Roughly 1 in 5 Black children in the US under 5 are mixed per CDC data; varies regionally

[Suge Shot Me]

Why is this interesting? This will be the Black Americans (if they choose to affiliate with us and call themselves that) in their 20s in the late 2030s and 2040s. So basically rather than a national Brazil we will have places, like the South, Maryland, and parts of the northeast, which seem like they will maintain a relatively historically traditional Black community, though with a higher mixed representation, and where marriage/coupling patterns of mixed people indicate that they largely identify with the Black community in these areas.

On the flip side, outside of heavy Black areas out west like LA County, Alameda County & Contra Costa County in the Bay, North Las Vegas, and parts of Denver and Phoenix, the Black populations there are close to integrating. You will still have Black people all over the West but I am not sure that population will automatically be a "community" like it was in the past. Communities out there will be a small and intentional minded groups of local Black folks which may be a better or worse situation depending on your perspective.

Old school segregated communities in certain states with very low Black populations probably won't survive as we know them by next generation, especially since these states also tend to have a net out-migration of young Blacks.

Midwest is a toss up. I would guess people near major centers like Chicago or Detroit will tilt heavily Black for the foreseeable future, the suburbs will have a Black community with a lot of mixed people that may or may not identify with the Black community, and the rural areas may still be segregated but with a large mixed population.



@Suge Shot Me @Voice of Reason

Great post.

One thing to keep in mind is that these stats only provide a snapshot of current admixture patterns. The admixture in Brazil (or wherever) didn't happen overnight. If these current patterns remain over 2+ generations, we will see a pretty big change in the "black" population of the US.

Another thing to keep in mind from a group cohesion standpoint is that the black population is quickly becoming ethnically heterogenous. I bet you have looked at the percentage of foreign born among black mothers in the CDC data. It varies quite a bit throughout the country. In the future, not only will the "black" population be increasingly mixed in many places, but also descended from non-ADOS on the black side.

Below is ranking of states by percentage of births to US born mothers among black mothers (in 2022). I derived the percentages by dividing US born by the total but didn't filter out "unknown", which isnt a big deal since "unknown" was pretty small almost everywhere.

Data from here.

Mississippi	99.29%
Louisiana	98.25%
Alabama	97.54%
Arkansas	96.84%
South Carolina	96.80%
Michigan	94.45%
Tennessee	92.74%
North Carolina	92.18%
Illinois	91.14%
Wisconsin	90.75%
Oklahoma	90.67%
Georgia	89.90%
Missouri	89.06%
West Virginia	88.69%
Nevada	87.71%
California	86.35%
District of Columbia	85.46%
Virginia	84.02%
Texas	83.47%
Pennsylvania	82.25%
Delaware	81.35%
Kansas	80.75%
Ohio	80.49%
Indiana	79.42%
Hawaii	78.46%

 

[Suge Shot Me]

Continued

New Mexico	78.05%
Wyoming	76.09%
Arizona	73.99%
Kentucky	73.90%
Maryland	72.87%
Alaska	72.47%
Montana	69.84%
New Jersey	69.34%
Florida	68.04%
Connecticut	64.41%
Nebraska	62.83%
New York	62.22%
Colorado	61.93%
Oregon	58.18%
Iowa	53.85%
Rhode Island	52.87%
Washington	48.56%
Massachusetts	38.61%
Utah	38.58%
Minnesota	34.07%
Vermont	31.03%
North Dakota	30.09%
New Hampshire	29.59%
Idaho	29.20%
South Dakota	26.52%
Maine	14.31%

 

[Sir Richard Spirit]

I am mixed. Dad is black and moms is white. When I was a child I knew a few other mixed kids , but not a lot. Now, I see mixed kids everywhere.


My kids school looks like that generated picture Nat Geo released of how kids will look in the future. Everyone in the school mixed.

 

[UncleTomFord15]

Embarrassing

 

[Koli_Kat]

You should've presented false data and made it out to be BW with the larger share of interracial relationships/children. Just to see how differently these coli posters would've reacted

Would've been a platt thread

 

[Professor Emeritus]

You should've presented false data and made it out to be BW with the larger share of interracial relationships/children. Just to see how differently these coli posters would've reacted

Would've been a platt thread

I was gonna say the same thing. Just switch the male/female numbers, and posted that. Waited 9-10 pages before exposing it (would have only taken about 45 minutes to get up to there). Reactions would have been amazing.

Instead, thread is dead as fukk. I wonder why?

 

[Don Snow]

I’m in NYC black people having babies with whites and Asians is still rare

 

[Professor Emeritus]

wonder how this ties into the 1 million more children bw have than bm....

Man, you were trying hard, but that was a swing and a miss.

"19% of births (15% of births from Black men fathers and 9% of births from Black women mothers) were with a non-Black partner."

 

[Amerikan Melanin]

Stop pawging gentlemen. You are creating your own extinction.

 

[MajesticLion]

Almost everyone is “mixed”. TF are they talking about?

This is the part that always gets glossed over.

 

[ALMIGHTY GOD]

Man, you were trying hard, but that was a swing and a miss.

"19% of births (15% of births from Black men fathers and 9% of births from Black women mothers) were with a non-Black partner."

do they or dont they have 1 million more children. simple question.

 

[Black Hans]

But, "we all black though". "Dominant genes and blah blah blah". Why does this concern you? You nikkas will be the main ones trying to knock up the hybrids then talk about "black love " with a Adriana Lima looking chick anyway , so....

 

[FS4LFE]

Roughly 1 in 5 Coli threads are about white women or gay shyt, study says.

 

[Professor Emeritus]

do they or dont they have 1 million more children. simple question.

I have no idea what you're talking about. It could be something you made up, but it definitely appears completely irrelevant to the thread and an attempt to deflect.

If you have a point to make, then you show the data you're talking about and explain your point. So far it looks like you don't want to deal with the data in the OP because it doesn't fit your agenda.

 

[The_Sheff]

According to the Coli mixed women only fukk with white guys. But like most things the situation is the complete opposite, it’s mixed men with white women.