Bishop O’Dowd), Malik Newman (Jackson, Miss./Callaway), Stephen Zimmerman Las Vegas/Bishop Gorman), Skal Labissiere (Memphis/Evangelical Christian),Charles Matthews (Chicago/Saint Rita) and Luke Kennard (Franklin, Ohio/Franklin).

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Adam Finkelstein: As you begin to project Mike Krzyzewski’s Duke team out two years down the road, the first thing that becomes immediately apparent is that the Blue Devils will need reinforcements on the interior. With both Jabari Parker and Jahlil Okafor (Chicago/Whitney Young) almost certain to be one-and-done players, that leaves only Amile Jefferson and Marshall Plumlee as the lone frontcourt players on the 2015-2016 roster. Ironically, Duke has cast a pretty narrow net thus far when it comes to potential replacements, as Ivan Rabb (Oakland, Calif./Bishop O'Dowd) and Chase Jeter (Las Vegas/Bishop Gorman) are thus far the only two 2015 big men to have scored an offer from the Blue Devils. Obviously that makes them the highest priority recruits for Coach K and his staff heading into the 2015 cycle.

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Joel Francisco: The California Golden Bears have been scratching and clawing to stay afloat in the upper echelon of the Pac-12. There have been ups and downs in Berkeley in regards to recruiting, especially when it comes to keeping elite prospects in their own backyard. Coach Mike Montgomery's track record of developing big men has been well-documented in recent seasons. However, a couple of years ago Montgomery lost out on hometown prodigy Brandon Ashley as he headed to Arizona. Now elite junior Ivan Rabb (Oakland, Calif./Bishop O'Dowd) enters the picture and the Golden Bears are right in the thick of it. They'll face significant competition from UCLA, Arizona and a host of other schools like Kentucky, Kansas, Louisville, and North Carolina, but if Montgomery wants to compete for Pac-12 championships, hometown hero Rabb is a "must get."

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Reggie Rankin: The Florida Gators are in hot pursuit of the biggest in-state prize the Sunshine state has to offer in the class of 2015: Antonio Blakeney (Orlando/Oak Ridge). The 6-foot-4 true shooting guard scores at all three levels (at the rim, from mid-range and from 3-point range). He is capable of getting hot and producing big numbers with his take-no-prisoners scoring mentality. The Gators' best shooter Michael Frazier II will be a senior when Blakeney is a freshmen and 2014 signee Brandone Francis will be a sophomore and is more of a combination guard, so Blakeney's ability to score has made him a top priority for coach Billy Donovan. The Gators will have to beat out Louisville, Florida State, Missouri, USC, Kansas and Central Florida, among others, for Blakeney.

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John Stovall: Whenever you have a top-10 player in your state it almost always becomes a "must get" situation. For Coach Ricky Ray and his Mississippi State program, getting Malik Newman (Jackson, Miss./Callaway) to sign on the dotted line could be epic. Newman is a consensus top-10 player and arguably the best scorer in the country regardless of class. He can be a program changer and program maker. Getting Newman to join the Bulldogs' program would show the ability to keep the top players home and possibly make Mississippi State a destination spot for other high profile national recruits. This "big fish" can't get away.
 

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Drummond on the cusp of stardom
When Andre Drummond was a rookie last season, we looked at the ways he could leap from a potential impact player to an actual one. It began with increased conditioning, which would lead to an rise in playing time, which is all he really would need to be one of the top big men in basketball. Drummond now plays more than 32 minutes per game and, consequently, is just one of the three players in the NBA who average better than 12 points and 12 rebounds a game. The other two are Kevin Love, the world's best power forward, and Dwight Howard, the world's top center. Not bad company.

Drummond is also in a select group of double-double guys who block more than 1.5 shots a game -- he is elite at preventing shots near the rim and second in the league in double-doubles despite playing fewer minutes per game than the other players in the top 13 in double-doubles. Everything about Drummond screams superstar, yet he has work to do to get into that rarefied air because he has an Achilles' heel that can cause all sorts of problems moving forward. Plus, superstar bigs must dominate games as scorers.

