I think incumbents will take losses, regardless of where they are on political spectrum, because current economic outlook is brutal and there is no light at the end of the tunnel. In some cases where there is a strong far right, I can see them benefiting off economic outlook, but I don’t think they’ll campaign as openly Pro-Russia anymore.
I also anticipate there will be fractures on exit strategies among G7 if current political and economic trajectory remains the same. We’ve already seen Macron/France diverge and try to push for early ceasefire, although he’s since backtracked after heavy criticism. I suspect this will be back on the agenda by end of the year if picture on the ground military remains the same.