Coronavirus Thread: Worldwide Pandemic

F K

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Strategiepapier des Innenministeriums: Schockwirkung erwünscht
The Ministry compares three scenarios regarding the course of the epidemic. The "worst case" scenario assumes that the doubling time of the number of infected people will increase from 3 days in the beginning to 6 days in mid-April and to 9 days in late April (currently it is just under 5 days ). In this case, around 70 percent of the population would have been infected by the end of May. Up to 350,000 people would need intensive care at the same time - which, given the available capacities, would mean that 85 percent of those who need them would have to be turned away.
:lupe:
In this scenario, almost 1.2 million people would die from the corona virus within two months. Based on projections from other countries, the Ministry of the Interior assumes a mortality rate of 1.2 percent if sufficient hospital care is guaranteed; At times when capacity is insufficient, a mortality rate of 2 percent is assumed. These values are significantly higher than in a scenario of the Robert Koch Institute on March 20: This assumed a mortality rate of 0.56 percent, but explained that this value was "rather at the bottom of existing estimates".
:francis:

In a scenario called “stretching”, it is assumed that the doubling time of the number of infected people will increase to 6 days by the beginning of April and to 9 days by mid-April due to stricter measures to reduce physical contact. In this case, only about 20 percent of the population would be infected. The need for intensive care beds would only slightly exceed the capacity, so that only 16 percent of the patients would have to be rejected. In this scenario, only about 220,000 people would die. However, the state of emergency with extensive contact restrictions would have to last around 7 months.
:ohhh:
In addition to the health consequences, the Ministry of the Interior also gives drastic warnings about the economic and social consequences. In the best case of rapid containment and control of further expansion, the gross domestic product would only decrease by 4 percent. In the worst case, a 32 percent slump is conceivable. The paper describes what this could mean: "It threatens that this changes the community into a completely different basic state up to anarchy."
:damn:

edit: this is germany fyi
 

NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong

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Markets wouldve tanked. He is only interested in pumping markets. They tanked anyway because they saw through his bs.

I mean yeah i realize but idk how he didnt think they wouldnt tank anyway

Unless he thought he could minimize the tank and that the stimulus would keep it flat
 

Poetical Poltergeist

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If he would have went full throttle he would have minimized the damage and also have a campaign talking point about how well he handled the crisis. But, he missed that opportunity and here we are.
There is no benefit in a democracy to prevent an unknown because people would just question him destroying the economy for a theoretical disaster. This is why the west is struggling with this. There isn't really an incentive to get out ahead of the issue and own the consequences of the action. You're better off letting it happen to the point where it is obvious and then playing the blame game.
 

KillbertArenas

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nobody cares about "presidential" anymore.
Where have yall been?

People are aware the entire world is watching us right now and we getting exposed as a broken nation.

He has a few more months to play tough on TV. Which is why, I think the republicans tried to scam that stimulus package - because they know Trump is over soon
 
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