The obvious problem plaguing Drummond is his free throw shooting. The numbers speak for themselves: He's shooting 40 percent from the stripe this season with more than 130 misses (in 224 attempts). The scariest part is that he's missing so often with decent shooting form. Some guys (think Chuck Hayes or Kenny Thomas) have such bad mechanics that it's a surprise when they actually make the shot. That is not the case here.

Drummond must tweak his form if he wants to get close to 60 percent. And if he makes a few adjustments, I see 70 percent as a realistic goal for him by next season. First of all, although his left hand is not too involved in the shot (a common problem), it does affect his shot every few attempts. That inconsistency is an issue. When you see him miss wide right, then miss wide left a few shots later, you can assume it's a left-hand issue. Keeping the left hand strictly as a guide hand -- and not turning the hand or the thumb into the shot -- would resolve that aiming issue, so then all he'd have to worry about is his arc and touch.

Watch his free throw closely, he gets only his right hand under the ball for a split second before releasing it. That in itself does not have to be a problem, as you can see big men like Kevin Durant do likewise at the free throw line. But Durant has his hand under the ball for a beat or two longer than Drummond, and it is a much smoother release. If Drummond started his free throw with his right hand under the ball, that might help create a more fluid shot.

Shooters like Durant tend to get consistent extension on their shots and often hold their follow-through to remind them to get that extension, whereas Drummond usually does neither. Sometimes when he does hold his form, you can see that his elbow never got up over his eye -- which tends to mean the shot will be flat and therefore have less margin for error as it descends toward the hole in the rim. Durant gets his elbow over his eye and has a beautiful arc on his free throw. Almost every Drummond free throw that hits the rim first bounces out, whereas most of Durant's similar attempts still go in. That can be attributed to arc more than anything else.

Missing free throws is already damaging Drummond's overall impact on the game, but the fact that he knows he's a bad shooter hurts him and his team in other ways. Drummond is a beast on the offensive glass, as evidenced by his league-leading (by a wide margin) 300-plus rebounds on that end. But he is not converting as many of those offensive boards into buckets as he should simply because he is getting rid of the ball as quickly as possible. He's likely doing this to avoid getting fouled.

SOPHOMORE 20 RANKINGS


1.Anthony Davis, Pelicans
2.Damian Lillard, Blazers
3.Andre Drummond, Pistons
4.John Henson, Bucks
5.Terrence Jones, Rockets
6.Jared Sullinger, Celtics
7.Jonas Valanciunas, Raptors
8.Jeremy Lamb, Thunder
9.Patrick Beverley, Rockets
10.Miles Plumlee, Suns
11.Bradley Beal, Wizards
12.Mike Scott, Hawks
13.Brian Roberts, Pelicans
14.Terrence Ross, Raptors
15.Kyle Singler, Pistons
16.Draymond Green, Warriors
17.Khris Middleton, Bucks
18.Dion Waiters, Cavaliers
19.Maurice Harkless, Magic
20.Harrison Barnes, Warriors
Sometimes Drummond just tips the ball back toward the rim rather than grabbing it before exploding back up, again probably because of the risk of getting fouled. He just does not want to walk up to that line more often than he has to. So it stands to reason that a more confident (based on increased success) Drummond from the line would take more time to finish those offensive rebound chances. The result, actually, would be more buckets and more free throw attempts. And if that happens, he would become a 20-and-13 guy, the top center in the East and one of the top two centers in basketball.

Finally, Drummond's free throw struggles and the unwillingness to keep parading to the line are affecting his low-post play. Last season, it was clear he had no plan of attack on the block in one-on-one play, and this season looks to be no different. That, in and of itself, is not a surprise given his age (20), and he has enough size and talent to overcome his lack of post-scoring knowledge. But if only he would add more shot fakes to his game.

Adding shot fakes would at least help Drummond slow down and gather his incredibly athletic lower body into a position where he can then explode up. He typically resorts to a quick hook shot that is far more of a throw than a shot. Faking, even if the defender stays home, would give him time to read the available angles to get to the rim better. He is incredibly quick, so he would be able to get that angle often. Of course, beating the defender to the angle is the No. 1 way to get fouled. And that is something Drummond just does not want to happen at this point.

