Good video
Reality is setting in. Russia is winning. Ukraine will eventually have to negotiate.
Turkey getting onboard with the rest of NATO regarding Fins and Swedes joining...
The economic sanctions package looks like a catastrophic blunder a few months later now. It has done little to change Russia's rationale or posture in this conflict, has not affected their ability to fund the war in the short to mid-term, and has had far larger knock-on effects on the global economy than initially presumed by USA and EU. Energy prices appear locked in at these highs for the foreseeable future and, along with inflation, will have political consequences for sitting governments in all the G7 countries (and already have). It'll likely even get more grim in the winter, especially for the EU, if and when gas shortages have a glaring effect on day to day life.
This is without considering the effect of food shortages and food price hike on rest of the world, though at least that can be argued to have less of a direct connection to sanctions.
So far answer from Biden, EU etc has been to rhetorically blame Russia for the consequences, which while true in principle, is unlikely to have much resonance politically. There is also already some airing ofregret/second-guessing about where the sanctions should go from now and their effect on the economy: US Officials Are Split Over the Next Round of Russia Sanctions
Militarily it also appears the situation looks a lot less promising from Western perspective than it was a few months ago, now that Russia has concentrated its war aims. Looks like a grim path ahead both on political, economic, and war fronts.
There is no debate that the average Russian is experiencing massive hits to their standard of living, but their ability to find alternative buyers for their energy products (India, China etc) even at a discount has meant they still have plenty of cash to fund the war. They've earned more on oil revenue post-war than they did last year. As long as they're able to find customers for their oil and gas exports, they'll be able to finance the war in the short to medium term.LONDON, June 8 (Reuters) - Russia's economy will shrink 15% this year and 3% in 2023 as the hit from Western sanctions,
Any country that has a reduction in GDP downwards of 10% or more is facing an economic disaster. Russia cannot sustain thisRussia's economic slump will wipe out 15 years of gains - IIF
Russia's economy will shrink 15% this year and 3% in 2023 as the hit from Western sanctions, an exodus of companies, a Russian "brain-drain" and collapse in exports wipe out 15 years of economic gains, a global banking industry lobby group said.www.reuters.com
In the interest of learning I’d like you guys to try to answer these questions in your own words. Eventually we can go over it and relate it to this conflict to help you guys understand the context.
In your own words, define war. How would you envision a peer/near peer war going?
How long is it advised for military personnel to be in direct combat before being temporarily rotated out?
Why is the 3:1 ratio so important for assaulting a dug in defense?
What’s the square mileage of Ukraine?
What are the 5 most common terrain features of Ukraine?
What’s the ideal situation to create a river crossing for a large force?
What are some advantages and disadvantages of having to stay close to roadways in war? Why would a force need to stay close to the roads?
In your own words, how do armor and infantry support each other?
Why is order of battle important?
In your own words describe centralized command and decentralized command. Which do you feel is better?
What’s a blocking position?
What would you estimate the weight of the average Ukrainian and Russian soldier’s personal combat load to be?
What are battle drills of the US Army. In what context are they important.
define or illustrate (post a picture of) the following squad/platoon formations and give a short explanation of when they’re best used:
Tactical road march
File
Line
Wedge
Tag me if you decide to answer. The near instant flow of information/misinformation is a relatively recent to combat. I’m curious how you guys are picturing it all in your heads.
Reality is setting in. Russia is winning. Ukraine will eventually have to negotiate.
I was skeptical at first but they’re slowly converting Ukraine’s to NATO weapons. The ammunition will be endless.
. I'll check back in the fall