Putin will not step down. His ego can't handle that and its the sign of ultimate weakness for strong men like him.- Ukraine will concede the 2 contested territories as independent, creating a small buffer for Russia.
- Russia will withdraw.
- Putin will step down for some reason other than orchestrating this terrible plan.
- China will grow significantly more powerful on the world stage with their hand up Russia's back.
- The new Cold War between the US & China will start because this conflict is going to shift geopolitics permanently.
- The West is going to get very aggressive with energy independence, those 2030/2040 timelines will be dialed down 5 or so years.
- Biden will successfully secure a second term because his foreign policy team has done an A+ job.
- Alternative energy will become a major talking point on political platforms from a national security perspective instead of an environmental one - which is what Biden will use to secure his second term.
This doesn't secure Biden a second term at all and he's still in a position to lose to whoever the Republican nominee is. Americans care more about inflation, crime, gas prices, etc. than some foreign policy victory. This isn't the 60's, 70's, 80s.