Still, a great benefit of adding shot fakes is that the defender either jumps or raises his hips into a less athletic and weaker position, giving Drummond a far easier opportunity to attack toward the rim against a more helpless defender. That, too, though, is a recipe for getting fouled. Out-of-position defenders will always grab a dunker like Drummond rather than let him finish with a powerful move. However, Drummond is strong enough to still finish many of those shots, so not using fakes nearly as often as he should is preventing him from scoring far better in the low post. We're talking maybe two or three more baskets a game, at least.

Think about that. Two or three more low-post buckets a game. Two or three more offensive putbacks a game. Four to six more free throws a game, based on better percentages and more attempts because of his willingness to get fouled. With just two simple improvements, from the line and in the low post, Drummond could become a 25 PPG scoring machine who can also dominate the glass and the paint on defense. That is what MVP candidates look like, which is a fair projection for Drummond.
 

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LeBron James' Top 10 games
Days after a presentation at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference on the "hot hand," four-time Most Valuable Player LeBron James added his contribution to the literature: a career-high 61 points on scorching 22-of-33 shooting in Monday's win over the Charlotte Bobcats.
Let's put James' accomplishment in context by counting down his 10 best performances with the help of John Hollinger's Game Score rating, a simplified single-game version of PER, and Basketball-Reference.com.

10. March 13, 2009: Cleveland at Sacramento (Rating: 43.4)

James scored six of his 51 points in overtime as the Cavaliers defeated the Kings 126-123. He made 16 of 30 shot attempts and 15 free throws, and he came within an assist of a double-double. Anderson Varejao was the only other Cleveland player to score more than 12 points.


9. May 9, 2009: Cleveland at Atlanta, Game 3 (43.8)

In the best playoff game of his career at the time, James came within three points and two assists of a 50-point triple-double. He made five 3-pointers and 12 free throws and pulled down 12 rebounds as the Cavaliers took a 3-0 series lead over the Hawks en route to a sweep.


8. April 1, 2006: Cleveland vs. Miami (43.8)

No foolin': One of James' best games at AmericanAirlines Arena came as a visitor, when he scored 47 points to outduel future teammate Dwyane Wade, who had 44 in defeat. James, who grabbed 12 boards, was an assist away from a triple-double and shot 16-of-25 from the field. Four turnovers kept this from ranking slightly higher.


7. March 5, 2008: Cleveland at New York (44.0)

Just twice in his career has James gone for 50 points and 10 assists, and both have come on the grand stage of Madison Square Garden. James' 52-11-9 effort in February 2009 got more attention because it was initially scored the first 50-point triple-double since 1975 before a rebound in the closing seconds was taken away from James and credited to Ben Wallace. But Game Score favors this 2008 visit to the Garden, where James made seven 3-pointers and had four steals.

6. Feb. 26, 2013: Miami vs. Sacramento (44.2)

Two overtimes helped James boost his totals in a wild 141-129 win over the lowly Kings last February. He finished with a career-high 16 assists, several of them to Dwyane Wade, who scored 39 points. When James called his own number, he scored an efficient 40 points on 14-of-23 shooting, along with 11 free throws in 12 attempts.


5. May 20, 2009: Cleveland vs. Orlando, Game 1 (44.7)

The best playoff game of James' career in terms of Game Score was also his only losing effort in the Top 10. His 49 points on 20-of-30 shooting and eight assists weren't enough as the Cleveland bench combined for just five points in 41 minutes. That proved prophetic for the Eastern Conference finals; the Magic would pull off the upset despite James' heroics.


4. Dec. 30, 2009: Cleveland vs. Atlanta (44.7)

The top James game with less than 50 points saw him score 48, grab 10 rebounds and hand out six assists. Mostly, this performance stands out for its efficiency. James needed just 23 shots from the field (making 15) and 16 free throws to get 48 points, good for an .800 true shooting percentage.


