I’m more of a proponent of Bamba over either of them, but for Atlanta, Bagley has more superstar upside than Jackson. My one concern is that Bagley is not a 5 and I think a Bagley /Collins pairing is bad defensively. Him and Bagley are super young. Personally I’d prefer Jackson but that’s because I feel he’ll be a better offensive player than Bagley will on defense, and Jackson will be a C in the NBA.
If you look at the metrics, Bagley and Collins would rival a young Josh Smith and Al Horford with switching. With those squads, we were always near the bottom of post defense but at the top of the league in defense in general. Now they might never be the passers those two were but if Bagley is as good at scoring as I believe he is and can be. This could change the course of the NBA. Collins is a plus lateral quickness guy for a PF and Bagley is inhumane athletically especially laterally. They could change the game. Maybe I see it differently obviously rookie Al was much better defensively than Bagley is now and Collins has aways to go as well but dont count these guys out.
Once I started rewatching full games, I became far more impressed defensively in Bagley than I was on the outset and I say that as a Duke fan where I am kinda harsh on our guys.
Look at this for example:
We also have an 18 year old that is 6'11 that is the definition of a freak athlete, the dude runs and moves around like he is a guard. Then when diving into his defensive stats:
0.79 ppp for his overall defense (74th percentile)
0.85 ppp for his spot up defense (69th percentile)
0.56 ppp for his isolation defense (83rd percentile)
0.46 ppp for his post-up defense (96th percentile)