We now have ultimate confirmation of what has been suspected about Kevin Durant for months. If a guaranteed extra $50 million in the last contract year can’t compel a man, it’s because the die was cast long ago. A member of the Warriors’ front-office staff texted, “I don’t think anything that happened today would have affected his decision.”
True. Durant’s company, Thirty Five Ventures, was not expanding its staff into a New York office, far from all those increasingly powerful Silicon Valley social media companies, for the weather or for the affordability. For most of the 2018-19 season, the Warriors were in a better position than anyone, on the court. Simultaneously, in the KD free-agent sweepstakes, they were drawing dead.
Before the big news finally broke, The New York Times’
Marc Stein tweeted, “An undeniable vibe of confidence is emanating from Brooklyn as we speak: The Nets sure seem to believe they are getting Kevin Durant’s commitment tonight to go with Kyrie Irving’s … with DeAndre Jordan, Durant’s close friend, to follow.”
What was interesting about the tweet, beyond what it foreshadowed, was how it put Warriors’ hopes and efforts into stark relief. At no point this season did the Warriors’ front office communicate a “vibe of confidence” on Durant returning, at least not to me or others on
The Athletic staff. This was the main thrust of the article I wrote titled, “
Silent star: On the presumed Warriors’ exit of Kevin Durant” that happened to set KD off back in February. The most optimistic front-office talk was of “having a shot,” or how you never really know till you know. Deep down, the Warriors knew. Now they’re just happy to have official confirmation come sooner rather than later.
Then again, there is something to be said for circumspection in these matters. Back in the winter, the league buzz was of Durant heading to New York, albeit for a different borough. Expectations shifted after a March 12 episode of “The Michael Kay Show,” wherein Knicks owner James Dolan crowed, “We hear from people all the time, from players, representatives. It’s about who wants to come. We can’t respond because of the NBA rules, but that doesn’t stop them from telling us, and they do. I can tell you from what we’ve heard, I think we’re going to have a very successful offseason when it comes to free agents.”
The owner’s statements appeared to be a poorly received error, one that might have unraveled carefully laid plans. For an owner, the first rule of free agency is to not talk about free agency, especially when your prospective free agents might already have reservations about your competence. Now, it’s reported by ESPN that Dolan and the Knicks weren’t prepared to offer Durant a max contract on account of the Achilles injury. That’s actually not a totally crazy move, just one that looks like it’s out of the, “You can’t fire me, I quit!” playbook, given the timing. In the end, the Nets conveyed confidence, at the right time, in the right way.
The Brooklyn Nets have pulled off an impressive organizational turnaround, but, from a Warriors’ perspective, the question still is: How did they lose out to the Nets? With apologies to Brooklyn, the Nets were 42-40 last season, and, despite their enviable zip code, they don’t boast a large fan base. Steph Curry is, on most nights, better than Kyrie Irving and there’s no Klay Thompson joining the party out east. The answer is mostly that KD had one size 18 sneaker out the door all season, and the Nets happened to check the most boxes when he swung the other foot out the door. Did the Achilles tear hurt the Warriors’ cause? In all likelihood, the cause was lost. There was already infrastructure built for KD’s move and it wasn’t in the Bay.
That prompts another question: Why? The Warriors were a dynasty whose players were still in their primes. They were about to move into that jewel box in San Francisco’s Mission Bay neighborhood. Why did the dynasty’s story run out?
I’m a fan of quoting economist Herbert Stein’s Law, “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” It’s so obvious, so dumb, and yet often forgotten in the best of times. When the economy is roaring, it feels like it’ll go on forever. When you have a hot gambling streak, it feels like it’ll go on forever. And yes, when you have a dynasty, it feels like it will go on forever.
Joe Lacob once told our Tim Kawakami, in response to Bob Myers’ contention that dynasties must come to an end, “I don’t think so, honestly, I do not. And I tell Bob every day, our job is not to let it end.”
Lacob told me last summer, “People say we’re a dynasty today. OK, we’ve done really well, but you know, there’s been some great ones in the past. Our goal is to be one of the greatest teams over a long period of time.”
I don’t begrudge Lacob this attitude because such unrealistic ambitions might have been necessary to build up the dynasty in the first place. It just so happens to be a vision that’s now on life support, barring some miracle resurgence in the short term. Marc Stein’s tweet brought Herb Stein’s Law into focus.
