I have posted this before but shutting down everything for a small time is absolutely necessary. That way we can flatten the curve and have only a small amount of cases continue to pop up. If we dont do it, the effects on the economy would be devastating. Think about it: If everything continues normally, how the hell is the economy gonna take survive if a huge ton of people get sick and are unable to work for around two weeks sitting at home/hospital recovering ? Whos gonna do certain jobs that require presence? A small time frame of hard measures will be „easier“ to take for the economy than a long time
Totally agree but just playing devil's advocate how long is a small time? I don't think much is going to change in two more weeks (even if mandatory lockdown for everyone) and they may need months of data to notice an appreciable decline in number of cases diagnosed (which will require wider testing availability) than we currently offer. I fully expect the number of new cases to continue to increase as long as testing increases in the meantime.
Flattening the curve eases the burden of disease at a given time but prolongs the overall duration vs. the other approach which is to "let" a bunch of people get infected early, develop immunity, and move on in a shorter period. Different approaches (either purposefully or by necessity) may work better in some countries than others (assuming each country existed in a vacuum without constant potential for introduction of new cases - international travel, etc). The former approach seems safer from the standpoint of strain on the healthcare system here in the US but over a longer period of time, and it'll be interesting to see how this prolonged approach will impact everything including the economy.
I mentioned this before but there are competing interests at play here with respect to public health and politics/economy, and I believe that's why we haven't seen a truly definitive stance taken by the US government when it comes to mandating a nationwide lockdown because there are too many unknowns for what that may do long-term to the economy, but I also believe that if we are going to start the lockdown there is no point in waiting any longer. We should just go ahead and start the clock on everyone.