Essential The Africa the Media Doesn't Tell You About

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West Africa and Europe trade: Who will benefit more?
With controversial concessions made in a recent trade agreement with the EU, West Africa stands to lose a lot.

Last updated: 22 Jun 2014 07:26
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Sylvester Bagooro


Sylvester Bagooro is a Programme Officer at Third World Network Africa.


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Cheaper EU products threaten to harm local production in West Africa [AFP]
On February 24, ten years after negotiating an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with the European Union (EU), the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) negotiators agreed on a final document. The trade pact was supposed to be approved by the Heads of State at their 44th Ordinary Summit in Yamoussoukro, Cote d'Ivoire.

ECOWAS leaders agreed in principle to the trade agreement but put it off until concerns raised by the regional heavyweight, Nigeria, were addressed before a final decision can be taken. The problem with the EPA is that a number of concessions made by ECOWAS can deal a severe blow not only to the agricultural sector but also to manufacturing and thus the entire development agenda of ECOWAS member states.

The greatest blow is the loss of policy space for ECOWAS member states to craft an industrial path that serves the interest of the West Africa region.

Limited protection of local markets

Firstly, the agreement prohibits the use of tariffs as a tool for industrial development. Tariffs or import duties are used by countries to create a wedge between domestic and foreign products in order to create advantage for locally produced goods. This helps to sustain local businesses that are at an early stage of development. Most West African countries' bound tariff rates for agricultural products at the World Trade Organisation (WTO) are about 99 percent.

For instance Ghana's bound tariff on poultry products is 99 percent while its applied tariff is currently 20 percent. With the advent of the EPA, Ghana loses its right to protect local poultry farmers using tariff as a tool because no new duty can be imposed and the current rate cannot be raised.


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Africa Investigates - Ghana Gold
The second provision that deprives West Africa member states of the needed space for development is the use of export taxes. Export taxes are used by countries to make a particular raw material available for local use. For instance Ghana used to have an export tax on scrap metal with the aim of making the material available for the local manufacturing sector. Again, a country like Kenya has an export tax on raw leather that makes the product available for local value addition in the Kenyan economy. Even the UK, for instance, like most developed countries, imposed exports taxes on raw wool and hides for its industrial development.

This agreement also insists that any favourable trade concessions that ECOWAS grants to a third party with a share of global trade in excess of 1.5 percent, ECOWAS will have to consult the EU. This gravelly undermines national sovereignty and South-South cooperation. As pointed out by the African Union and UN Economic Commission for Africa, this provision is controversial for a number of reasons.

The Most Favoured Nation (MFN) clause goes against the principles of the Enabling Clause of the World Trade Organisation, which expressly provides for the possibility of preferential agreements among developing countries.

Also there is no WTO rule that requires the inclusion of the MFN clause in a free trade area like the EPA. The EU's own experience proves this point. In the EU-Mexico free trade agreement signed in 2001, there is no MFN clause.

Losses for local manufacturing

The second major area of loss concerns the liberalisation of 75 percent of trade over 20 years for West African countries. This will sacrifice manufacturers in the light industrial sector which form the basis for heavy industrial development. This targets goods such as aluminium, insecticides, soap and detergents, wire and metals, wood products etc. These constitute the heart of manufacturing in most West Africa countries. The regional market would be open for European take over once the trade pact is approved and implemented.


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Counting the Cost - Nigeria: A truly strong economy?
Worse still, this is happening at the time trade trends are changing rapidly in West Africa and Africa at large. Africa has been and remains the much larger market for ECOWAS manufactured products. Europe remains a large market for raw materials but Africa's manufactured exports to the intra-African market are growing at a much faster pace than the exports to the EU market.

If West Africa countries are to move away from primary commodity dependency and become a manufacturing hub, the Africa market remains their best option. However, this market risks being taken over by European goods.

Also the agreement claims to protect the agriculture sector through the so-called sensitive list. That is some products would be selected for protection, but that will not really help West African farmers. The main problem in relation to the EU has been the huge domestic support granted to its producers to make their products cheaper in the outside market. The EU claims to be reducing its trade distorting subsidies by opting for "green box" subsidies, which are deemed to be non-trade distorting. So the total domestic support remains the same. However, there is increasing evidence that "green box" subsidies do distort markets and in fact put farmers in developing countries at a disadvantage. Furthermore, while the EU has shifted billions towards "green box" subsidies, it has continued to maintain high levels of trade-distorting subsidies.

