Scouting EuroLeague: NBA free agents and draft prospects
The EuroLeague Final Four is a season-ending celebration of the top international basketball league in the world outside of the NBA. This year's event provided a stark contrast from last year's, which was a send-off for generational talent
Luka Doncic a month before the draft. Far fewer NBA scouts were in attendance, partially due to the overlap with the NBA combine but also because of what this event has become.
"The EuroLeague is an aging competition," said one Eastern Conference executive who nevertheless decided to make the trip to Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain. "It's hard to get NBA people excited about the Final Four, as great as the basketball is. Most of the best players in this league are in their late 20s or early 30s, and for a lot of them, their NBA window has closed."
Research backs that assertion. The effective age of a player in this competition, weighted by minutes played, is the oldest it's been since the EuroLeague's inception in 2000 --
exceeding 29 years old for the first time. The EuroLeague went to a closed competition, with 30 games and only 16 teams, in 2016, eliminating opportunities for clubs from traditional basketball talent hotbeds such as Serbia, France, Croatia and Slovenia. The do-or-die nature of every game makes it difficult for coaches to justify giving chances to teenagers, which manifested itself most vividly in the league's "Rising Star award," handed out to the competition's best young player.
Projected first-round pick Goga Bitadze ran away with the voting despite having joined the league at the halfway mark and playing in only 13 games. Bitadze, 19, joined the last-place team thanks to his agent's close relationship with club officials at Buducnost, and he promptly returned to his home club Mega Bemax in Serbia in April, having boosted his stock significantly from the league's platform. Only one other draft-eligible player -- Maccabi Tel Aviv's Yovel Zoosman (15 minutes per game) -- managed to establish himself as a serious rotation player.
EuroLeague officials are quietly expressing a level of concern about the current situation. Young basketball fans in Europe are growing up watching the NBA, not the EuroLeague, and the limited pathway to minutes at the highest levels is causing many talented prospects to explore the NCAA route. Germany's best young prospect in years, Franz Wagner, is openly flirting with college despite the fact that his Alba Berlin team is likely to receive a wild card to next season's EuroLeague. Top prospects such as
Enes Kanter,
Domantas Sabonis,
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk,
Alex Len and
Lauri Markkanen have benefited from college basketball in recent years.
Meanwhile, China, the G League and the rise of the NBA two-way contract have taken a huge bite out of European basketball's player pool, which partially helps explain why EuroLeague teams have been forced to recycle the same aging group of players season after season. In the past, young Americans who went undrafted out of college would work their way up the European ladder. Fewer are opting to take that route.
While the lack of young talent in the competition was certainly alarming this season, this could very well be cyclical. The EuroLeague wisely elected to give a wild card to French team ASVEL next season, which means potential top-five draft pick Theo Maledon will be starting at point guard. Maccabi Tel Aviv will likely provide more opportunities to potential top-five pick Deni Avdija as well. Real Madrid is likely to promote arguably the top 2002-born prospect on the continent, Usman Garuba, to its senior roster next season, and the aforementioned Wagner could elect to stay home.
Still, it would be wise for the EuroLeague to think about the long-term health of its competition and the sport itself in deciding whether it's necessary to have five clubs from rich markets such as Spain and Turkey and zero from some of the growing basketball-development grounds, which might not be as lucrative financially but are part of the fabric of the European game.
International free agents
This event has provided one-stop shopping for NBA teams looking for rotation free agents.
Joe Ingles,
Aron Baynes and
Boban Marjanovic are just a handful of EuroLeague players signed by NBA teams who ended up providing significant value.
Here are the players who drew interest this year.
Cory Higgins | 6-5 | SG | CSKA Moscow | Age: 29
Higgins was the top standout, scoring 20 points on 10 field goal attempts in a championship game victory over Anadolu Efes Istanbul while proving impossible to take off the floor. Higgins -- who made the NBA for two seasons as an undrafted free agent out of Colorado back in 2011 -- is an unassuming player who impresses thanks to his poise, skill, basketball IQ and consistency.
A poor shooter early in his career, Higgins has turned himself into a lights-out marksman, emerging as a 47 percent 3-point shooter at the EuroLeague level through 129 games while making 85 percent of his free throws. He plays a variety of roles for CSKA, often being asked to bring the ball up and initiate the offense and play pick-and-roll. At other times, he's tasked with a spot-up role spacing the floor alongside other guards, which gives him nice positional flexibility. He's a lockdown defender who was a major key in CSKA's comeback victory with his ability to switch seamlessly from point guards to big men and hold his ground despite his slender frame. He has made a huge volume of big shots in his EuroLeague career, which continued to be the case this past weekend.
Higgins is the exact type of off-guard many NBA teams are looking for to pair alongside a star primary ball handler. He gives you just enough playmaking ability to keep defenses honest while bringing the type of knockdown shooting, steady defense, selfless attitude and feel coaches need from a role player. After signing a multiyear contract with CSKA, Higgins is finally a free agent this summer, giving him the ability to explore the NBA market and possibly finish his career in the U.S. His agent, Marlon Harrison of BDA Sports, told ESPN that Higgins is both interested in returning and is being pursued by quite a few NBA teams at the moment.
