Trade targets: Should the Clippers deal Chris Paul for Kyrie Irving?
Los Angeles Clippers
Record: 28-15
4th in West
Status: Buyers
Chris Paul's age (30) and the desire of owner Steve Ballmer and coach Doc Rivers to win a championship have combined to produce a sense of urgency for the Clippers.
Alas, having already made a series of win-now moves over the past couple of years, L.A. doesn't have much else to offer to upgrade its roster.
Potential trade targets
Kyrie Irving
See below.
P.J. Tucker
The Clippers have been in the market for 3-and-D wings more or less since they acquired Paul. Tucker isn't an elite 3-point shooter, having made 33.7 percent of his attempts from long distance this season and 35.4 percent in his career. However, he would still be an upgrade over Clippers starter Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, who's made just nine triples all season.
A deal of Lance Stephenson for Tucker and Sonny Weems (whose 2016-17 salary is non-guaranteed, making him effectively an expiring contract) would work financially if the Clippers added some kind of future pick.
Gerald Henderson
Henderson doesn't fit as ideally as Tucker because, at 6-foot-5, he's not as equipped to defend small forwards while playing alongside J.J. Redikk. Still, a Henderson-for-Stephenson swap could be a workable option for the Clippers.
Most trade value
1. Blake Griffin
In his prime at age 26 (he'll turn 27 in March), Griffin has more long-term value than his more accomplished (but older) teammate, Paul.
2. Chris Paul
Because the Clippers appear unlikely to seriously challenge for a championship during the remainder of his prime, Danny Leroux of the Sporting News suggested the Clippers explore a Paul trade. While the idea isn't crazy, it's hard to see a good fit for a Paul suitor who could send the Clippers the young star they'd want in return.
Perhaps the only Paul trade that would make sense for both teams is swapping him for Kyrie Irving (and a deep Cleveland reserve, needed to make the trade work financially; see the deal in ESPN's NBA Trade Machine).
That deal would give the Cavaliers a better chance of beating the Golden State Warriors or San Antonio Spurs now and allow the Clippers to wait out this period in which those two teams dominate the Western Conference while developing a younger core of stars. If the two teams are feeling desperate about their current situations, a deal might help both of them.
3. DeAndre Jordan
After famously changing his mind and re-signing with the Clippers last summer, Jordan is signed through at least 2017-18 to a contract that will pay him sub-max money as the cap rises.
4. J.J. Redikk
The NBA's leader in 3-point percentage this season, Redikk continues to play his best basketball in his 30s and will make a reasonable $7.4 million in 2016-17, the final year of his contract.
5. Jamal Crawford
An unrestricted free agent this summer, Crawford could help another team as a rental if the Clippers decided to move him for a better defender.
Most valuable draft pick
2019 first-rounder
Because the Clippers owe their 2017 first-round pick to Toronto (via Milwaukee from the Jared Dudley trade), they can't trade a first-rounder in 2016 or 2018 (under the Ted Stepien rule), so 2019 is the earliest one they can deal. Of course, more distant Clippers picks might be more valuable anyway because by that point the team may not be in contention.
The Clippers' final record is worth watching closely because the team traded a second-round pick to the New Orleans Pelicans (for Rasual Butler all the way back in 2009) that is top-55 protected. If the Clippers finish with one of the league's five best records, New Orleans gets the pick. Otherwise, the Clippers get to swap second-round picks with the Brooklyn Nets, which would give them one of the most valuable picks in the second round (33rd overall, if the season ended today). As of now, the Clippers and Toronto Raptors are tied for the league's fifth-best record, which would mean the fate of their second-round pick would be decided by a coin flip.
Player most likely to be traded
Lance Stephenson
Give Rivers credit for his willingness to admit mistakes in his role as the Clippers' president of basketball operations. The team has already traded Josh Smith, one of its marquee offseason additions, and could also part ways with Stephenson less than a year after acquiring him.
Like Smith, Stephenson has fallen out of Rivers' rotation, playing just 41 total minutes in January. Since his contract has a team option for 2016-17, Stephenson is the best option for the Clippers to match salary in a trade for wing help. Failing that, the Clippers could send him to a team like the Portland Trail Blazers that is under the salary floor, cutting their luxury-tax bill.