The ways that West Africa can protect its agriculture from these subsidised imports are through the use of tariff policy and quantitative restrictions but these are prohibited with the advent of EPA. The text only contains weak safeguard provisions that West Africa countries will find difficult to invoke in case of import surges.

Sadly, West Africa has also conceded to forgo its tariff revenue in return for promised aid by the EU. Revenues to be forgone are even more than the uncertain aid. For instance Ghana might lose over $300m per year, as estimated by the South Centre, if it signs the EPA. The region as a whole stands to lose$1.8bn annually in import tax revenues. In return the, EU promises EUR6.5bn ($8.8bn) for the whole region over a period of five years. This pales in comparison to the revenue that would be forgone.

Worst of all, EPA also requires that within six months of conclusion, negotiations must begin to extend this regime from one that covers trade in goods into a treaty governing almost every other aspect of economic activity and policy decision-making in West Africa.

This means Europe will now be consulted on decisions of West Africa with regards to financial services and financial policy in areas such as current account and capital account management; all other service sectors; technology policy and intellectual property, including traditional knowledge and genetic resources; personal data protection and use; competition and investment and government procurement. The EPA is fundamentally an attack on national sovereignty.

Sylvester Bagooro is a Programme Officer at Third World Network Africa.

The views expressed in this article are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect Al Jazeera's editorial policy.

Source:
Al Jazeera
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/op...a-europe-trade-agree-2014621155835409177.html

@Dreamestorical are the Chinese offering an alternate deal with better terms?
 
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No worries. African countries wont sign the deal because Nigeria will never sign it. Nigeria just recently launched the Nigerian Industrial revolution plan in February of this year and this EU agreement will destroy it.

http://www.nipc.gov.ng/NIRP.pdf (note the information in this article about our economy is prior to the April 7th rebasing)
 

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Bawon Samedi

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No worries. African countries wont sign the deal because Nigeria will never sign it. Nigeria just recently launched the Nigerian Industrial revolution plan in February of this year and this EU agreement will destroy it.

http://www.nipc.gov.ng/NIRP.pdf (note the information in this article about our economy is prior to the April 7th rebasing)
So Nigeria is officially industrializing? This is good. REAL good...

Nigeria is going to be the China of Africa.
 
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So Nigeria is officially industrializing? This is good. REAL good...

Nigeria is going to be the China of Africa.

Nigeria could even have greater influence than China in africa. One has to remember many of chinas neighbors are not very warm towards china and prefer america.
In Nigerias case our african neighbours are very close with Nigeria and are influenced by Nigerian media like nollywood and our music dominates the African scene.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-11429067

DR Congo - by Thomas Hubert:

In sprawling Kinshasa, the only means of transportation is a fleet of ancient, battered taxis.

And if the city does not grind to a complete halt, it is thanks to a network of largely Nigerian traders who provide drivers with precious spare parts.

Huddled around the Kimpwanza roundabout, hundreds of colourful shops display the rare English-language signs visible in the Democratic Republic of Congo's capital. "Chance Motors", "In God We Trust Auto" and their neighbours proudly display man-high piles of headlamps, starters and brake pads.

Each garage specialises in one or several car manufacturers. For example, if you own a Ford and break down, your only hope is Nigerian-owned Lita Motors, where orders are taken in English or in the local Lingala - but not in the official French.

Cameroon - by Randy Joe Sa'ah:

Truly, the "Naija" brand is here and no-one can ignore it. Nollywood films are popular in homes, video clubs and TV channels. Cameroon's young film sector is benefiting from the expertise of their Nigerian friends who have jointly produced a few Made In Cameroon videos. Nigerian gospel music also has enveloped the place and the likes of the P-Square duo have been thoroughly embraced by the youth.

Kenya - by Kevin Mwachiro:

What changed it all for us in Kenya was Nollywood. Nigeria became real and we were exposed to Nigerians telling their stories and not us being told stories about Nigerians. All of a sudden there were VCDs and DVDs being sold of Nollywood blockbusters. I have an uncle who has a mammoth collection of Nigerian movies and a few other relatives who swear on the integrity of Nigerian pastors.

And as people were exposed to Nigerians, either on the big screen on in person, other elements of Nigeria made their way into the lives of Kenya - notably in fashion and music. Huge and colourful head-wraps, accessorised elegant and colourful boubous (traditional gowns) and for a number of women, that was the outfit of choice at social gatherings. We also started dancing to Nigerian tunes from 2Face, D'banj, Femi Kuti, Bracket and P-Square.