And yet, the fact that it had to end is an insufficient answer as to why. It’s insufficient because it didn’t have to end when it did. Even with the grievous injuries to KD and Klay, there were more seasons left in this core. Other teams still would not want to compete against Steph, Klay and KD going forward. The Bay Area was bound to remain a perfect place for impossibly rich people.
The reason it ended speaks to an aspect of the human condition that is often on display in the NBA. There’s less motivation in maintaining dominance than in seizing it from someone else. Remember, the Lakers’ Shaquille O’Neal and Kobe Bryant broke up before they ultimately had to. The Michael Jordan Bulls won their sixth title in a “last dance” season that did not necessarily have to be a last dance. In the NBA, the issue is that winning gets harder concurrent with its returns diminishing. To hear the winners tell it, that first championship is every bit as great as they’d imagined.
The separation between zero titles and one title is a difference in kind and a vast one. The separation between three titles versus four titles is a difference in degree, one that gets smaller the more you win.
Look at Kevin Durant after his first championship at Oracle.
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If we’ve seen the last of KD in The Bay, this is probably my fave memory of him as a Warrior
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This is about the happiest we ever saw him. Not only is he having the time of his life, he’s spreading the love. Everyone from Ian Clark to Patrick McCaw to assistant athletic trainer Roger Sancho is getting included in winning’s warm embrace.
The Warriors enjoyed their last championship in Cleveland, but it wasn’t raucous. Nick Young was delirious in the locker room but almost nobody was matching his energy. That celebration was a far cry from the first Warriors’ celebration in Cleveland, one Steve Kerr called, “the greatest night of my life.” Eventually, there are no greatest nights anymore, at least not for the core members.
Pat Riley wrote of “the disease of more,” when positing that the problems come after you win a title and not before. People look around and seek whatever ego fulfillment didn’t magically arrive with the jewelry. The Warriors were, by and large, a fairly selfless unit, evidenced by the way they played. The core members got a lot out of the title-winning sacrifices. Curry got two MVPs and became the face of a sneaker brand. Thompson perhaps has the highest approval rating of anyone in the NBA. Draymond Green became deservedly rich and famous beyond his wildest dreams, in addition to burnishing a reputation as the top defender of his era. Andre Iguodala got Hall of Fame buzz and is currently shopping a book that has everyone talking.
The newest member of the core did not see his star rise quite so high off his rings. KD couldn’t realistically, as he was already a superstar upon joining. Beyond that, the sporting public wasn’t so invested in his journey in the way they followed LeBron James. KD outplayed LeBron in two Finals and was graded on the curve of having superior teammates. Few if anyone in the NBA world dropped LeBron from the top spot in the player rankings. When LeBron’s super team won the championship in 2013, LeBron was considered the best player. When KD’s Warriors did, LeBron was still considered the best player. In our confusing social media era, winning did not win Durant more recognition as a winner.
Whatever the reason, this much seemed so: Kevin Durant’s Warriors run eventually was doing more for the Warriors’ reputation than it was for Kevin Durant’s. That was nobody’s fault, but likely had consequences nonetheless.
KD seized the top individual rankings spot briefly, after he said, “I’m Kevin Durant,” and started pounding the Clippers. Then he got hurt against the Rockets, and finally, he returned for the Finals, only to have a bigger disaster strike.
Durant’s Achilles tear was a bitter result that ironically soothed other aspects of his journey. There are probably Warriors fans who might have raged about today’s news, who will instead espouse gratitude. A lot of that is because KD put his body on the line and paid a heavy price. In his time here, he was always bothered by the notion that he was an entity apart from the Warriors. In truth, KD was never embraced or loved by local fans on the level of the incumbent Curry. Again, not something that was anyone’s fault in particular, but it was what it was. On June 10, 2019, KD hurt himself for the Warriors’ cause and finally got that love. Sadly, the outpouring of affection and gratitude was spurred by loss. On June 30, another loss became official.
However the exit came, Durant left the Warriors because he eventually wasn’t all that happy here, despite the rings. If he was, he would have stayed and reaped a bigger paycheck on a better roster. I don’t think I’m breaking news here for people who watched the team every day. Beyond the tensions with Kerr and the public spat with Draymond, this had ceased to be a fulfilling situation.
It should have stayed fulfilling, in theory. Championships and money solve everything, in theory. In practice, titles are only the beginning of a process and that process can be a grind. Rather than continue this grind, Kevin Durant is going to search for something new. Out with the grind, in with the challenge. In the meantime, the Warriors look to find players who see them more as the latter than the former.