"Cory in his prime and is open to coming back to the NBA," Harrison told ESPN via text. "He's not a minimum guy -- he's the best American guard in Europe. Phoenix, Denver, Brooklyn, Utah, Detroit and Philadelphia have all expressed interest already. The top clubs in the EuroLeague will be after his services, including his current team CSKA, according to his co-agent in Europe Nikos Spanos, but he's going to do what makes the most sense at this point."
Shane Larkin | 5-11 | PG | Anadolu Efes | Age: 26
The No. 18 pick in the 2013 draft, Larkin has been back and forth between the EuroLeague and NBA the past few years, spending last season with the
Boston Celtics. Larkin helped Efes to the best season in its history, making the championship game of the EuroLeague Final Four after finishing 7-23 and dead last in the competition last season.
Larkin blossomed into the best point guard in European basketball this season, upping his scoring efficiency and shooting percentages dramatically while proving nearly unguardable at this level with his speed and agility. He's also improved his ability to handle and finish with his off hand, repeatedly getting to the rim and finishing with his left against CSKA, something that would have resulted in an off-balance floater earlier in his career. He's absorbing contact better, become more efficient with his decision-making and wasn't anywhere near the defensive sieve that he was earlier in his career, showing impressive toughness at times fighting through screens and holding his ground on switches.
Larkin's dimensions -- 5-foot-11½ in shoes, 5-foot-10¾ wingspan, 171 pounds (in 2013) -- will always be a tough sell for NBA teams that might have a hard time seeing him being able to survive in the playoffs. For others, his incredible athleticism, deep range on his pull-up and ability to thread the needle in pick-and-roll will be attractive. Larkin was buried in a deep Celtics guard rotation last season but still found ways to have an impact when healthy. He reportedly still harbors NBA aspirations, but would like to have a bigger role than what he enjoyed in Boston.
Complicating the situation is the incredible season Larkin is having in Europe, resulting in a contract offer from Efes that reportedly exceeds $2 million.
Vasilije Micic | 6-6 | PG/SG | Anadolu Efes | Age: 25
Micic was a hyped international prospect, growing up alongside the likes of
Nikola Jokic; he ended up being drafted by the
Philadelphia 76ers in 2014 at the end of the second round. They still hold his rights. Injuries were a real issue earlier in his career, but he's truly broken out and has become one of the smartest and most versatile guards in Europe. Micic has phenomenal size and has really filled out his frame. He had one of the best games of his career in the EuroLeague semifinals against Fenerbahce, scoring 25 points in 33 minutes and playing with the type of confidence and assertiveness we initially saw from him as a teenager.
Micic is not a prototypical NBA athlete, but he's very smooth, fluid and increasingly powerful off the dribble, changing speeds and getting seemingly wherever he wants on the floor. His jumper is a major weapon, both with his feet set and off the dribble, and his size, strength, IQ and shooting give him the ability to play any of the backcourt positions, intriguing in the modern NBA. Micic's defense has improved, but still might be an issue projecting to the NBA level.
He signed an extension with Efes earlier this season and has no outs in his contract for the NBA this summer, but he does have interest in exploring the NBA in the summer of 2020, a source told ESPN. The timing might line up nicely for the Sixers, a team that would need to use an exception to bring him over but certainly could use more backcourt depth if this latest playoff run was any indication. Micic proved he can play alongside a dominant ball handler in Larkin this season and still find ways to be productive, which could be attractive with Philadelphia's roster.
The Adidas Next Generation Tournament
From an NBA scouting standpoint, arguably the most valuable aspect of the EuroLeague Final Four is that eight of the top junior clubs in Europe are invited to play a four-day tournament pitting some of the best prospects on the continent against each other.
Here are the five best prospects we saw:
Deni Avdija | 6-9 | PG/SF | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Age: 18
The point forward averaged 25 points, 12 rebounds and 7 assists in three tournament games. Avdija's jumper was streaky (9-of-37 from 3), but it wasn't hard to tell why he's such a highly touted prospect when watching him handle the ball and run a team at his size. He showed his phenomenal vision and creativity, picking apart defenses in operating expertly out of the pick-and-roll, as well as by throwing perfectly timed outlet passes the length of the floor to a teammate in full stride. Avdija's ability to take a rebound off the defensive glass and ignite the fast break on his own is tailor-made for the modern NBA, and the instincts and feel he shows on both ends of the floor will make it easy for him to make a seamless transition playing anywhere from PG to PF.
Avdija's body continues to fill out nicely, and his defense is making significant strides as well, a product of the experience he's getting fighting for minutes at the professional level with Maccabi. As long as Avdija can get back on track from the perimeter -- something that will be easier once he isn't forced to settle for a half-dozen difficult step-back 3-pointers every game as he does with his junior club -- he looks like an easy top-10 pick next year.