So Kenyans now dance to a very different Nigerian tune. Thanks to Nigeria, West Africa is now at home in East Africa.



Liberia - by Jonathan Paye-Layleh:


Economic links between Liberia and the giant of West Africa have always been strong - the most visible sign of which is the 85km (50 mile) Ibrahim Babangida Highway (named after a former Nigerian head of state) to Sierra Leone's border.

But it is Nigeria's peacekeeping efforts that Liberians are most grateful for. When the civil war broke out, Nigeria led a West African intervention force, Ecomog, which prevented the rebels of Charles Taylor from overrunning the capital, Monrovia, in August 1990.

Ever since, Nigeria has been in the vanguard of peacekeeping efforts in Liberia, and in recent times, has also sent doctors and teachers to help with the country's acute shortages.

Nigerian movies are also extremely popular and the young Liberian film industry, modelling itself on Nollywood, is called Lolliwood.

But sadly, Nigerians have also been linked to armed robbery and drug pushing in the post-war period. :snoop:


Zambia - by Mutuna Chanda:

Peter Ngoma is a Zambian street hawker who earns an average of $20 (£12) a day selling DVDs. He moves from one street to the other selling his wares. Nigerian films account for a third of his earnings - a feat that the Zambian film industry is yet to reach.

Productions from Nollywood have had a phenomenal impact on Zambians. Most of Zambia's television stations, especially recently established ones, have Nigerian films as part of their regular programming.

The Nigerian influence has been so infectious that in some circles friends pick up the distinctive West African accent whenever they joke or chat amongst themselves about happenings in their lives.


South Africa - by Pumza Fihlani:

District 9, the recent Hollywood blockbuster about aliens in South Africa, depicted Nigerians as seedy criminals - it might have only been a movie but in many parts of the country this stereotype has been accepted as fact. Logic says this is a generalisation, still for some reason ordinary South Africans blame no-one else for the country's drug and crime problem - you're almost guaranteed the same answer: "Nigerians - men particularly."

Despite these prejudices millions of Nigerians have made this their home and started families here, which has proved another bone of contention. Phrases like: "They are stealing our jobs and our women" are flung around at dinner tables whenever talk about our brothers and sisters from the north arise.

Still many South Africans do enjoy Nigerian films - there are two channels on DSTV satellite just dedicated to Nollywood, while churches led by Nigerians have mushroomed in many cities, mostly around Johannesburg.





Nigeria is also taking steps to industrialize like the recent auto policy, backward integartion policy, local content policy in various sectors, Eko atlantic, the construction of railway and the privatization of power. As I stated earlier Nigeria could easily surpass china.

http://www.punchng.com/business/business-economy/12-firms-okay-vehicle-assembly-plants-in-nigeria/

At least 12 automobile manufacturing firms have indicated interest in setting up vehicle assembly plants in Nigeria, the Director-General, National Automobile Council, Mr. Aminu Jalal, has said.

Jalal said on Thursday that the 12 firms had concluded all the preliminary works on the planned assembly plants and were expected to begin the roll-out any moment from now.

He listed some of the vehicles that would be assembled as Kia, Renault, Foton, Higer automobiles and Joylong, among others.

“By the end of the year, all the 12 auto manufacturing companies are expected to have established their vehicle assembly plants in the country,” Jalal said.

He noted that Toyota was currently doing feasibility studies and would hopefully declare its intention to join the train before the end of the year.


Then you have ajakouta steel plant that is about to be commissioned.


nigerian railway


Indigenous Car company called Innoson Motors


Eko atlantic


Local content policy (Heritage shoreline buying oil field for 850 million)
watch this video to get an idea of the local content policy. YOU WILL SEE BLACK EXCELLENCE IN ACTION
The man they are introducing is talking about his commitment to Nigeria. ( he is the owner of shoreline)



Again, we are in exiting times for the african continent and blacks as a whole. The self hating blacks will increasingly become irrelevant.
 

Bawon Samedi

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@Dreamestorical

Good point. Many of China's neighbors e.g Japan, Vietnam, India. Philippines,etc are not very fond of China. Meanwhile many African nations(even North Africans) are very fond of Nigeria and look up to the Giant of Africa. Again good point. Nigeria's influence in Africa is a strong one.

And thanks for the sources as always.
 