3. Jan. 15, 2008: Cleveland at Memphis (45.0)

In one of the most accurate 50-point performances in recent history, James made 12 of his 16 tries inside the arc and finished with 51 points against the Grizzlies. He might have scored a career high if not for seven misses in 16 free throw attempts. James also came within two rebounds and an assist of a triple-double.


2. Feb. 3, 2011 - Miami at Orlando (46.7)

In Basketball-Reference.com's database, just five other players have reached 50 points with fewer shot attempts than the 25 James needed to score 51 against the Magic. He shot 17-of-25 from the field, pulled down 11 rebounds and handed out eight assists in what was the best performance of his career by Game Score before Monday night.


1. March 3, 2014: Miami vs. Charlotte (49.5)

Not only does Game Score rate James' 61-point game the best of his career, but it's not that close. The gap between Monday night and his previous high is larger than the difference between second and seventh on the list. Why? It's largely a matter of how few possessions James needed to get to 60.
Dating back to 1985-86, just three players -- Karl Malone (.808), Tom Chambers (.688) and Shaquille O'Neal (.686) -- have shot a higher percentage than James in a 60-point game. But none of those three attempted a 3-pointer, while James was 8-of-10 from long distance. So in terms of both effective field-goal percentage, which weights 3s as 1.5 field goals (.788) and true shooting percentage, which includes free throws (.797), only Malone's 61-point game in January 1990 stands ahead of James in nearly 25 years.
While James wasn't quite as versatile as in some of his past great performances, he grabbed seven rebounds and dished out five assists (four of which, my Per Diem colleague Tom Haberstroh noted, led to 3-pointers themselves) with just two turnovers in 41 minutes.
Adding everything up, Game Score says James posted one of the 20 best individual games in nearly three decades.


Honorable mentions: All 36 of James' triple-doubles, led by a 43 point-15 assist-13 rebound game against Denver in February 2010, marred by 1-of-9 3-point shooting (40.1). ... His previous career high, 56 points on 18-of-36 shooting at Toronto in March 2005 (42.9). ... A 52-point game at Milwaukee in December 2005 on 19-of-29 shooting, held back by three turnovers and five fouls (42.9).
 

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15 deep-impact NBA draft decisions
Marcus Smart shocked the college basketball world this past offseason when he decided to put the NBA on hold for another year, but he’s the exception -- and not the rule.

That’s why I’m assuming that sure-fire lottery picks such as Kansas’ duo of Joel Embiid and [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/67429/andrew-wiggins']Andrew Wiggins, Duke’s [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66562/jabari-parker']Jabari Parker, Kentucky’s [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66618/julius-randle']Julius Randle and Arizona’s [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66320/aaron-gordon']Aaron Gordon are history after just one season in the college ranks. Smart, Arizona State’s [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/56293/jahii-carson']Jahii Carson and UCLA’s [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/57262/kyle-anderson']Kyle Anderson have already said they will be gone after this year as well.

But here are 15 players with deep-impact decisions, guys that could completely alter not only the look and feel of their own program -- but also the college basketball landscape in 2014-15.
[/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL][/URL]
[URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/67429/andrew-wiggins'][URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66562/jabari-parker'][URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66618/julius-randle'][URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66320/aaron-gordon'][URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/56293/jahii-carson'][URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/57262/kyle-anderson']
[URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/61809/nik-stauskas']Nik Stauskas, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/130/michigan-wolverines']Michigan Wolverines
[/URL]

NBA folks I’ve talked to have the 6-foot-5 and change Canadian wing as a guy who will likely be taken somewhere in the 10-to-20 range. Stauskas has expanded his game and shown he can do more than just shoot the ball. He’s athletic and has a tremendous feel for the game. John Beilein has three players that could all decide to leave -- Stauskas, [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/61806/glenn-robinson-iii']Glenn Robinson III and [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/61808/mitch-mcgary']Mitch McGary. If somehow all three returned, the Wolverines -- with freshman point guard [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66184/derrick-walton-jr']Derrick Walton Jr.
having a year under his belt -- could have a chance to challenge for the national title next season.

