Breh 10 million Ukrainians have fled their homes. That’s 25% of their population. To put that in USA terms, that would be like 75 million Americans fleeing their homes during a war here. Russia is easily winning and has destabilized that country to hell. The only “win” Ukraine has is that they can make this process as tedious and as drawn out as possible before succumbing and that they can count on the West to make it hurt Russia financially. IJS, don’t pretend they’re winning. If 75 million Americans had to flee into shelters, centers, Canada, Mexico and the Caribbean, that would be a fukkin nightmare.
But here's the thing. The eradication of Ukraine wasn't the casus belli, it was the "denazification and total takeover of ukraine".
It doesn't matter HOW MANY PEOPLE FLEE. If the Ukrainian government still stands...Putin didn't win. Ukraine isn't trying to totally decimate the Russian military apparatus and push on to kill Putin...which is why you don't hear of any artilary instillations, counter-offensives, or jockeying for land. Ukraine's objective here is simple. Survival.
As
@Orbital-Fetus continues to illustrate, time is in the Ukrainians' favor. Why? The longer they stall the push to Kyiv, the more weapons and support they get from NATO, the more Putin gets pressured from the domestic issues, the more logistical problems his army has. etc. And
@Liu Kang you're correct in saying Ukraine can't afford to lose men. But urban warfare has ALWAYS benefitted the small strike force. You see what insurgents did to the US military in Iraq. They too were outmanned/outgunned. Imagine if they had the support of a NATO in the wings....we wouldn't be talking about that conflict as a victory either.
Yes, Russia is winning LAND BATTLES. But they are not winning the war long term. America went into Afghanistan, took it over in two weeks and installed puppet governments in less than a year. Did that destroy the American economy? Was there BREAD on the shelves? Were millenials and Gen X leaving the country to go work in Canada? Nope.
War, traditionally, drains your country of resources only to replenish them with innovation and the spoils of conquered lands. Putin is getting neither of them and draning his country of resources and opportunity.
Tell me, what good is winning a war if your country falls apart to do it?