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Africa debate: Is Nigeria ready to lead the continent?
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Nigeria recently overtook South Africa to become Africa's biggest economy. But the country faces myriad problems - including a brutal Islamist-led insurgency, high levels of poverty, and widespread corruption. Can it now become the continent's leader? BBC Africa canvassed the views of both Nigerians and other Africans.

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Simi Fajemirokun, Nigerian
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Nigeria is already leading Africa by the sheer size of its population, its emergence as the largest economy on the continent and its cultural prowess via its music and film industry across the globe.

History provides further evidence of this in Nigeria's peacekeeping role in West Africa, which brought stability to the region, quelling the civil wars in Sierra Leone and Liberia.

So how well is Nigeria fulfilling its leadership role? At present, Nigeria's leaders lack a sense of awareness and purpose and this has led to confused policies and blunders such as the kidnapping of the Chibok girls, the passing of an anti-gay law and too many others to mention.

Continue reading the main story
Nigeria in numbers
Population

167m

  • $509.9bn (£307.6bn) GDP in 2013

  • 68 mobile phones per 100 people

  • 52 years life expectancy

  • 57% adult literacy rate

Source: UN
AFP
This poor leadership also overshadows the amazing things happening behind the scenes, but as the old gives way to the new, a better Nigeria is being unveiled.

From technology to fashion to music, Nigeria's next generation have revealed the open secret - that Nigeria was destined to lead Africa.

Nigeria's Afrobeats stars

Nigeria facts and figures

Inside Nigeria's secret gay club

Simi Fajemirokun is a management consultant in Abuja

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Simon Allison, South African
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No, is the view from Johannesburg. Economically, Nigeria's newly inflated gross domestic product (GDP) means very little here.

We know that these are just re-arranged numbers on some bureaucrat's spreadsheet, and that our economy is still more diversified, sustainable and ultimately attractive to investors.

Our real concern is political. Nigeria and South Africa are locked in a fierce tussle over who will be the African superpower, and Nigeria has just robbed us of our most potent advantage.

Continue reading the main story
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Tune in to the BBC World Service at 1200 GMT on Friday 27 June to listen to The Africa Debate: Is Nigeria ready to lead Africa? It will also be rebroadcast that day in Africa at 1900 GMT.

To take part on Twitter - use the hashtag #onewordnigeria - Facebook or Google+

South Africa's pre-eminence in continental affairs, and its membership of institutions such as the G20 and Brics, as well as a potential permanent seat on the UN Security Council, rests on its claim to be Africa's largest economy.

That title now belongs to Nigeria, which is also Africa's most populous country. So, who should be represented on these bodies?

South Africa's concerns are compounded by fears, expressed privately by government officials and diplomats, that chaotic, corruption-prone Nigeria is unfit to assume the mantle of continental leadership.

Most South Africans would tend to agree: The perception persists of Nigerians as drug dealers and 419 scammers, making it hard for Nigeria to be taken seriously here.

The migrants doing business in SA townships

South Africa facts and figures

Simon Allison is Africa correspondent of South Africa's Daily Maverick newspaper

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Nicole Amarteifio, Ghanaian
As soon as you expect one country to lead the entire continent, it is as if the other countries, numbering more than 50, are absolved of all responsibility.

Whether a country has a population of 150 million people or three million people, each African country is responsible for the leadership of the continent - whether it is endowed with resources or not.

It is like a relay race, where the team is only as strong as its weakest runner.

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In the same way, the African continent is only as strong as its weakest country.

So, we should all find the weakest country in Africa, turn to it and ask: Are you ready to lead?

Nicole Amarteifio is creator of the web series, An African City

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Antony Ragui, Kenyan
When I launched the I Paid A Bribe website to document corruption in Kenya, my next country of focus was Nigeria.

But bureaucracy and lack of goodwill was a barrier. Nigeria is infamous for weak governance, regulatory failure, weak leadership and an unstructured economy. This creates a gap for corruption to thrive.

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Nigeria is known for many things, some of them positive, like football, music and Nollywood movies.

It also has a strong banking presence in Africa and boasts Africa's richest man, Aliko Dangote, a continent-wide investor.

But it is also known for corruption and crime. Many Kenyans partly blame Nigerians for stricter immigration rules, particularly for travelling to the UK and South Africa.

I recall being stopped by customs officers at Heathrow, the main airport in London. The reason? I was seen talking to a Nigerian who had just been arrested for ferrying drugs.

All of this is detrimental to Nigeria's image as a leader of the continent. To take a leadership position, Nigeria must fix its foundations.