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Tyler Ennis, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/183/syracuse-orange']Syracuse Orange[/URL]

He’s come out of nowhere and is now considered a lock first-rounder -- and possibly even a lottery pick. If Ennis does decide to leave after one season, it would be a major blow to Jim Boeheim and the Orange. This team loses senior [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/51342/cj-fair']C.J. Fair, and could also lose sophomore forward [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/61822/jerami-grant']Jerami Grant. Boeheim recruited [URL='http://espn.go.com/college-sports/basketball/recruiting/player/_/id/122816/kaleb-joseph']Kaleb Joseph
to come in next season and be a backup point guard, not a starter, and it would be difficult to imagine Joseph making the same type of immediate impact that Ennis was able to do in Syracuse.

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Nick Johnson, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/12/arizona-wildcats']Arizona Wildcats[/URL]

Yes, Johnson could bolt Tucson after his junior campaign. He’s likely a second-round pick, but sources have told me he’s leaning towards leaving after the season. Sean Miller will almost certainly lose Aaron Gordon, but if Johnson, [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/61552/kaleb-tarczewski']Kaleb Tarczewski and [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/61548/brandon-ashley']Brandon Ashley
all return, along with the addition of talented and versatile wing Stanley Johnson, the Wildcats would be one of the favorites to cut down the nets next season -- if not the favorite.

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Aaron Harrison, Andrew Harrison, Kentucky Wildcats

Andrew and Aaron came in with a ton of hype, but have struggled to live up to the expectations. Andrew has had difficulty running the team and his brother, Aaron, has been inconsistent with his shot. They were both considered first-rounders by many upon their arrival in Lexington, but their stock has fallen and they were mid-evaluated by many. The question isn’t just whether they want to return, but also whether John Calipari even wants them back in the fold. Andrew will have to battle Tyler Ulis -- a small, quick and tough point guard -- to hold onto his spot next season while Aaron will also have competition from the likes of incoming freshman Devin Booker.

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Wayne Selden, Kansas Jayhawks

The smart money is that Joel Embiid and Andrew Wiggins are gone after this season, but the one that could go either way is Selden -- the big, strong wing who has been erratic with his production this season. In his defense, there are a lot of mouths to feed on this talented Kansas team. The NBA folks still feel as though he could go somewhere in the tail end of the first round, but he’s not a lock to do so. If Selden returns, this team may not miss a beat with the addition of a freshman class next year that includes two of the nation’s top players in power forward Cliff Alexander and long and athletic wing Kelly Oubre.

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Sam Dekker, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/275/wisconsin-badgers']Wisconsin Badgers[/URL]

The only player that Bo Ryan will definitely lose off this season's team is senior [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/51313/ben-brust']Ben Brust. Dekker is a possible first-rounder, but is likely to return to Madison. If that’s the case, the Badgers could be even better next season with the likely improvement of guys like Dekker and freshman big man [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66198/nigel-hayes']Nigel Hayes. The current team is in the mix for a No. 1 seed, and despite the loss of Brust, the Badgers could be improved next season.
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Skooby

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Montrezl Harrell, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/97/louisville-cardinals']Louisville Cardinals[/URL]

The word all season has been that the athletic power forward is gone after the year, but there’s still some question since his stock isn’t nearly as high as it was prior to the season -- even though he hadn’t really proven much at that point. The Cardinals have plenty of perimeter players, even with the loss of [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/51478/russ-smith']Russ Smith and [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/46425/luke-hancock']Luke Hancock, but Rick Pitino and the Cardinals will take a significant hit if Harrell leaves. [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/63035/mangok-mathiang']Mangok Mathiang has had his moments this season, but he’s still a bit of a wild card and there are no other proven big men in the program.


[URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/61806/glenn-robinson-iii']Glenn Robinson III
, Michigan Wolverines

There are times when he looks terrific, and others when GR3 appears disinterested and invisible. He has good size for a wing and possesses tremendous athleticism, but he hasn’t lived up to the expectations this season. Robinson, according to multiple NBA executives, could still go in the latter part of the first round -- but he’s far from a lock to go in the first 30 picks. The Wolverines could well lose Stauskas and McGary, and that would almost force Robinson to be the go-to guy if he returns to Ann Arbor.

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Semaj Christon, Xavier Muskateers

He’s the Musketeers' best player and is considered a guy who could go late in the first round, or may fall into the second. If Christon comes back, Chris Mack would only have to replace senior [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/46930/isaiah-philmore']Isaiah Philmore -- and he brings in one of the top recruiting classes in the country. The team would be deep, have a veteran star in Christon, and be a legitimate Big East title contender.


[URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66604/noah-vonleh']Noah Vonleh, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/84/indiana-hoosiers']Indiana Hoosiers
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He’s considered a top 10 pick by most NBA executives, but there’s still a chance that Vonleh -- who is extremely young for his class -- could return to Bloomington. My gut is that he leaves, and if that happens the Hoosiers will be thin up front. Tom Crean has a couple of quality perimeter guys coming in the program ([URL='http://espn.go.com/college-sports/basketball/recruiting/player/_/id/117563/james-blackmon-jr']James Blackmon
and Robert Johnson), but he lost Luke Fischer (transferred in December) and Hanner Mosquera-Perea hasn’t shown enough to convince me that he can be a quality starting big man for a Big Ten contender.

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Spencer Dinwiddie, Colorado Buffaloes

He’s a point guard with size that had begun to put it all together when he went down with the season-ending knee injury in mid-January. The Buffs could have gone deep come March with Dinwiddie in the lineup, but now they are struggling just to remain in the NCAA tourney field. Dinwiddie is likely a fringe first-rounder and his return to school would mean that the Buffaloes would bring back all five starters. It’s a team that could make some serious noise in 2014-15.

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Rodney Hood, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/150/duke-blue-devils']Duke Blue Devils[/URL]

I’ve got teammate Jabari Parker as a lock to leave, and I think the long and skilled Hood will ultimately do the same. However, if he stays in Durham, he’ll fill the most pressing need for next season. Remember, the Blue Devils will add the most skilled big man in next year’s freshman class in [URL='http://espn.go.com/college-sports/basketball/recruiting/player/_/id/116061/jahlil-okafor']Jahlil Okafor
-- and also a tremendous college point guard in Tyus Jones. They will have wings -- holdovers Matt Jones and incoming freshmen [URL='http://espn.go.com/college-sports/basketball/recruiting/player/_/id/117581/justise-winslow']Justise Winslow and Grayson Allen -- but Hood is already proven. The question is whether Hood, a possible lottery pick, spurns the NBA.

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T.J. Warren, N.C. State Wolfpack

He’s one of the most prolific scorers in the entire country and his return, along with the development of [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66135/anthony-barber']Anthony “Cat” Barber
and the addition of forwards Abdul-Malik Abu, Caleb Martin and Cody Martin, would be huge for Mark Gottfried and Co. The Wolfpack would be a lock NCAA tourney team with Warren back in the fold, but would likely be an NIT club without him back in Raleigh. Warren is a highly regarded by NBA folks due to his size and ability to get buckets, and he’s almost certainly a first-rounder if he leaves after this season.

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Zach LaVine, [URL='http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/_/id/26/ucla-bruins']UCLA Bruins[/URL]

He came out of the gates fast, but has slowed down. LaVine has good size and is ultra-athletic -- and was making shots for the first part of the season. He’s still shooting 42 percent from 3-point range and is intriguing to NBA guys, but he’s a likely late first-rounder. Steve Alford will bring in a plethora of quality big men next season, and will also add talented combo guard [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/67809/isaac-hamilton']Isaac Hamilton. His son, [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/66222/bryce-alford']Bryce Alford, is a capable Pac-12 guard and the return of LaVine and fellow wing [URL='http://sports.espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/player/_/id/52785/jordan-adams']Jordan Adams would give the Bruins a complete team that could play with just about anyone.
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