CEO of Morgan Industries
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Yep I am thinking a East and West Germany situation is the most realistic with one side joining nato and the other becoming part of Russia. Also Sweden and Finland will likely speed run to NATO as well.
This is why it feels like a mistake on Putin's part. I thought he would stop at Donetsk, basically recognize them as a breakaway state, and end there, but he went in on a full-scale war and is now an international pariah. He even has China being openly disinterested with his little foray into Ukraine.
I think the point of this now was to prevent Ukraine running toward Europe faster by taking Kyiv and installing a puppet president so that he has it and Belarus on his Western border acting as a buffer, but all it's going to end up doing is cleaving Europe closer together and pushing countries toward joining the EU.
Long-term, do we think that this is the trigger for a federalized Europe? I think the talk about raising an EU military is going to get serious after this, at least.