Is Nigeria serious about tackling corruption?

Africa viewpoint: Nollywood and religion

Antony Ragui set up the I Paid a Bribe website in Nairobi

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Elnathan John, Nigerian
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Two overriding questions arise: Is Africa going anywhere? Is Nigeria ready to lead itself out of its own chaos? I would like to hope that the answer to both questions is yes. But hope, unlike faith, is premised on reason and justification.

In spite of robust claims of a rising continent, countries still work at cross purposes, travel within the continent is prohibitively expensive, major powers antagonise each other, competing instead of cooperating, and poverty and conflict is on the increase.

While there is undeniable proof of economic growth which has resulted in Nigeria becoming the largest economy in Africa, much of this growth has had nothing to do with government planning, policy or promotion, save for new billionaires whose rapidly acquired wealth flows from government contracts, monopolies and unfair business practices.

This is possible only in a country where regulation is weak or openly controlled by cabals. When private business flourishes, it does so in spite of Nigeria's infrastructure - and political and social systems - being dysfunctional.

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Most Nigerian still struggle to earn a basic living
Worse still, Nigeria is either callous or in denial about the crises which threaten its relative stability leading up to the 2015 elections - from the Boko Haram insurgency to clashes between farming communities and pastoralists.

It seems all that a rational mind can have is faith.

Boko Haram crisis in deadliest phase

Who are Nigeria's Boko Haram Islamists?

Elnathan John is a lawyer and writer based in Abuja

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Chibundu Onuzo, Nigerian
Much has been made of Nigeria's inclusion into business guru Jim Neill's magic acronyms. Hurrah! Nigeria made it into the Mint club - Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey - which Mr Neill identifies as the emerging powerhouses, rivalling Brics - Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa.

Greatness is just round the bend. Already, we have started dressing the part.

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Last month, we hosted the World Economic Forum (WEF). This year, we rebased our GDP to show recent growth.

But to ensure that ours is not a case of style of over substance, we must address the basics - education, health, security, electricity and roads.

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I have a relative who almost died from fake drugs. He swallowed pill after pill for a condition that steadily deteriorated until luckily he discovered his medicine was made of chalk.

That was before Dora Akunyili became the head of the Nigerian Agency for Food and Drug Control in 2008. Under her leadership, the counterfeit products that flooded the Nigerian market were flushed out in a matter of years.

Mrs Akunyili, who recently died, demonstrated how quickly transformation could take place in a sector when a leader is willing to step up to the plate.

Nigeria has more soft power than any other country on the continent. Our culture is exported via film and music.

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I was in South Africa earlier this year and I met many Joburgers hooked on Nollywood films and there was no bar or cafe I stepped into whose playlist did not have Nigerian music. Thus in some areas, we already lead the continent.

Yet, on issues like healthcare and education, smaller countries like Rwanda and Mauritius continue to consistently outperform us.

Perhaps we overestimate size. Kwame Nkrumah, Thomas Sankara and Amilcar Cabral were all men from relatively small countries whose leadership improved the lives of their citizens and gave them standing in Africa and the world.

Leadership can transform a country, no matter how narrow its borders or how shallow its natural resource deposits. One can only imagine the wonders that would take place if Nigeria's abundant wealth was paired with visionary leadership.

Why are the Mint countries special?

Chibundu Onuzo is a Nigerian writer studying in the UK

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Ronak Gopaldas, South African

Investors are clamouring to get into Nigeria - and it's easy to see why. The country's compelling investment proposition, massive growth prospects, low public debt and a strong external balance sheet means that the country is well placed to become a regional leader and economic powerhouse.

That is over and above the associated benefits of higher oil prices. Overall prospects for the economy remain robust despite the state of Nigeria's politics - volatile, complex and often messy.

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While high levels of poverty and unemployment will occasionally combine with the country's ethnic and religious cleavages to create a mixture that will spill over into outbreaks of violence, the country is unlikely to devolve into a failed state.

Nigeria's influence is derived from a large population of more than 150 million people, abundant natural resources, an engaged and entrepreneurial diaspora, on-going reforms in the power and banking sectors, and emerging opportunities in the agricultural, manufacturing and services sectors of a rapidly growing economy.

Despite the political logjams, and some expected and unexpected setbacks along the way, Nigeria will likely have more hits than misses in the long term.

How Nigeria became Africa's biggest economy

Ronak Gopaldas is a risk analyst based in Johannesburg

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-27885700?ocid=socialflow_twitter
 
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