rapbeats

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Polling 101: never extrapolate anything or use them for forcasting.

Their purpose is to determine demographics to focus on in a campaign, not as a tool to project likely outcomes. Especially in a field with 5-6 viable candidates, they're functionally worthless as anything other than a tool to study demographic needs and a post-hoc analysis to show where campaigns missed trendlines in key demos. But people constantly use them to forecast because Nate Silver thinks there's some golden unbiased and plain to see electoral math when that's just not how any of this works. Data is never neutral, because people can interpret it based on their own notions and values, always remember that.

Most polling has 40-45% of people at this point who literally answer "no preference", they're junk for forecasting at this juncture.
and like i keep telling people. WHO IS BEING POLLED? IT's the same people being polled for most of these polls over and over and over again. so that alone should make you think twice about putting way too much stock in them. The way you know that its a lot of the same people is because they have a polling database. If you take one phone call or take one online legit poll from some of the bigger polls that are known. all of the other polls will hit you up. are those people a proper representation of most voters? No. Because most people wont even take the questionnaire or finish the phone call if they call you. But a lot of people will still vote. We need their opinions as well.
 

Berniewood Hogan

IT'S BERNIE SANDERS WITH A STEEL CHAIR!
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Another day, another pile of bullshyt from the media and weird white women on Twitter. This will continue every day. When Bernie starts winning primaries, you're going to see them celebrate Warren coming in second.
 

BoBurnz

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Two things I notice from these disingenuous reactionary bullshyt accounts.

A) they have zero grasp on the English language that even a five year old can contextualize. Or is not used as an exclusionary but as a shorthand replacement for "either/or" and it's really stupid.
B) The constant bad faith attacks are framed in a complete and utterly idiotic dismissal of history, that Black America has been the FOREFRONT of the Socialist movement in this country since it's inception.

Adolph Reed is literally an email away, you can send him one any time and he'll usually answer. :francis:
 

Berniewood Hogan

IT'S BERNIE SANDERS WITH A STEEL CHAIR!
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:blessed::umad::salute:

'We Have a President Who Lost the Popular Vote by Three Million': Sanders Backs Abolishing the Electoral College



Sen. Bernie Sanders on Thursday expressed support for abolishing the Electoral College, arguing it is difficult to justify a system that allows a candidate to become president after losing the popular vote by a large margin.

"It is hard to defend a system in which we have a president who lost the popular vote by three million votes," Sanders, a 2020 Democratic presidential candidate, said during a town hall hosted by the League of United Latin American Citizens. "So the answer is yes."

Two out of the last three American presidents—Republicans George W. Bush and Donald Trump—lost the popular vote, prompting growing support among lawmakers for scrapping the arcane and undemocratic system that made their election victories possible.

By backing growing calls to eliminate the Electoral College, Sanders joined several of his 2020 presidential rivals, including Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.), Cory Booker (D-N.J.), and South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg.




"My view is that every vote matters," Warren said during a CNN town hall in March, "and the way we can make that happen is that we can have national voting and that means get rid of the Electoral College, and every vote counts."

According to recent polling data, most Americans support replacing the Electoral College with a national popular vote system.

A Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) survey published last July found that, "By roughly a two-to-one margin, Americans say they would prefer if presidential elections were decided by the national popular vote as opposed to the Electoral College."

"Nearly two-thirds (65 percent) of Americans believe that presidential elections should be decided based on the national popular vote," PRRI's poll showed, "while about one-third (32 percent) believe they should be decided through the Electoral College."
 
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